Fomin vs Derepasko Prediction 5 October 2026

    🔊 Sergey Fomin and Timofei Derepasko meet in the first round of the Unen 3 Challenger. The match is played on outdoor hard courts, where both players will be looking to advance to the next stage. Attention is on their current form and their ability to take their chances on this surface.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Sergey Fomin won their only head-to-head meeting, though there is no certainty about his advantage here.

    Head-to-head statistics Fomin - Derepasko

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Wins
    06.11.25
    ITF M15 Bahrain
    Timofei Derepasko
    Timofei Derepasko
    Sergey Fomin
    Sergey Fomin
    1
    2
    6
    3
    4
    6
    2
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Sergey Fomin Player Overview

    Sergey Fomin arrives at this match in poor form - just 3 wins from his last 10 matches, including several consecutive defeats. In each of his last three matches he has lost in the first round. Over that run he has won only 47% of games and taken just 36% of sets. Despite a reasonable hold rate of 67%, Fomin has struggled with break-point conversion and has been unable to consistently match his opponents for games per match.

    Match Results: Sergey Fomin

    16.09.26
    ATP Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu), China Men Singles
    Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
    Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
    Sergey Fomin
    Sergey Fomin
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    1
    L
    08.09.26
    Challenger Shanghai
    Sergey Fomin
    Sergey Fomin
    Yi Zhou
    Yi Zhou
    0
    2
    61
    77
    5
    7
    L
    01.09.26
    Challenger Zhangjiagang
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Khumoyun Sultanov
    Sergey Fomin
    Sergey Fomin
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    0
    L
    26.08.26
    ITF China M15 Maanshan 8
    Xirui Han
    Xirui Han
    Sergey Fomin
    Sergey Fomin
    2
    1
    3
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    L
    15.08.26
    Kazakhstan Astana, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Aziz Dougaz
    Aziz Dougaz
    Sergey Fomin
    Sergey Fomin
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    1
    7
    5
    L
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    Timofei Derepasko Player Overview

    Timofei Derepаsko has been the more consistent performer - he has won 5 of his last 10 matches, taking more than half the games (51%) and sets (50%) in that period. Recent results have been mixed, but Derepаsko maintains his rhythm better and can turn around difficult spells during a match. His hold percentage stands at 52%, which is lower than his opponent's, though his overall points balance suggests greater efficiency at key moments in rallies.

    Match Results: Timofei Derepasko

    28.09.26
    ITF Georgia M15 Telavi 2
    Timofei Derepasko
    Timofei Derepasko
    	Matic Dimic
    Matic Dimic
    0
    2
    3
    6
    2
    6
    L
    23.09.26
    ITF M15 Georgia
    Francesco Ferrari
    Francesco Ferrari
    Timofei Derepasko
    Timofei Derepasko
    2
    1
    2
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    L
    15.09.26
    Challenger Phan Thiet 4
    Timofei Derepasko
    Timofei Derepasko
    Ilia Simakin
    Ilia Simakin
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    L
    14.09.26
    Challenger Phan Thiet 4
    Timofei Derepasko
    Timofei Derepasko
    Taisei Ichikawa
    Taisei Ichikawa
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    3
    W
    13.09.26
    Challenger Phan Thiet 4
    Timofei Derepasko
    Timofei Derepasko
    Stefan Storch
    Stefan Storch
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Key factors

    • Sergey Fomin has won fewer than 12.5 games in 8 of his last 9 matches.
    • Sergey Fomin's form is inconsistent: just 3 wins in his last 10 matches.
    • Sergey Fomin has won 47% of games over his last 10 matches.
    • Timofei Derepаsko has won more than half of games and sets in recent matches.
    • In their head-to-head meeting, Sergey Fomin did not show a clear advantage.

    Expected scenario

    The main scenario centres on Sergey Fomin's inconsistency: he regularly loses in the early rounds of tournaments and rarely posts a high individual games total. Given Timofei Derepаsko's consistent form, there are grounds to think Fomin will again struggle to accumulate a large number of games.

    Total Games Prediction

    This trend reflects Sergey Fomin's recurring difficulty winning a high number of games regardless of the opponent - his form supports the likelihood of the individual total going under.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Looking at Sergey Fomin's form and match statistics, he rarely wins more than twelve games even against opponents of a similar level. Timofei Derepаsko currently looks the more composed player, which reduces the chances of the Uzbek tennis player clearing the individual total line. The pick is Sergey Fomin - Player Total Games Under 12.5.
    Sergey Fomin Total Under (12,5)
    Odds-122
    Published: 04/10/2026, 14:34
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Dmitry Rudakow
    Tennis expert
    40
    0
    34
    74 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Sergey Fomin - Timofei Derepasko

    Sergey Fomin has lost the 2nd set:
    fomin-sergeyin last 5 matches.
    2nd Set Timofei Derepasko to Win
    +153
    Sergey Fomin has lost:
    fomin-sergeyin last 5 matches.
    Timofei Derepasko to Win
    +195
    Under 2.5 sets:
    derepasko-timofei-1in 14 of last 16 Timofei Derepasko games.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    -208
    Under 21.5 games:
    derepasko-timofei-1in 14 of last 16 Timofei Derepasko games.
    Total Under (21,5)
    -111
    View more facts