Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/16
Luca Castelnuovo
CHE
ATP - 461
00
:
52
:
21
Live broadcast
Chun Hsin Tseng
TPE
ATP - 221

Castelnuovo vs Chun Hsin Tseng Prediction 8 September 2026

    🔊 In the first round of the Shanghai Challenger on outdoor hard courts, Luca Castelnuovo takes on Chun Hsin Tseng. The match pits a higher-ranked favourite against a player who tends to win games consistently even against stronger opponents. Current form may be a factor.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Luca Castelnuovo and Chun Hsin Tseng have no previous meetings on record.

    Luca Castelnuovo Player Overview

    Luca Castelnuovo arrives at this match with 5 wins from his last 10, showing he can hold his own even against higher-ranked opponents. His most recent match was a qualifying win, preceded by two consecutive defeats. Over those ten matches, he has won close to half of all games played - around 50%. In that span he has four wins without dropping a set and only two defeats in which he failed to win a set, suggesting he is competitive against most opponents at his level. His matches have averaged around 22 total games, which gives some basis for expecting a reasonable game count today.

    Match Results: Luca Castelnuovo

    07.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Tsung-Hao Huang
    Tsung-Hao Huang
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    01.09.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Matthew Dellavedova
    Matthew Dellavedova
    1
    1
    6
    4
    3
    6
    1
    4
    L
    29.08.26
    ITF Taiwan M25 Taipei 2
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Chen, Kuan-Shou
    Chen, Kuan-Shou
    1
    2
    7
    6
    6
    7
    1
    6
    L
    28.08.26
    ITF Taiwan M25 Taipei 2
    Yanki Erel
    Yanki Erel
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    27.08.26
    ITF Taiwan M25 Taipei 2
    Hiromasa Koyama
    Hiromasa Koyama
    Luca Castelnuovo
    Luca Castelnuovo
    1
    2
    6
    3
    6
    7
    1
    6
    W
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    Chun Hsin Tseng Player Overview

    Tseng Chun-hsin holds a clear ranking advantage and is in decent form, winning seven of his last ten matches. Last week he reached the semi-finals of a Challenger event, beating several solid opponents in a row. Worth noting are his game-winning rate of 56% over his last ten matches and his hold rate of 70%. He has been bagelled just once in that same span. His first-serve percentage stands at 65%.

    Match Results: Chun Hsin Tseng

    05.09.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Kasidit Samrej
    Kasidit Samrej
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    2
    0
    6
    3
    77
    61
    L
    04.09.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    Fajing Sun
    Fajing Sun
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    W
    02.09.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    Yosuke Watanuki
    Yosuke Watanuki
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    01.09.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    Tianhui Zhang
    Tianhui Zhang
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    22.08.26
    Czech Republic Prague, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    Chun Hsin Tseng
    Jan Kumstat
    Jan Kumstat
    1
    2
    7
    5
    3
    6
    0
    6
    L
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    Key factors

    • Luca Castelnuovo has won more than 9.5 games in six consecutive matches.
    • The average number of games in matches involving Luca Castelnuovo is 21.7.
    • Luca Castelnuovo has won 50% of all games in his last 10 matches.
    • In his last 10 matches, Luca Castelnuovo has four wins without dropping a set and only two defeats without winning a set.
    • Luca Castelnuovo's current form suggests he can reach the required games total even against a higher-ranked opponent.

    Expected scenario

    Tseng Chun-hsin looks the stronger player by ranking and form, though the statistics show Luca Castelnuovo holds up reasonably well in terms of games won even against stronger opponents. A two-set match is expected, with the underdog possibly taking at least ten games on the back of solid serving and the ability to make things competitive.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Luca Castelnuovo's consistency in games won stands out even against higher-ranked opponents, supported by an average of around half of all rallies per match and a run of six consecutive matches where his individual total has cleared 9.5 games. His current form gives reason to expect that trend to continue regardless of the opponent's status. The pick is Luca Castelnuovo - Player Total Games Over 9.5.
    Luca Castelnuovo Total Over (9,5)
    Published: 08/09/2026, 02:44
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    54
    0
    31
    85 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Luca Castelnuovo - Chun Hsin Tseng

    Luca Castelnuovo has won the 1st set:
    castelnuovo-lucain last 4 matches.
    1st Set Luca Castelnuovo Win
    +260
    Chun Hsin Tseng has won the 1st set:
    tseng-chun-hsinin 9 of last 10 matches.
    1st Set Chun Hsin Tseng Win
    -400
    Chun Hsin Tseng has won under 13.5 games:
    tseng-chun-hsinin last 7 matches.
    Chun Hsin Tseng Total Under (13,5)
    -333
    Luca Castelnuovo has won over 9.5 games:
    castelnuovo-lucain last 6 matches.
    Luca Castelnuovo Total Over (9,5)
    +116
    View more facts