Surface:
Hard
Round:
Semifinal
Luca Potenza
ITA
ATP - 488
00
:
39
:
40
Live broadcast
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
ESP
ATP - 274

Potenza vs Montes-De La Torre Prediction 5 September 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 In the challenger semi-final in Mallorca, Luca Potenza takes on Iñaki Montes De La Torre. The match is played on outdoor hard courts, where both players have shown consistent results in terms of games won. Much may depend on Potenza's ability to maintain a high level on serve.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Luca Potenza and Iñaki Montes De La Torre have no previous meetings on record.

    Luca Potenza Player Overview

    Luсa Potenza arrives at the semi-final in good form, having won 7 of his last 10 matches. At this tournament he has come through three rounds in succession, beating David Jorda Sanchis, Joel Schwarzler and Edas Butvilas. His matches have averaged 25.6 games, and his hold percentage stands at 58% with a break-point conversion rate of 46%. In his recent matches, Potenza has won four times without dropping a set and lost in straight sets just once. His consistency on serve and activity on return suggest he can accumulate games reliably against any opponent.

    Match Results: Luca Potenza

    04.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Edas Butvilas
    Edas Butvilas
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    1
    2
    6
    4
    5
    7
    66
    78
    W
    03.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    Joel Josef Schwarzler
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    2
    W
    02.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    David Jorda Sanchis
    David Jorda Sanchis
    2
    1
    7
    5
    2
    6
    7
    5
    W
    01.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Carl Emil Overbeck
    Carl Emil Overbeck
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    0
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    W
    31.08.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    Daniel Masur
    Daniel Masur
    2
    0
    77
    64
    77
    65
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Inaki Montes-De La Torre Player Overview

    Iñaki Montes De La Torre is the higher-ranked player and is also in decent form, with six wins from his last ten matches, including three consecutive victories at the current tournament. He holds 71% of his service games, which helps him control most sets. His average games per match is relatively low at 19.2, and his break-point conversion rate is slightly below his opponent's at 39%. In recent matches Inaki has often won sets without much difficulty, though his ability to maintain a large lead has not always been consistent - three straight-sets defeats in this period are evidence of that.

    Match Results: Inaki Montes-De La Torre

    04.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Jack Pinnington Jones
    Jack Pinnington Jones
    1
    1
    3
    6
    6
    3
    3
    0
    W
    03.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Daniel Rincon
    Daniel Rincon
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    W
    02.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Mathys Erhard
    Mathys Erhard
    2
    1
    6
    2
    3
    6
    6
    4
    W
    27.08.26
    Challenger Roehampton 2
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    George Loffhagen
    George Loffhagen
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    L
    26.08.26
    Challenger Roehampton 2
    Jay Dylan Hara Friend
    Jay Dylan Hara Friend
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    0
    2
    68
    710
    1
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Luca Potenza has won more than 10.5 games in 9 of his last 10 matches.
    • The average number of games in matches involving Luca Potenza is 25.6, which supports a bet on a high individual total.
    • In his last 10 matches, Luca Potenza has won 54% of all games and 64% of sets.
    • Both players are in reasonable form, which reduces the risk of Luca Potenza being bagelled.
    • Luca Potenza's serve and return statistics suggest he can win enough games.

    Expected scenario

    This should be a fairly competitive match: both players are finding good form heading into the semi-final, and Luca Potenza holds serve consistently even against higher-ranked opponents. Iñaki Montes De La Torre does not look like a clear dominant favourite, so a close match with tight sets or a potential third set is a realistic scenario here.

    Total Games Prediction

    Luca Potenza consistently wins games even against strong opponents, staying above the chosen individual total line in almost all of his recent matches.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Both players go into the semi-final on active winning streaks and are posting solid numbers in games won. Luca Potenza in particular shows a consistent pattern of taking games - he regularly reaches eleven or more even against opponents ranked inside the top 300 of the ATP rankings. The match format suggests at least two extended sets or a likely third, which gives reason to expect the over on the Italian's individual games total regardless of the result. The pick is Luca Potenza Player Total Games - Over 9.5.
    Luca Potenza Total Over (9,5)
    Published: 05/09/2026, 12:10
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    51
    0
    36
    87 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Luca Potenza - Inaki Montes-De La Torre

    Inaki Montes-De La Torre has won:
    inaki-montes-de-la-torrein 7 of last 8 matches.
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre Win
    Bovada
    -370
    Luca Potenza has won:
    potenza-lucain last 5 matches (Challenger Mallorca).
    Luca Potenza Win
    Bovada
    +260
    Luca Potenza has won over 10.5 games:
    potenza-lucain 9 of last 10 matches.
    potenza-lucain last 5 matches (Challenger Mallorca).
    Luca Potenza Total Over (10,5)
    -104
    Over 18.5 games:
    inaki-montes-de-la-torrein 6 of last 7 Inaki Montes-De La Torre games.
    Total Over (18,5)
    -278
    View more facts