Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Quarterfinal
Yanaki Milev
BGR
ATP - 500
16
:
47
:
27
Juan Manuel La Serna
ARG
ATP - 289

Milev vs La Serna Prediction 4 September 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Yanaki Milev and Juan Manuel La Serna meet for a place in the semi-finals of the Plovdiv 3 Challenger. On clay, both players arrive at the quarter-final in similar form and with comparable statistics, which makes this a potentially tight contest. The match looks interesting from a games distribution perspective.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Yanaki Milev and Juan Manuel La Serna have never previously met.

    Yanaki Milev Player Overview

    Yanaki Milev has won five of his last ten matches, reflecting neutral form over that stretch. In the two most recent rounds of the tournament he beat Petar Nesterov and Ignacio Parisk, showing he can win against opponents at a similar level. The average number of games played in his matches exceeds 20, and his set and game win rate sits just above half at 52%. On serve, Milev has struggled, holding fewer than a third of his service games, though he compensates with his ability to break and converts break points at around 30%. He has won three of his last five matches without suffering a losing streak.

    Match Results: Yanaki Milev

    03.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    Ignacio Parisca
    Ignacio Parisca
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    0
    W
    01.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Petr Nesterov
    Petr Nesterov
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    1
    2
    66
    78
    6
    3
    4
    6
    W
    27.08.26
    ITF M25 Spain Oviedo
    Ivan Gakhov
    Ivan Gakhov
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    2
    1
    2
    6
    7
    6
    7
    5
    L
    26.08.26
    ITF M25 Spain Oviedo
    Jose Dominguez Alonso
    Jose Dominguez Alonso
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    1
    2
    2
    6
    7
    6
    4
    6
    W
    25.08.26
    ITF M25 Spain Oviedo
    Yanaki Milev
    Yanaki Milev
    Carlos Lopez Montagud
    Carlos Lopez Montagud
    0
    0
    5
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Juan Manuel La Serna Player Overview

    Juan Manuel La Cerna goes into this match with six wins from ten matches - a slightly better record than his opponent. The Argentine has been consistent in the early rounds of tournaments, including recent wins over Alexander Vasilev and Nikita Mashtakov, also here in Plovdiv. His set-winning percentage stands at 55%, and his games-winning rate is around half. Unlike Milev, La Cerna holds serve considerably more reliably - retaining around 73% of his service games - while his break-point conversion rate is 41%. This balance keeps him competitive against players of a similar ranking.

    Match Results: Juan Manuel La Serna

    03.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Nikita Mashtakov
    Nikita Mashtakov
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    0
    2
    2
    6
    4
    6
    W
    01.09.26
    Challenger Plovdiv 3
    Alexander Vasilev
    Alexander Vasilev
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    0
    2
    1
    6
    2
    6
    W
    26.08.26
    Challenger Augsburg
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Hynek Barton
    Hynek Barton
    1
    2
    6
    1
    5
    7
    2
    6
    L
    25.08.26
    Challenger Augsburg
    Benjamin Hassan
    Benjamin Hassan
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    1
    2
    2
    6
    6
    3
    5
    7
    W
    20.08.26
    ATP Challenger Sion, Switzerland Men Singles
    Tommaso Compagnucci
    Tommaso Compagnucci
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    2
    1
    6
    3
    61
    77
    6
    4
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • The average number of games per match for both players exceeds 20.
    • Both players have won 3 of their last 5 matches, which points to a competitive contest.
    • Their set and game win percentages are close - 52% and 55% respectively.
    • In recent matches, both players regularly go the distance across two full sets and neither has been bagelled.
    • Neither player shows a clear edge on serve or return, which increases the likelihood of an even contest.

    Expected scenario

    The match looks set to be an even contest, with neither player dominating on serve or return. Two extended sets or a possible third set are expected - a pattern that favours the Total Games Over line through long sets or an additional set.

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    The two players' similar form and statistics make a high total a logical option for this match. Neither has a clear edge - both regularly play long matches without losing a set. With the sides so evenly matched, the total going over looks like the most likely scenario for this quarter-final. The pick is Total Games - Over 20.5.
    Total Over (20,5)
    Published: 03/09/2026, 16:57
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Viktar Piatrouski
    Tennis expert
    32
    0
    19
    51 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Yanaki Milev - Juan Manuel La Serna

    Juan Manuel La Serna has won the 1st set:
    la-serna-juan-manuel-1in 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Juan Manuel La Serna Win
    -278
    Yanaki Milev has won the 1st set:
    milev-yanaki-1in last 5 matches.
    1st Set Yanaki Milev Win
    +190
    Yanaki Milev won with a +1.5 sets handicap:
    milev-yanaki-1in last 5 matches.
    Yanaki Milev Sets Handicap (+1,5)
    -104
    Yanaki Milev won with a +3.5 games handicap:
    milev-yanaki-1in last 5 matches.
    Yanaki Milev Handicap (+3,5)
    +124