Peliwo vs Marrero Curbelo Prediction 4 August 2026
🔊 Filip Peliwo and Ivan Marrero Curbelo meet in the first round of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger on outdoor hard. A clear favourite against a player capable of taking games off higher-ranked opponents. The surface isn't a decisive factor here, but the way both players approach the game suggests this won't be a short one.
Head-to-Head
📊 No previous meetings between these two, so head-to-head record plays no part in this prediction.
Head-to-head statistics Peliwo - Marrero Curbelo
Filip Peliwo Player Overview
Filip Peliwo arrives at this tournament in inconsistent form - just 4 wins from his last 10 matches, with five shutout losses in that stretch. His last win came against Andris Skots, followed by two straight defeats. He averages 19.8 games per match, which suggests he can make things competitive even when the result goes against him. Set win rate sits at 41%, games at 45%. Only around 4% of his own games go his way, which explains the shutout count. That said, Peliwo can take individual sets and games even against the favourites.
Match Results: Filip Peliwo
Ivan Marrero Curbelo Player Overview
Ivan Marrero Curbelo is in good form - nine wins from his last ten matches, with a set win rate of 82%. He moves through the early rounds consistently and tends to close out matches quickly against lower-ranked opponents. His average is 16.4 games per match, though the total line sits right around that number, and quick wins aren't guaranteed: one straight-sets loss shows there's some variance even when he's playing well. Game win rate stands at 59%, serve is above average - holding 35% of his own games - which gives him control in most matches.
Match Results: Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Key factors
- Filip Peliwo averages 19.8 games per match.
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo averages 16.4 games per match - close to the total line.
- Peliwo has five straight-set losses, but he does take games and occasionally sets.
- Marrero Curbelo wins 82% of sets, though he doesn't always close matches at maximum speed.
- The total line sits in a range that can be cleared even in a two-set match with some resistance.
Expected scenario
Marrero Curbelo should control this match as the favourite, but Peliwo has the tools to take a few games or even a set - the average game count in his matches runs high enough to matter. The most likely outcome is a straight-sets win for the Spaniard with some competitive stretches from the Canadian. The total line could be hit through long sets or a tighter second set.
Prediction on the outcome
- Filip Peliwo has lost in 5 of last 6 matches.
- Ivan Marrero Curbelo has won in 14 of last 15 matches.
⭐ Editor's Pick
Ivan Marrero Curbelo's consistent form and high set win rate make him the clear favourite here. Pelivo tends to push back within individual sets and rarely collapses across both in a row - his average game count sits close to the chosen total line. Over 19.5 games.
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Betting Tips: Filip Peliwo - Ivan Marrero Curbelo
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