Potenza vs Montes-De La Torre Prediction 5 September 2026

Details
Key points
    ITA
    Luca Potenza
    ESP
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    6
    62
    62
    1
    2
    77
    77
    2

    🔊 In the challenger semi-final in Mallorca, Luca Potenza takes on Iñaki Montes De La Torre. The match is played on outdoor hard courts, where both players have shown consistent results in terms of games won. Much may depend on Potenza's ability to maintain a high level on serve.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Luca Potenza and Iñaki Montes De La Torre have no previous meetings on record.

    Head-to-head statistics Potenza - Montes-De La Torre

    0%
    0 Wins
    100%
    1 Win
    05.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    1
    2
    6
    2
    62
    77
    62
    77
    Empty
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    Luca Potenza Player Overview

    Luсa Potenza arrives at the semi-final in good form, having won 7 of his last 10 matches. At this tournament he has come through three rounds in succession, beating David Jorda Sanchis, Joel Schwarzler and Edas Butvilas. His matches have averaged 25.6 games, and his hold percentage stands at 58% with a break-point conversion rate of 46%. In his recent matches, Potenza has won four times without dropping a set and lost in straight sets just once. His consistency on serve and activity on return suggest he can accumulate games reliably against any opponent.

    Match Results: Luca Potenza

    28.09.26
    ATP Challenger Porto 2, Portugal Men Singles
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    Lui Maxted
    Lui Maxted
    1
    0
    6
    2
    4
    2
    W
    27.09.26
    ATP Challenger Porto 2, Portugal Men Singles
    Ivan Marrero Curbelo
    Ivan Marrero Curbelo
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    1
    2
    4
    6
    6
    4
    3
    6
    W
    20.09.26
    ATP Challenger Saint Tropez, France Men Singles
    Moez Echargui
    Moez Echargui
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    2
    1
    63
    77
    6
    4
    6
    3
    L
    13.09.26
    France Rennes, ATP
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    Finn Bass
    Finn Bass
    1
    2
    6
    4
    61
    77
    4
    6
    L
    05.09.26
    ATP Challenger Manacor, Mallorca, Spain
    Luca Potenza
    Luca Potenza
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    1
    2
    6
    2
    62
    77
    62
    77
    L
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    Inaki Montes-De La Torre Player Overview

    Iñaki Montes De La Torre is the higher-ranked player and is also in decent form, with six wins from his last ten matches, including three consecutive victories at the current tournament. He holds 71% of his service games, which helps him control most sets. His average games per match is relatively low at 19.2, and his break-point conversion rate is slightly below his opponent's at 39%. In recent matches Inaki has often won sets without much difficulty, though his ability to maintain a large lead has not always been consistent - three straight-sets defeats in this period are evidence of that.

    Match Results: Inaki Montes-De La Torre

    27.09.26
    ITF Portugal M25 Setubal
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Alec Deckers
    Alec Deckers
    1
    2
    7
    5
    4
    6
    3
    6
    L
    26.09.26
    ITF Portugal M25 Setubal
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Michael Agwi
    Michael Agwi
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    25.09.26
    ITF Portugal M25 Setubal
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Lui Maxted
    Lui Maxted
    2
    1
    3
    6
    7
    6
    6
    2
    W
    24.09.26
    ITF Portugal M25 Setubal
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Fausto Tabacco
    Fausto Tabacco
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    4
    W
    23.09.26
    ITF Portugal M25 Setubal
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre
    Benjamin Thomas George
    Benjamin Thomas George
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • Luca Potenza has won more than 10.5 games in 9 of his last 10 matches.
    • The average number of games in matches involving Luca Potenza is 25.6, which supports a bet on a high individual total.
    • In his last 10 matches, Luca Potenza has won 54% of all games and 64% of sets.
    • Both players are in reasonable form, which reduces the risk of Luca Potenza being bagelled.
    • Luca Potenza's serve and return statistics suggest he can win enough games.

    Expected scenario

    This should be a fairly competitive match: both players are finding good form heading into the semi-final, and Luca Potenza holds serve consistently even against higher-ranked opponents. Iñaki Montes De La Torre does not look like a clear dominant favourite, so a close match with tight sets or a potential third set is a realistic scenario here.

    Total Games Prediction

    Luca Potenza consistently wins games even against strong opponents, staying above the chosen individual total line in almost all of his recent matches.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Both players go into the semi-final on active winning streaks and are posting solid numbers in games won. Luca Potenza in particular shows a consistent pattern of taking games - he regularly reaches eleven or more even against opponents ranked inside the top 300 of the ATP rankings. The match format suggests at least two extended sets or a likely third, which gives reason to expect the over on the Italian's individual games total regardless of the result. The pick is Luca Potenza Player Total Games - Over 9.5.
    Luca Potenza Total Over (9,5)
    Odds-123
    Published: 05/09/2026, 12:10
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    381
    0
    276
    657 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Luca Potenza - Inaki Montes-De La Torre

    Inaki Montes-De La Torre has won:
    inaki-montes-de-la-torrein 7 of last 8 matches.
    Inaki Montes-De La Torre to Win
    Bovada
    -385
    Luca Potenza has won:
    potenza-lucain last 5 matches (Challenger Mallorca).
    Luca Potenza to Win
    Bovada
    +265
    Luca Potenza has won over 9.5 games:
    potenza-lucain 9 of last 10 matches.
    potenza-lucain last 5 matches (Challenger Mallorca).
    Luca Potenza Total Over (9,5)
    -123
    Luca Potenza won with a +1.5 sets handicap:
    potenza-lucain 9 of last 10 matches.
    potenza-lucain last 5 matches (Challenger Mallorca).
    Luca Potenza Sets Handicap (+1,5)
    -104
    View more facts