Tomic vs Ellis Prediction 9 November 2026
🎾 Bernard Tomic and Blake Ellis will meet in the first round of the Brisbane Challenger. The match will be played on an outdoor hard court, where both Australians are familiar with the conditions. Their head-to-head record and current form promise to make this an interesting contest.
Head-to-Head
📊 Blake Ellis has the edge in their head-to-head record, having won his only match against Bernard Tomic.
Bernard Tomic Player Overview
Bernard Tomic comes into the match short of his best form, with just four wins in his last 10 matches. He has lost two of his last three matches, to Matteo Arnaldi and Dane Sweeny, with his only win coming against Timofey Skatov. Tomic holds serve in 84% of his service games, which helps him stay in matches, but his percentage of sets won is 47%, and he has lost three of his last four matches. His matches average 18.6 games, fewer than his opponent’s, suggesting shorter contests. Overall, Bernard’s results have been inconsistent, as reflected in his performances at recent tournaments.
Match Results: Bernard Tomic
Blake Ellis Player Overview
Blake Ellis has been posting more convincing results: six wins in his last 10 matches, five of them in straight sets. In his last three matches, he beat Pavle Marinkov and Anton Shepp, losing only to Filip Sekulic. Ellis has won 67% of sets and 54% of games, both well above Tomic’s figures. His matches average 22.7 games. It is also worth noting how rarely Ellis loses by a wide margin: he often covers a positive handicap even in defeat. His consistency across recent tournaments makes him a dangerous opponent for any player at this level.
Match Results: Blake Ellis
Key factors
- Blake Ellis has covered the +2.5 games handicap in each of his last 9 matches.
- Blake Ellis defeated Bernard Tomic in their only previous meeting.
- Blake Ellis has won 67% of sets in his last 10 matches.
- Matches involving Blake Ellis have averaged 22.7 games, suggesting closely contested play.
- Bernard Tomic has been inconsistent and has lost 3 of his last 4 matches.
Expected scenario
The match should be competitive: both players are capable of holding serve comfortably, and their previous meeting went to three sets. That scenario suggests the gap in games will not be large and Blake Ellis can cover the positive games handicap. A lengthy match remains possible, which further supports the chosen bet.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Blake Ellis comes into the match in better form, with a run of successful matches against opponents of a similar level. His consistency in winning sets and ability to keep the game margin close are backed up by both the statistics and his head-to-head win over Bernard Tomic. With a close contest expected, the positive handicap looks justified. The pick is Blake Ellis Games Handicap +2.5.
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Betting Tips: Bernard Tomic - Blake Ellis
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