Surface:
Green clay
Round:
Semifinal
Madison Keys
USA
WTA - 18
0
:
2
Ended
Yulia Starodubtsewa
UKR
WTA - 89

Keys vs Starodubtseva Prediction 4 April 2026

    USA
    Madison Keys
    UKR
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    1
    4
    0
    6
    6
    2

    🔊 Will Yuliia Starodubtseva's triumphant run through the Charleston 500 continue? The 89th-ranked player reaching the semifinals is already a major surprise, and her journey to this late stage is remarkable, having dropped just one set in four matches. Will her confidence hold up against her most high-profile opponent of the tournament, Madison Keys? Let's assess the odds for both players in our editorial's prediction.

    Head-to-Head

    ❓This is the first time these tennis players have met.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    50%
    1 Win
    50%
    1 Win
    16.05.26
    WTA 125K Paris, France Women Singles
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    2
    1
    1
    6
    6
    2
    6
    3
    04.04.26
    USA Charleston
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    0
    2
    1
    6
    4
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Madison Keys Player Overview

    The change in surface has clearly benefited Madison Keys, as she hasn't strung together three consecutive wins since the Australian Open. In the quarterfinals of the current WTA 500 event, she managed to overcome higher-ranked Belinda Bencic, not without difficulty, with a scoreline of 4-6, 6-3, 6-2. Despite Charleston's slower surface compared to hard courts, Madison stays true to her style, relying on her powerful serve, which averages about four aces per match. However, unforced errors remain an issue, although her rate is not above the women's tour average at 4%.

    Match Results: Madison Keys

    01.06.26
    Roland-Garros
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Diana Shnaider
    Diana Shnaider
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    3
    0
    6
    L
    30.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Victoria Mboko
    Victoria Mboko
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    1
    2
    3
    6
    7
    5
    5
    7
    W
    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Antonia Ruzic
    Antonia Ruzic
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    0
    2
    4
    6
    4
    6
    W
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Hanne Vandewinkel
    Hanne Vandewinkel
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    0
    2
    3
    6
    0
    6
    W
    17.05.26
    WTA 125K Paris, France Women Singles
    Madison Keys
    Madison Keys
    Diane Parry
    Diane Parry
    1
    0
    6
    3
    3
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Yulia Starodubtsewa Player Overview

    Yulia Starodubtseva impresses with her current form: she began her campaign from the first round in Charleston and dropped only one set on her way to the semifinals. Despite her low ranking (89th position), Starodubtseva confidently handles the pressure from higher-ranked opponents, thanks to her solid first serve, which boasts a 74% accuracy. In recent matches, she has fought hard for every game, including her opponent's, evident from her 52% conversion rate on break points.

    Match Results: Yulia Starodubtsewa

    29.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Xiyu Wang
    Xiyu Wang
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    2
    0
    6
    3
    7
    5
    L
    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    7
    6
    W
    24.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Anna Blinkova
    Anna Blinkova
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    0
    2
    3
    6
    1
    6
    W
    20.05.26
    Morocco Rabat
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Anhelina Kalinina
    Anhelina Kalinina
    0
    2
    3
    6
    63
    77
    L
    19.05.26
    Morocco Rabat
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Yulia Starodubtsewa
    Angela Fita Boluda
    Angela Fita Boluda
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction on the outcome

    Trends
    • Yulia Starodubtsewa won with a +4.5 games handicap in 9 of last 10 matches.
    👉Prediction: Yulia Starodubtsewa Handicap (+4.5)(odds: 2)

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Under 20.5 games in 7 of last 8 Yulia Starodubtsewa games.
    👉Prediction: Total Under (20.5)(odds: 1.83)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The match promises to be thrilling due to the contrasting styles of the two players: Madison Keys' aggressive attack meets Yulia Starodubtseva's solid defense. Considering both players' current form and their stats on green clay, a tight contest for every game is expected. The outcome will likely hinge on who capitalizes better on return errors. With this scenario, the underdog has a chance to challenge the higher-ranked world No. 18 Keys, making a bet on Starodubtseva's spread (+4.5) worth considering.

    Our choice
    Yulia Starodubtsewa Handicap (+4.5) at odds of +103*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (4 April 2026, 04:39)

    Betting Tips: Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtsewa

    Yulia Starodubtsewa has won the 2nd set
    starodubtsewa-yuliain 9 of last 10 matches.
    starodubtsewa-yuliain last 4 matches (WTA Charleston).
    2nd Set Yulia Starodubtsewa Win
    +250
    Yulia Starodubtsewa has won
    starodubtsewa-yuliain 8 of last 9 matches.
    Yulia Starodubtsewa Win
    Bovada
    +375
    Madison Keys has won the 1st set
    keys-madisonin 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Madison Keys Win
    Bovada
    -345
    Madison Keys has won under 13.5 games
    keys-madisonin 13 of last 14 matches.
    Madison Keys Total Under (13.5)
    -400
    View more facts