Bellucci vs Harris Prediction 4 October 2026

Details
Key points

    🔊 The Jingshan Challenger final brings together Mattia Bellucci and Lloyd Harris. Both players came through the draw in convincing fashion, producing consistent results on hard courts. The match shapes up as a fitting conclusion to the week for both finalists.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 In their only previous meeting, Mattia Bellucci won 2-0.

    Head-to-head statistics Bellucci - Harris

    100%
    1 Win
    0%
    0 Wins
    22.05.24
    Roland-Garros
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Lloyd Harris
    Lloyd Harris
    2
    0
    6
    1
    711
    69
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Mattia Bellucci Player Overview

    Mattia Bellucci arrives at the final with six wins from his last ten matches, including solid performances at this tournament. On his way to the final he beat Janki Erel, Adam Walton and Alexander Müller, winning all three matches. Bellucci is hitting 63% of first serves in and holds his serve in 72% of service games. Over his last ten matches he has won six of them 2-0, which reflects his ability to control matches and close them out quickly. His set-winning percentage stands at 67%, and his return game and break-point conversion have been respectable.

    Match Results: Mattia Bellucci

    03.10.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Yanki Erel
    Yanki Erel
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    03.10.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Bernard Tomic
    Bernard Tomic
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    -
    -
    W
    01.10.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Adam Walton
    Adam Walton
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    0
    2
    5
    7
    2
    6
    W
    30.09.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Alexandre Muller
    Alexandre Muller
    2
    0
    6
    0
    6
    3
    W
    29.09.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Mattia Bellucci
    Mattia Bellucci
    Keisuke Saitoh
    Keisuke Saitoh
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    2
    W
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    Lloyd Harris Player Overview

    Lloyd Harris is in fine form - seven wins from his last ten matches, with seven of those coming in straight sets. In this tournament he has beaten Alex Bolt, Andre Ilagan and Luca Pavlovic without much difficulty. Harris is highly reliable on serve, holding 79% of his service games, and his first serve is strong, winning 72% of first-serve points. His second serve and break-point conversion are also worth noting, with 43% of break points converted. These numbers mean Harris rarely lets opponents take the match to a third set, and his overall set-winning percentage stands at an impressive 79%.

    Match Results: Lloyd Harris

    03.10.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Lloyd Harris
    Lloyd Harris
    Alex Bolt
    Alex Bolt
    1
    1
    5
    7
    77
    62
    0
    0
    W
    02.10.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Lloyd Harris
    Lloyd Harris
    Andre Ilagan
    Andre Ilagan
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    1
    W
    01.10.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Lloyd Harris
    Lloyd Harris
    Luka Pavlovic
    Luka Pavlovic
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    W
    30.09.26
    ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles
    Lloyd Harris
    Lloyd Harris
    Alexis Galarneau
    Alexis Galarneau
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    3
    W
    27.09.26
    CHE
    Lloyd Harris
    Lloyd Harris
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    0
    2
    610
    712
    4
    6
    L
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    Key factors

    • Total Sets - Under 2.5 has landed in 6 of Mattia Bellucci's last 7 matches.
    • Both players frequently win their matches in straight sets: Bellucci has 6 wins by 2-0, Harris has 7 wins by 2-0 in their last 10 matches.
    • Both players have high set-winning rates, which reduces the likelihood of a third set.
    • Their most recent head-to-head match ended in two sets, in Mattia Bellucci's favour.

    Expected scenario

    Taking both players' form and sets-won statistics into account, a straight-sets final looks the most likely outcome. The high frequency of two-set wins for both players supports this pick - a three-set match seems unlikely.

    Total Games Prediction

    This fits a broader pattern with Bellucci's matches - most of them finish in two sets, even against strong opponents.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    The form of Mattia Bellucci and Lloyd Harris points to a short match - both players have been winning consistently without dropping sets, and their sets-won figures remain high. Their most recent head-to-head also finished in two sets. The pick is Total Sets - Under 2.5.
    Sets Total Under (2,5)
    Odds-169
    Published: 03/10/2026, 12:39
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    40
    0
    28
    68 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Mattia Bellucci - Lloyd Harris

    Mattia Bellucci has won the 1st set:
    mattia-bellucciin 5 of last 6 matches (ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles).
    1st Set Mattia Bellucci to Win
    +107
    Mattia Bellucci has won the 2nd set:
    mattia-bellucciin 5 of last 6 matches (ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles).
    2nd Set Mattia Bellucci to Win
    +109
    Lloyd Harris has won the 2nd set:
    harris-lloyd-george-muirheadin 8 of last 9 matches.
    harris-lloyd-george-muirheadin last 4 matches (ATP Challenger Jingshan, China, Men Singles).
    2nd Set Lloyd Harris to Win
    -152
    Lloyd Harris has won:
    harris-lloyd-george-muirheadin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Lloyd Harris to Win
    -164
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