Fajing vs Kachmazov Prediction 9 October 2026
⚡️ The quarter-final of the ATP Challenger hard-court event in Wuning, China, features a meeting between local player Sun Fajing and an in-form Alibek Kachmazov. Both players have shown quality tennis this week, which should make for a competitive battle for a place in the semi-finals.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two have met twice before, with Kachmazov winning on both occasions.
Head-to-head statistics Fajing - Kachmazov
Fajing Sun Player Overview
Sun Fajing is an experienced 29-year-old Chinese player currently ranked 303rd in the world. Standing 178 cm tall, the right-handed player with a two-handed backhand relies on excellent coordination, tenacious defensive play and the ability to extend rallies. His career high of 197th in the ATP rankings came in May 2026, and his standout result remains the Challenger title he won in Wuxi in 2025. Going into this tournament, Fajing's form has been inconsistent, mixing a confident win over Kasidith Samrej with a straight-sets loss to Roman Safiullin. That said, he is comfortable on the courts in Unin and has a strong record in second sets, winning them in 5 of his last 6 matches.
Match Results: Fajing Sun
Alibek Kachmazov Player Overview
Alibek Kachmazov is a 24-year-old Russian prospect with an impressive physical build. Standing 185 cm tall, this right-hander - who plays an unusual two-handed forehand - bases his game around a powerful first serve and highly aggressive baseline hitting. His current ranking is around 525, though he reached a career-high of 161 in the ATP rankings in May 2025. In October 2026 in Unin, Kachmazov hit a strong run of form, winning three matches in a row, including a victory over the solid American Evan Zhu. He is currently on a remarkable winning streak of 14 consecutive matches, and has taken the second set in 17 matches running.
Match Results: Alibek Kachmazov
Key factors
- Returning Kachmазov's first serve. A key factor will be Faзing's ability to handle Alibek's heavy serves and reduce his advantage at the start of rallies.
- The second set. Both players are statistically strong in the second set: Kachmазов has won 17 consecutive second sets, while Faзing has taken the second set in 5 of his last 6 matches.
- Baseline endurance. If the Chinese player manages to draw Kachmазов into extended baseline exchanges, it may disrupt his attacking rhythm and draw unforced errors.
Expected scenario
Alibek Kachmazov will look to seize the initiative from the outset through powerful attacking play and take the first set quickly. In the second set, Sun Fajing will offer maximum resistance on home court, leading to a tight contest in the deciding games of that set.
Total Games Prediction
Given Kachmazov's tendency towards quick matches - in 12 of his last 13 matches the total came in under 2.5 sets - a lengthy contest seems unlikely. The most appealing option looks to be Total Games - Under 26.5, as the winner will probably be decided in straight sets.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Alibek Kachmazov, in remarkable form, looks the clear favourite in this quarter-final. His extraordinary 14-match winning streak speaks to excellent confidence and level of play. The Russian is likely to be the more consistent and aggressive player from the baseline, and should be able to impose his tempo from the opening rallies. Despite home crowd support and Sun Fajing's traditionally strong second sets, stopping Kachmazov today will be extremely difficult for the home player. The straightforward pick is an outright Alibek Kachmazov to Win, with his class and powerful serve expected to carry him through to the semi-finals.
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Betting Tips: Fajing Sun - Alibek Kachmazov
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