Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/64
Mattia Bellucci
ITA
ATP - 86
11
:
14
:
23
Yi Zhou
CHN
ATP - 277

Bellucci vs Zhou Prediction 7 October 2026

    🔊 Mattia Bellucci arrives in Shanghai looking to reach the second round for the third consecutive year. His opponent Yi Zhou has the same career-best result at this tournament, though he has achieved it only once. Bellucci is the clear betting favourite, having come through qualifying, while Zhou is on a losing streak. We'll see whether Zhou can turn things around.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Mattia Bellucci and Yi Zhou have no previous meetings on record.

    Mattia Bellucci Player Overview

    Mattia Bellucci arrives in the main draw in solid form, having won eight of his last ten matches. In qualifying for this Masters event he came through comfortably against Elias Ymer and Alexandre Müller, and the previous week he reached the final of the Jingshan Challenger, where he lost to Lloyd Harris. On serve, Bellucci is consistent - holding 73% of his service games, with an overall points-won percentage of 60%. That level allows him to control most matches, at least against opponents of similar or lower quality.

    Match Results: Mattia Bellucci

    06.10.26
    SHA
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Alexandre Muller
    Alexandre Muller
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    05.10.26
    SHA
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Elias Ymer
    Elias Ymer
    2
    1
    4
    6
    7
    5
    77
    63
    W
    04.10.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Lloyd Harris
    Lloyd Harris
    1
    2
    6
    1
    3
    6
    64
    77
    L
    03.10.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Yanki Erel
    Yanki Erel
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    03.10.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Bernard Tomic
    Bernard Tomic
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    -
    -
    W
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    Yi Zhou Player Overview

     Yi Zhou arrives at this tournament in poor recent form: just three wins from his last ten matches, with a current three-match losing streak. During that run he has lost in straight sets four times, rarely troubling the favourites or maintaining a high games count. Despite a respectable hold percentage of 84%, his overall efficiency in rallies is lower than his upcoming opponent's - he wins just 47% of points played, with matches averaging 23.6 games.

    Match Results: Yi Zhou

    28.09.26
    China, Beijing
    Yi Zhou
    Yi Zhou
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Pablo Carreno-Busta
    0
    2
    5
    7
    3
    6
    L
    24.09.26
    CHE
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Yi Zhou
    Yi Zhou
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    L
    11.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Ilya Ivashka
    Ilya Ivashka
    Yi Zhou
    Yi Zhou
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    10.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Jie Cui
    Jie Cui
    Yi Zhou
    Yi Zhou
    0
    2
    63
    77
    4
    6
    W
    08.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Sergey Fomin
    Sergey Fomin
    Yi Zhou
    Yi Zhou
    0
    2
    61
    77
    5
    7
    W
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    Key factors

    • Mattia Bellucci has won 6 of his last 9 matches without dropping a set.
    • Yi Zhou has lost 4 of his last 10 matches 0-2 in sets.
    • The average match length is lower for Bellucci - 19 games, compared to 23.6 for Zhou.

    Expected scenario

    This match looks like a comfortable win for Mattia Bellucci, with him controlling the contest throughout. He will probably take the initiative in rallies from the opening games. His Chinese opponent can make things competitive on serve, but hitting winners against Bellucci's return game will be very difficult.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Mattia Bellucci is in noticeably better form: he regularly wins without dropping sets and holds his service games comfortably. Yi Zhou has struggled for consistency in recent results, while the Italian has sharpened his game through qualifying. The local player's main asset is his serve, though the numbers there are comparable to his opponent's. All factors point to the odds-on favourite taking control of the scoreline from the start and holding it through to the final games. Our pick: Bellucci - Games Handicap -2.5.
    Mattia Bellucci Handicap (-2,5)
    Odds-189
    Published: 06/10/2026, 16:23
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    66
    0
    70
    136 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Mattia Bellucci - Yi Zhou

    Over 18.5 games:
    zhou-yiin 7 of last 8 Yi Zhou games.
    Total Over (18,5)
    -400
    Under 2.5 sets:
    zhou-yiin last 5 Yi Zhou games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    MyBookie
    -238
    Yi Zhou won with a +5.5 games handicap:
    zhou-yiin 13 of last 14 matches.
    Yi Zhou Handicap (+5,5)
    -278
    Yi Zhou has lost 0:2:
    zhou-yiin last 3 matches.
    Correct Score (2:0)
    MyBookie
    -156