Berrettini vs Arnaldi Prediction 3 June 2026
π All-Italian clash at Roland Garros: Matteo Berrettini and Matteo Arnaldi go head-to-head for a place in the semifinals. Remarkably, neither player is ranked inside the worldβs top 100-a rare occurrence at this stage of a Grand Slam. Adding to the intrigue, they sit side by side in the rankings at 105 and 104, respectively. Which Matteo will advance? Check out our in-depth analysis and prediction for this matchup.
Head-to-Head
π Matteo Berrettini and Matteo Arnaldi have never faced each other before and are now set for their first-ever head-to-head clash.
Matteo Berrettini Player Overview
πΎ Berrettini is a seasoned campaigner who once broke into the worldβs top ten, but a string of injuries in recent seasons has seen him slip down the rankings. The last time Matteo competed at Roland Garros was back in 2021, when he made a run to the quarterfinals.
This season, his clay-court record has been modest-heβs only managed to post a positive win-loss tally at this tournament, with 12 victories and 9 defeats overall. In the previous round, the Italian saw off the gritty clay-court specialist Juan Manuel Cerundolo (6-3, 7-6, 7-6). In that match, Berrettini found his first serve with 71% accuracy, winning 84% of points behind it and firing down 5 aces.
Match Results: Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Arnaldi Player Overview
πΎ This is Matteo Arnaldiβs fourth appearance at Roland Garros, with his previous best result being a run to the Round of 16 in 2024. So far this season, Arnaldi has put together a solid clay-court record for his ranking-12 wins and 6 losses. At this yearβs French Open, he hasnβt managed a straight-sets victory yet, and his last two matches both went the distance to five sets.
In the previous round, the Italian outlasted the resilient Frances Tiafoe in a five-set battle (3-2), clinching the final two sets. Arnaldi landed 65% of his first serves in that match and fired 18 aces-a remarkable figure on clay.
Match Results: Matteo Arnaldi
Expected scenario
π A lengthy battle of at least four sets is on the cards, given how evenly matched these players are. Arnaldi holds the edge on serve, while Berrettini excels on return, setting the stage for a tightly contested encounter with a close scoreline throughout. The chances of this match going to a deciding fifth set are high, especially since Arnaldiβs last two outings both went the distance.
Editors' Prediction
Berrettini's experience could give him a slight tactical edge, but Arnaldi currently looks sharper physically and is five years younger than his opponent. Arnaldi also boasts a stronger serve, which should allow him to hold comfortably throughout the match, while his return game could be the key to turning the tide. Berrettini are unlikely to dominate proceedings, so our well-founded prediction is to back Arnaldi with a +5 game handicap.
Betting Tips: Matteo Berrettini - Matteo Arnaldi
Other predictions
