Tobon vs Rocha Prediction 9 November 2026

    📡 Miguel Tobon and Henrique Rocha will meet in the first round of the Lima Challenger on clay. The two players come into the match with contrasting recent form, and the statistics point to a clear advantage for one of them. The surface could play a part, given the nature of both players’ results.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Miguel Tobon and Henrique Rocha have not met before.

    Miguel Tobon Player Overview

    Miguel Tobon has had mixed results in his last ten matches, with six wins and four defeats. Three of those defeats came in straight sets, pointing to the possibility of short matches. His matches have averaged just under 22 games, and the total has not exceeded 19.5 in any of his last five. Tobon wins 72% of his service games, but his double-fault rate remains noticeably above average. His most recent match ended in defeat to Joaquin Aguilar Cardoso, underlining his inconsistent form.

    Match Results: Miguel Tobon

    02.11.26
    ATP Challenger Costa do Sauipe, Brazil Men Singles
    Miguel Tobon
    Miguel Tobon
    Storck Franca, Leonardo
    Storck Franca, Leonardo
    0
    2
    4
    6
    2
    6
    L
    01.11.26
    ATP Challenger Costa do Sauipe, Brazil Men Singles
    Miguel Tobon
    Miguel Tobon
    Enrique Bogo
    Enrique Bogo
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    0
    W
    28.10.26
    Ecuador Guayaquil
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Miguel Tobon
    Miguel Tobon
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    26.10.26
    Ecuador Guayaquil
    Miguel Tobon
    Miguel Tobon
    Daniel Salazar
    Daniel Salazar
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    W
    25.10.26
    Ecuador Guayaquil
    Miguel Tobon
    Miguel Tobon
    Federico Zeballos
    Federico Zeballos
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Henrique Rocha Player Overview

    Henrique Rocha is ranked 99th and has shown more consistent results, with six wins in his last ten matches. Over that stretch, he has won 62% of sets and 54% of all games, reflecting strong performances both on serve and on return. His matches average 21 games, while a high first-serve percentage (70%) allows him to control the course of play effectively. In recent matches, Rocha has regularly taken the lead as early as the first set, further reducing the likelihood of a lengthy contest.

    Match Results: Henrique Rocha

    02.11.26
    ATP Challenger Costa do Sauipe, Brazil Men Singles
    Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
    Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
    Henrique Rocha
    Henrique Rocha
    2
    0
    6
    4
    710
    68
    L
    23.10.26
    Lisbon
    Elmer Moeller
    Elmer Moeller
    Henrique Rocha
    Henrique Rocha
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    L
    21.10.26
    Lisbon
    Thiago Monteiro
    Thiago Monteiro
    Henrique Rocha
    Henrique Rocha
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    3
    3
    6
    W
    19.10.26
    Lisbon
    Dali Blanch
    Dali Blanch
    Henrique Rocha
    Henrique Rocha
    0
    2
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    12.10.26
    ATP Challenger Maia, Portugal
    Sumit Nagal
    Sumit Nagal
    Henrique Rocha
    Henrique Rocha
    2
    1
    3
    6
    7
    5
    77
    65
    L
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    Key factors

    • In Miguel Tobon’s last five matches, the total number of games did not exceed 19.5.
    • Henrique Rocha wins 62% of sets and consistently holds serve.
    • Miguel Tobon has suffered three straight-sets defeats in ten matches, pointing to a risk of short matches.
    • The average number of games in each player’s matches does not exceed 22.
    • Rocha’s form is more consistent, increasing the likelihood of a two-set match.

    Expected scenario

    The expected match scenario points to a clear advantage for Henrique Rocha and a high likelihood of a straight-sets finish. A quick win for either player would make it unlikely that the total games line is exceeded, and the average number of games only strengthens that prediction.

    Total Games Prediction

    Fewer than 19.5 games were played in each of Miguel Tobon's last five matches.

    Five consecutive matches involving Miguel Tobon have finished with a low total, pointing to a trend towards short matches and supporting the case for an under bet.

    Pick: Total Games Under 19.5.

    ⭐️ Editor’s Pick

    Tobon’s last five matches have all finished with fewer than 19.5 games. Our pick is Total Games Under 19.5.

    Total Under (19,5)
    Thunderpick
    Place a bet+109
    Published: 08/11/2026, 16:22
    Evgeny Lisin
    Evgeny Lisin
    Baseball expert
    50
    4
    49
    103 predictions
    Statistics for November 2026

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    Betting Tips: Miguel Tobon - Henrique Rocha

    Under 19.5 games:
    miguel-tobonin last 5 Miguel Tobon games.
    Total Under (19,5)
    Thunderpick
    +109
    Under 2.5 sets:
    miguel-tobonin last 5 Miguel Tobon games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    Thunderpick
    -238