Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Semifinal
Yanaki Milev
BGR
ATP - 500
11
:
26
:
04
Valerio Aboian
ARG
ATP - 431

Milev vs Aboian Prediction 5 September 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 In the semi-finals of the Plovdiv 3 Challenger on clay, Yanaki Milev faces Valerio Aboian. Both players have had a tough run to this stage and are in good form. With their levels closely matched, the match looks set to be a tight one.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Yanaki Milev and Valerio Aboian have no previous meetings on record.

    Yanaki Milev Player Overview

    Yanaki Milev reaches the semi-final on a four-match winning streak, including straightforward victories over Petar Nesterov, Ignacio Parrizas and Juan Manuel La Serna in the earlier rounds of this tournament. Over his last 10 matches he has won 5 and lost 5. On serve, Milev holds only 39% of his service games, though his overall points-won percentage stands at 51% and his average games-won percentage is also 51%. In recent matches he has covered the +1.5 games handicap in six consecutive outings.

    Match Results: Yanaki Milev

    04.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    2
    1
    6
    3
    3
    6
    6
    1
    W
    03.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    Ignacio Parisca
    Ignacio Parisca
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    0
    W
    01.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Petr Nesterov
    Petr Nesterov
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    1
    2
    66
    78
    6
    3
    4
    6
    W
    27.08.26
    ITF M25 Spain Oviedo
    Ivan Gakhov
    Ivan Gakhov
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    2
    1
    2
    6
    7
    6
    7
    5
    L
    26.08.26
    ITF M25 Spain Oviedo
    Jose Dominguez Alonso
    Jose Dominguez Alonso
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    1
    2
    2
    6
    7
    6
    4
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Valerio Aboian Player Overview

    Valerio Aboian is also in good form - he has won seven of his last ten matches, and his run in the current tournament includes three comfortable wins over Marco Topo, Sebastian Sorger and Federico Iannaccone. His games-won percentage is marginally higher at 55%, and he has won 63% of his sets. However, he is holding only 25% of his service games, which could be a risk factor against an opponent with consistent results against the spread. Despite his higher overall efficiency in sets and games, that weakness on serve leaves room for Yanaki Milev to stay competitive.

    Match Results: Valerio Aboian

    04.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    Federico Iannaccone
    Federico Iannaccone
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    1
    W
    03.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    Sebastian Sorger
    Sebastian Sorger
    2
    1
    67
    79
    6
    0
    6
    2
    W
    01.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Marko ToPo
    Marko ToPo
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    0
    1
    1
    6
    0
    3
    W
    28.08.26
    ITF Slovenia M25 Maribor
    Filip Jeff Planinsek
    Filip Jeff Planinsek
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    2
    0
    7
    6
    7
    6
    L
    27.08.26
    ITF Slovenia M25 Maribor
    Karlo Kajin
    Karlo Kajin
    Valerio Aboian
    Valerio Aboian
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Yanaki Milev has covered the Games Handicap +1.5 in six matches in a row.
    • Yanaki Milev has won 5 of his last 10 matches.
    • Yanaki Milev has won 51% of games played over his last 10 matches.
    • Both players have similar records in sets and games won, which increases the likelihood of a close match.

    Expected scenario

    The most likely scenario is a closely contested match with no clear advantage for either player. Given their similar records in sets and games won, Yanaki Milev covering the positive handicap looks a reasonable outcome.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Yanaki Milev's form has been improving match by match - a four-match winning streak gives reason to expect competitive tennis to continue in the semi-final. His +1.5 games handicap record is backed by six consecutive covers, even against opponents with high set and game win percentages. The two players' comparable numbers support a close match with no clear favourite on the scoreline. The pick is Yanaki Milev - Games Handicap +1.5.
    Yanaki Milev Handicap (+1,5)
    Published: 04/09/2026, 20:08
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    41
    0
    24
    65 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Yanaki Milev - Valerio Aboian

    Yanaki Milev has won the 1st set:
    milev-yanaki-1in last 6 matches.
    1st Set Yanaki Milev Win
    +120
    Valerio Aboian has won the 2nd set:
    valerio-aboianin 5 of last 6 matches.
    2nd Set Valerio Aboian Win
    -179
    Valerio Aboian has won under 13.5 games:
    valerio-aboianin 12 of last 13 matches.
    Valerio Aboian Total Under (13,5)
    -303
    Under 2.5 sets:
    valerio-aboianin 9 of last 10 Valerio Aboian games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    -196
    View more facts