Jovic vs Gauff Prediction 7 September 2026
🔊 Iva Jovic and Coco Gauff meet in the fourth round of the US Open, a home match for both. Gauff is ranked fourth in the world and won Cincinnati in August. Jovic is ten places lower and is having her first season in which results are expected of her at every major. Both players win in the same way - through their return games - so neither is likely to hold serve comfortably here.
Head-to-Head
📊 Jovic and Gauff have met once, in Rome in May. Gauff won 5-7 7-5 6-2, coming back from a lost first set. That match lasted 32 games and produced 14 breaks.
Iva Jovic Player Overview
The American has won three rounds: 6-4 6-4 against Francesca Jones, 7-5 6-3 against Magdalena Fręch, and 7-5 3-6 7-5 against Alexandra Eala. She came through that last match by winning both deciding games. This season she has reached the final in Hobart and the semi-finals in Auckland, Charleston and Queens. Her hard-court record this season stands at 20 wins and 9 losses.
Her main strength is on return: she has won 46% of return points and broken serve in 41% of games. Her serve is noticeably weaker, with 3% aces and a hold rate of just 65% over recent weeks. In the match against Eala that translated into 17 breaks across 33 games, with Jovic holding only 8 of her own service games - and still winning.
Match Results: Iva Jovic
Cori Gauff Player Overview
Gauff reached the third round without dropping a set: 6-3 6-4 against Zeynep Sonmez, 6-4 7-6 against Paula Badosa, and 6-3 6-4 against Cristina Bucsa. In August she won Cincinnati, beating Jessica Pegula in the final, and her season also includes a Wimbledon semi-final plus finals in Miami and Rome. Her hard-court record for the season stands at 29 wins and 7 losses.
Her return game is currently the best of her career: 50% of return points won and a break in 48% of return games over recent weeks. Her serve remains a vulnerability - double faults account for 9% of second serves for the season, and against Bucsa she served 6 double faults to just one ace. Her hold percentage has improved from 70% for the season to 78% over recent weeks.
Match Results: Cori Gauff
Key factors
- The match between Jovic and Eala produced 17 breaks in 33 games.
- Their Rome meeting produced 14 breaks in 32 games.
- Jovic has held serve in 65% of service games in recent weeks.
- Gauff has broken in 48% of return games in recent weeks.
- Gauff served 6 double faults in the previous round.
Sets Prediction
It is worth considering Jovic's chances of taking a set. She has already taken a set off Gauff, and in the previous round she won two consecutive tight finishes. Her return puts pressure on a serve that has still been producing several double faults per match. Direction: Jovic takes at least one set.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
In matches like this, backing a comfortable favourite's win is the obvious call - against opponents outside the top 30, Gauff usually wraps up her passage to the next round quickly. Today, though, she faces the world No. 14, who plays a similar style. In that kind of contest, neither player can rely on serve as a reliable safety net.The rest follows: if both players are regularly broken, getting the match done in 20 games looks impossible. Gauff appears the more likely winner, but she will have to fight back from breaks herself during the match, which only pushes the final game count higher.
Pick: Total Games - Over 21.5
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Betting Tips: Iva Jovic - Cori Gauff
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