Surface:
Hard
Round:
Quarterfinal
Jannik Sinner
ITA
ATP - 1
3
:
0
Ended
Lorenzo Musetti
ITA
ATP - 10

Sinner vs Musetti Prediction 4 September 2025

    ITA
    Jannik Sinner
    ITA
    Lorenzo Musetti
    6
    6
    6
    3
    1
    4
    2
    0

    🔊 In the quarterfinals of the US Open men's tournament, Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti will face off. We're in for an all-Italian clash between the world No. 1 and No. 10. Bookmakers have Sinner as the favorite in this match-up, but could his compatriot become an insurmountable obstacle for last year's US Open champion? Let's dive into this. You'll find the match analysis and prediction in our article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the past five years, Jannik Sinner and Lorenzo Musetti have faced each other twice, with Jannik emerging victorious on both occasions.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    04.09.25
    USO
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    3
    0
    6
    1
    6
    4
    6
    2
    21.04.23
    Spain Barcelona, ATP Men Singles
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    -
    -
    14.04.23
    MON
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    2
    6
    2
    6
    20.10.21
    ANT
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Jannik Sinner Player Overview

    🎾 Sinner is showcasing exceptional tennis as he advances towards another major title. This year on hard courts, the Italian has won 16 matches, losing only once - to Alcaraz in the Cincinnati final, where Jannik had to retire due to injury in the first set.

    🔔 In the third round against Denis Shapovalov, Sinner dropped his only set of the tournament; the rest of his matches have been smooth sailing. In the Round of 16, Jannik made quick work of Alexander Bublik, conceding just three games (6-1, 6-1, 6-1). The match lasted only 1 hour and 23 minutes, with the Italian firing 8 aces and winning 81% of his points on the first serve.

    Match Results: Jannik Sinner

    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    2
    5
    7
    1
    6
    1
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Clement Tabur
    Clement Tabur
    3
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Lorenzo Musetti Player Overview

    🎾 Musetti may prefer clay courts, but he's been proving his prowess on hard courts recently, boasting an 11/7 win-loss record on this surface this year. At the US Open, Lorenzo dropped just one set to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the first round, cruising through the rest with straight-set victories.

    🔔 In his latest match, Musetti faced Jaume Munar, defeating him in just 1 hour and 38 minutes (6-3, 6-0, 6-1). Despite a less-than-perfect first serve percentage (51%), Lorenzo won 82% of points on his first serve, hitting 7 aces. Additionally, he secured 66% of points on his second serve, further solidifying his overall performance.

    Match Results: Lorenzo Musetti

    12.05.26
    ROM
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    0
    2
    3
    6
    1
    6
    L
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Francisco Cerundolo
    Francisco Cerundolo
    2
    0
    79
    67
    6
    4
    W
    08.05.26
    ROM
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    28.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Jiri Lehecka
    Jiri Lehecka
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    3
    L
    26.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Tallon Griekspoor
    Tallon Griekspoor
    Lorenzo Musetti
    Lorenzo Musetti
    0
    2
    4
    6
    5
    7
    W
    Empty
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    Editor's Prediction

    Musetti performs well in this particular tournament, but overall, his hard court game lacks the power compared to other top-10 players, as reflected in his win-loss record. Given Sinner's current form, it's unlikely his compatriot can halt his progress; there's no aspect where Musetti holds an advantage (the answer is none!!!). We believe Jannik will confidently advance to the final and back a Sinner handicap of (-6.5).

    Our choice
    Jannik Sinner Handicap (-6.5) at odds of -175*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (2 September 2025, 09:44)

    Betting Tips: Jannik Sinner - Lorenzo Musetti

    Jannik Sinner has won the 1st set
    sinner-jannikin 9 of last 10 matches (ATP US Open).
    1st Set Jannik Sinner Win
    Bovada
    -714
    Lorenzo Musetti has won
    musetti-lorenzoin 6 of last 7 matches (ATP US Open).
    Lorenzo Musetti Win
    Bovada
    +1400
    Jannik Sinner has won (bo5 series)
    sinner-jannikin 31 of last 32 matches.
    Jannik Sinner has won
    sinner-jannikin last 11 matches (ATP US Open).
    Jannik Sinner Win
    Everygame
    -3333
    Lorenzo Musetti has won the 2nd set
    musetti-lorenzoin 10 of last 11 matches (ATP US Open).
    Lorenzo Musetti has won the 2nd set (bo5 series)
    musetti-lorenzoin last 5 matches.
    2nd Set Lorenzo Musetti Win
    +440
    View more facts