Maestrelli vs Tarvet Prediction 6 October 2026

    🔊 Francesco Maestrelli and Oliver Tarvet meet in the first round of the Villena Challenger on outdoor hard courts. The match raises the question of whether the underdog can make the most of his strengths against a favourite in confident form. Particular attention will fall on how Maestrelli performs on serve.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Francesco Maestrelli and Oliver Tarvet have not previously met.

    Francesco Maestrelli Player Overview

    Francesco Maestrelli arrives at this match in inconsistent form, with just 4 wins from his last 10 matches. Even in defeat, though, he tends to accumulate a decent number of games, backed by a strong hold rate of 76%. His matches average 24.3 games, which points to a pattern of winning enough games to clear the individual total line.

    Match Results: Francesco Maestrelli

    21.09.26
    ATP Challenger Saint Tropez, France Men Singles
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Andrea Guerrieri
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    2
    1
    6
    3
    64
    77
    6
    3
    L
    18.09.26
    France Rennes, ATP
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Sascha Wayenburg
    Sascha Wayenburg
    0
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    L
    17.09.26
    France Rennes, ATP
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Yanis Ghazouani Durand
    Yanis Ghazouani Durand
    2
    1
    4
    6
    77
    63
    6
    3
    W
    16.09.26
    France Rennes, ATP
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Arthur Nagel
    Arthur Nagel
    2
    0
    6
    4
    77
    63
    W
    11.09.26
    ATP Challenger Istanbul 3
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Francesco Maestrelli
    Maks Kasnikowski
    Maks Kasnikowski
    1
    2
    0
    6
    6
    2
    1
    6
    L
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    Oliver Tarvet Player Overview

    Oliver Tarvet is in excellent form, winning 9 of his last 10 matches and coming through qualifying at this tournament with ease. His sets-won percentage (79%) and overall points-won percentage (55%) mark him out as the clear favourite in this match. He is also solid on serve, holding 72% of his service games, and the absence of bagel defeats points to consistency across all areas. His average games per match is slightly lower than his opponent's, however.

    Match Results: Oliver Tarvet

    05.10.26
    Spain Villena
    Diego Dedura-Palomero
    Diego Dedura-Palomero
    Oliver Tarvet
    Oliver Tarvet
    0
    2
    3
    6
    5
    7
    W
    04.10.26
    Spain Alicante
    Mathys Erhard
    Mathys Erhard
    Oliver Tarvet
    Oliver Tarvet
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    28.08.26
    Challenger Roehampton 2
    Charles Broom
    Charles Broom
    Oliver Tarvet
    Oliver Tarvet
    2
    1
    6
    4
    5
    7
    6
    1
    L
    27.08.26
    Challenger Roehampton 2
    Oliver Tarvet
    Oliver Tarvet
    Emile Hudd
    Emile Hudd
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    26.08.26
    Challenger Roehampton 2
    Oliver Tarvet
    Oliver Tarvet
    Oliver Bonding
    Oliver Bonding
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
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    Key factors

    • Francesco Maestrelli has won more than 9.5 games in 13 of his last 15 matches.
    • The average number of games in matches involving Francesco Maestrelli is 24.3.
    • Even in defeats, Francesco Maestrelli often takes a reasonable number of games.
    • Francesco Maestrelli's serve remains consistent - he holds 76% of his service games.

    Expected scenario

    Oliver Tarvet is expected to have the upper hand in this match, but Francesco Maestrelli is capable of holding serve consistently and winning enough games to push his individual total over the line. A third set seems unlikely, though even a two-set match could produce a high game count.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Even when outranked and out of form, Francesco Maestrelli regularly reaches the required number of games through an effective serve and solid hold of serve. His run of clearing the individual total line has held up against both similarly ranked opponents and higher-ranked players such as Oliver Tarvet. The pick is Francesco Maestrelli Total Games - Over 8.5.
    Francesco Maestrelli Total Over (8,5)
    Odds-156
    Published: 06/10/2026, 00:40
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    54
    0
    48
    102 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Francesco Maestrelli - Oliver Tarvet

    Francesco Maestrelli has lost the 1st set:
    maestrelli-francescoin 5 of last 6 matches.
    Oliver Tarvet has won the 1st set:
    oliver-tarvetin 10 of last 11 matches.
    1st Set Oliver Tarvet to Win
    Bovada
    -263
    Oliver Tarvet has won:
    oliver-tarvetin 10 of last 11 matches.
    Oliver Tarvet to Win
    Bovada
    -370
    Oliver Tarvet has won the 2nd set:
    oliver-tarvetin last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Oliver Tarvet to Win
    -312
    Francesco Maestrelli has won the 2nd set:
    maestrelli-francescoin 6 of last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Francesco Maestrelli to Win
    +210
    View more facts