Svitolina vs Joint Prediction 3 September 2026
🔊 In this second-round match at the 2026 US Open, experience meets bold youth as Elina Svitolina takes on Maia Joynt. The seasoned Ukrainian will look to justify her status as favourite, while the young Australian will attempt to cause another upset in New York.
Head-to-Head
📊 Elina Svitolina and Maia Joynt have no previous meetings on record. The head-to-head record has no bearing on the prediction for this match.
Elina Svitolina Player Overview
Svitolina has had a strong and consistent season on hard courts. Before New York, she produced quality performances at the major American tournaments, reaching the later rounds in Toronto and Cincinnati. She is in excellent physical condition, moves well around the court, and plays with the assurance of a top player. It is also worth noting that Elina got some extra match time in the mixed doubles, where she and her husband Gaël Monfils reached the semi-finals to the delight of the local crowd.
Her opening match against Solana Sierra was straightforward. Svitolina dominated her opponent completely, not giving her a chance to take even a single set. It is worth noting that over this stretch of the season Svitolina holds a high set-winning percentage of 68% and is reliable on serve, winning 58% of her service games. She averages 2.4 aces per match, though double faults do appear at a rate of 8%.
Match Results: Elina Svitolina
Maya Joint Player Overview
For 20-year-old Maia Joynt, this year has been a mixed one - strong results followed by dips in form. She does, however, tend to raise her game at Grand Slams. The highlight of her summer was a win over a returning Serena Williams at Wimbledon, which immediately drew attention to the Australian's composure under pressure. She arrived at the US Open as a dangerous underdog, capable of punishing anyone who underestimates her.
In the first round in New York, Joint caused a real upset by eliminating the solid Ludmila Samsonova. She dropped the first set but showed remarkable resilience, adjusted her game and ground out a three-set victory. On serve, the Australian wins 62% of service games. Her double-fault rate is below average at 6%, and her break-point conversion rate is close to half at 48%. Even in defeats, Joynt regularly takes a meaningful share of games, which is reflected in her individual total streak.
Match Results: Maya Joint
Key factors
- Maya Joint has won more than 6.5 games in 19 consecutive matches.
- The average number of games in Maya Joint's matches is 25 over her last 10.
- Maya Joint's games-won rate is consistent at 52% over her last 10 matches.
- Elina Svitolina does not always win matches without dropping a set, which increases the opponent's chances of reaching the required total.
Expected scenario
In this match, Maia Joynt is expected to give the favourite a decent contest and take a reasonable number of games, given her consistent results in recent weeks and Svitolina's tendency not to win quickly and cleanly. The probability of a third set is rated as moderate - the scenario assumes Joynt wins at least seven games in total.
⭐ Editor's Pick
The Australian has already shown in her first-round match against Samsonova that she has a fighting spirit, can handle pressure and is capable of extending rallies against top players. Svitolina is clearly the superior player, but in the early rounds of Grand Slams Elina rarely produces a flawless performance from start to finish, with lapses in concentration appearing from time to time. Joynt is quite capable of taking her 7 games even across two sets, simply by holding serve on the back of confidence and an aggressive style. With nothing to lose as the clear underdog, free-flowing baseline play should help her avoid a heavy defeat and reach the required minimum. The pick is Maia Joynt - Player Total Games Over 6.5.
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Betting Tips: Elina Svitolina - Maya Joint
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