🔊 In the first round in Toronto, McCartney Kessler takes on Cadence Brace. The American has been a top-100 player for a while now; the Canadian isn't even inside the top 200. That gap shows up in the odds, as you'd expect. Here's our prediction and the bet that makes the most sense.
Head-to-Head
📊 McCartney Kessler and Cadence Brace have never played each other. No head-to-head record, so that factor doesn't come into the prediction.
Head to Head
Mccartney Kessler Player Overview
MacKenzie Kessler has won 4 of her last 10 matches - not a strong run by any measure, but across several key metrics she's clearly ahead of her opponent. Over that stretch, she's won 46% of games and taken 41% of sets - both above her current opponent's average. On serve, she holds 63% of service games, which is around average, with a 55% points-won rate. The results have been inconsistent, but her recent win over Aleksandra Oliynykova at Wimbledon shows she can handle opponents outside the top 100. There have been a few bagel losses in her last five matches, but on the underlying numbers, Kessler has the edge.
Match Results: Mccartney Kessler
Cadence Brace Player Overview
Cadence Brace is going through a rough stretch - three wins from ten matches, five of them bagel losses. She's holding serve in just 17% of her service games, one of the lowest figures in the WTA main draw field. Points won on serve sit at 44%, and a 9% double-fault rate makes things worse. Recent losses have come against players outside the top 200.
Match Results: Cadence Brace
Key factors
- McCartney Kessler is ranked significantly higher.
- Cadence Brace has won just 3 of her last 10 matches.
- Kessler's games won percentage is higher than her opponent's.
- Brace wins only 17% of her service games over the last 10 matches.
- In their last five matches, both players have frequently lost sets to love.
Expected scenario
The gap in level and stats between the two players points to a straightforward win for McCartney Kessler. A third set looks unlikely - most scenarios here end in two sets, without extended games or tie-breaks. That fits the -6.5 handicap on the favourite: the margin can open up as early as the second set.
Prediction on the outcome
- Cadence Brace has lost in 5 of last 6 matches.
Prediction on the over/under
- Mccartney Kessler has won under 12.5 games in last 5 matches.
⭐ Editor's Pick
McCartney Kessler arrives better prepared - the ranking and stats make that clear. Brace's struggles holding serve set up a comfortable advantage for the American from the opening games. A quick two-setter points to a significant margin in the final game count. The pick: McCartney Kessler games handicap (-6.5).
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Betting Tips: Mccartney Kessler - Cadence Brace
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