Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/64
Wang Xin Yu
CHN
WTA - 41
1
:
2
Ended
Daria Kasatkina
AUS
WTA - 61

Xin Yu vs Kasatkina Prediction 4 August 2026

Details
The main thing
    CHN
    Wang Xin Yu
    AUS
    Daria Kasatkina
    6
    65
    5
    1
    1
    77
    7
    2

    🔊 Wang Xinyu and Daria Kasatkina meet in the first round in Toronto. A tough match to call - neither has been playing consistent tennis lately. Even the bookmakers can't split them; the odds are close to even. 

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two have met three times, with Wang Xinyu leading 2-1. She won the most recent meeting too. But three matches isn't enough to call it dominance - the head-to-head is a supporting argument, not a decisive one.

    Head-to-head statistics Xin Yu - Kasatkina

    50%
    2 Wins
    50%
    2 Wins
    04.08.26
    Canada Toronto
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    1
    2
    6
    1
    6
    7
    5
    7
    17.06.25
    Berlin, Germany Women Singles
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    2
    25.06.24
    Great Britain Eastbourne
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    03.10.23
    China, Beijing
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    Empty
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    Wang Xin Yu Player Overview

    Four wins from her last nine matches. Over the past ten, Wang Xinyu has better numbers than her opponent today - 45% sets won, 47% games won, and she holds serve at around 73%. There are rough patches, but her service games stay solid and she converts break points when it matters. Double faults are at an acceptable level for a top-60 player.

    Match Results: Wang Xin Yu

    30.08.26
    USO
    Emiliana Arango
    Emiliana Arango
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    0
    2
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    18.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Aryna Sabalenka
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    2
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    L
    16.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    Donna Vekic
    Donna Vekic
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    6
    4
    W
    14.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    Hanne Vandewinkel
    Hanne Vandewinkel
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
    04.08.26
    Canada Toronto
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    1
    2
    6
    1
    65
    77
    5
    7
    L
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    Daria Kasatkina Player Overview

    Kasatkina has won four of her last ten matches. The form is inconsistent, and the numbers back that up - 36% of sets won, 46% of games. Her hold rate sits around 60%, which is a problem against an aggressive opponent. Double faults are another issue: roughly 11% per match on average. She's been bageled more than once and has dropped a lot of first sets - struggling to find her level early and keep it.

    Match Results: Daria Kasatkina

    13.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    Zeynep Sonmez
    Zeynep Sonmez
    1
    2
    6
    2
    64
    77
    3
    6
    L
    05.08.26
    Canada Toronto
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    Elena Rybakina
    Elena Rybakina
    1
    2
    3
    6
    7
    5
    4
    6
    L
    04.08.26
    Canada Toronto
    Wang Xin Yu
    Wang Xin Yu
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    1
    2
    6
    1
    65
    77
    5
    7
    W
    28.07.26
    WAS
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    Anna Kalinskaya
    Anna Kalinskaya
    0
    2
    4
    6
    1
    6
    L
    26.07.26
    WAS
    Daria Kasatkina
    Daria Kasatkina
    Alana Smith
    Alana Smith
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Key factors

    • Wang Xinyu leads the head-to-head 2-1.
    • Kasatkina has dropped the first set in five matches in a row.
    • Wang Xinyu has a higher set and game win rate over her last 10 matches.
    • Kasatkina loses matches in straight sets more often - a sign of inconsistency.
    • Their last meeting went to Wang Xinyu 2-0.

    Expected scenario

    The match should be competitive, but Wang Xinyu has a slight edge - better set win rate and a positive head-to-head record. A third set is possible, not likely. Kasatkina's habit of struggling in opening sets could end up deciding things. That fits with Wang Xinyu to win.

    Prediction on the over/under

    Trends
    • Under 25.5 games in 9 of last 10 Wang Xin Yu games.
    👉Prediction: (odds: 1.43)

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    Neither player is in great form, but Wang Xinyu's numbers tell a clearer story - better performance in key games, solid hold rate on serve. The head-to-head adds to that picture: she has the edge over Daria Kasatkina, who tends to struggle early in matches and has lost more than a few without taking a set. The pick here is on the Chinese player regardless of how many sets it takes. The bet - Wang Xinyu to win the match.
    Wang Xin Yu Win
    Bovada
    Place a bet-110
    Published: 03/08/2026, 12:43
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Snooker, tennis and football specialist
    132
    1
    105
    238 predictions
    Statistics for August 2026

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    Betting Tips: Wang Xin Yu - Daria Kasatkina

    Daria Kasatkina has lost the 1st set:
    kasatkina-dariain last 5 matches.
    1st Set Wang Xin Yu Win
    Bovada
    -115
    Under 25.5 games:
    wang-xin-yuin 9 of last 10 Wang Xin Yu games.
    Total Under (25,5)
    -