Bonzi vs Buse Prediction 3 September 2026
🔊 Ignacio Buse carried his momentum from the Winston-Salem title into the US Open, extending his winning streak to six matches after the first round of the Major - his debut in the main draw of an American Grand Slam. In the next round he faces Benjamin Bonzi, who has more experience in five-set matches on these courts, having reached the third round twice. The Frenchman is also defending ranking points from the same stage last year. Let's look at who has the better chance of staying in New York.
Head-to-Head
📊 The only previous meeting between these players took place last week in the semi-finals of Winston-Salem. The Peruvian came out on top, beating the Frenchman in three sets (6-2, 4-6, 6-1).
Benjamin Bonzi Player Overview
Benjamin Bonzi had a solid week in Winston-Salem for a world No. 97, reaching the semi-finals. That run gave him good match practice before the US Open, and he carried it into the first round of the Major with a confident win over Alex Molcan (6-4, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2). The Frenchman has a powerful serve and holds 81% of his service games. He also hits plenty of aces - against Molcan, for instance, he served 14. Bonzi is primarily a hard-court player, though he has played close to 250 matches on clay as well. He tends to play short points and comes to the net frequently rather than grinding from the baseline.
Match Results: Benjamin Bonzi
Ignacio Buse Player Overview
Ignacio Buse began the summer hard-court swing with back-to-back losses in Montreal and Cincinnati, but then, somewhat surprisingly for a specialist on clay, won the ATP 250 title in Winston-Salem ahead of the US Open. Notably, three of his five matches there went the distance. That pattern of extended matches continued in New York, where he beat Marcos Giron in five sets (3-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-7, 6-1). Although his hold percentage is just 72%, the Peruvian has been holding serve consistently, aided by a high first-serve accuracy of 69%. Unlike more typical South American clay-court players, Buse is more aggressive - capable of sustaining deep baseline exchanges as well as shortening rallies when he chooses.
Match Results: Ignacio Buse
Key factors
- The only previous hard-court meeting between these two players went to three sets.
- Bonzi averages 39.3 games per match, while Buse averages 31.9.
- Neither player often wins matches without dropping a set, which increases the likelihood of a longer match.
Expected scenario
Bonzi will likely try to seize the initiative early with a powerful first serve and frequent net approaches, while the composed Ignacio Buse looks to extend rallies, unsettling the Frenchman with a heavy topspin forehand and a precise down-the-line backhand. The match could well stretch to four or five sets: Bonzi may dominate his service games, but if his first-serve percentage drops, the mentally resilient Peruvian could take control from the baseline and force his opponent into errors in the longer exchanges.
⭐ Editor's Pick
This match looks set to be a classic contest between the Frenchman's attacking style and the Peruvian's defensive game. Physical endurance over five sets could be a key factor, with Buse's tactical flexibility and his recent win over Bonzi in Winston-Salem potentially making the difference in a long finish. That said, it is worth noting that their only previous meeting went the full distance, and both players also went beyond the minimum three sets in the first round. Given all that, a bet on Total Games - Over 37.5 looks reasonable.
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Betting Tips: Benjamin Bonzi - Ignacio Buse
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