Hurkacz vs Tabilo Prediction 5 August 2026
🔊 Alejandro Tabilo enters in Montreal in the second round thanks to his seeding - but the draw hasn't been kind. He's up against former finalist Hubert Hurkacz. The Pole hasn't exited before the quarterfinals in his last two Masters 1000 appearances here, though it's been two years since he last played on these courts. Whether that gap matters is an open question - especially given that in the first round he dropped a set to Marcos Giron.
Head-to-Head
📊 Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Tabilo have never played each other before.
Head-to-head statistics Hurkacz - Tabilo
Hubert Hurkacz Player Overview
Hurkacz arrives in better form - six wins from his last ten, including a win over Marcos Giron in the previous round of this Masters. Before that, he reached the Wimbledon round of 16, where a injury forced him to retire. He wins 82% of points on serve, takes 55% of games and two thirds of sets. Hurkacz tends to start fast - his run of first-set wins backs that up - and he looks fully settled on the Canadian courts, with no sign of the injury picked up on the London grass.
Match Results: Hubert Hurkacz
Alejandro Tabilo Player Overview
Tabilo's numbers are less convincing: four wins, three of them straight-set losses. He takes just 47% of games and 42% of sets - well below his opponent's marks. That said, the clay specialist already turned heads in Washington before Montreal, reaching the semi-finals and knocking out local favourite Ben Shelton along the way. The serve is the weapon - Tabilo wins 83% of points on it and hits plenty of aces. At 188 cm, he has the height to be aggressive on serve, and it shows.
Match Results: Alejandro Tabilo
Key factors
- Hurkacz has won 6 of his last 10 matches. Tabilo has won four.
- Hurkacz's set win rate is significantly higher - 67% against 42%.
- Hurkacz takes 55% of games over his last 10 matches; Tabilo manages just 47%.
- Both players have powerful, high-quality serves.
Expected scenario
Hurkacz should control this on the back of a solid serve and strong hold numbers. But Tabilo can hit back hard - not just on serve, either. He's left-handed, and that backhand is a weapon. A clay specialist by trade, he's comfortable trading both rallies and breaks. That tends to make his matches long, and Hurkacz has already shown he's not immune to dropping sets - the first round in Montreal made that clear.
⭐ Editor's prediction
The stats and recent form point clearly to Hubert Hurkacz: he goes deep at big tournaments on fast surfaces, holds serve comfortably, and starts matches well - taking the first set more often than not. That edge across the key numbers should show early. Still, the Chilean won't just roll over. Tabilo is a versatile player regardless of surface, and his serve stands out among clay-court specialists - at the recent Washington ATP 500, it was enough to beat top-10 player Ben Shelton. The odds gap is real, but Tabilo has the tools to make this competitive, or at least drag it out. Our pick: over 22.5 games.
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Betting Tips: Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Tabilo
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