Surface:
Hard
Round:
1/8
Jannik Sinner
ITA
ATP - 1
3
:
0
Ended
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
ATP - 24

Sinner vs Bublik Prediction 1 September 2025

    ITA
    Jannik Sinner
    KAZ
    Alexander Bublik
    6
    6
    6
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0

    🔊 In the fourth round of the US Open men's draw, Jannik Sinner will face off against Alexander Bublik. The world number one is set to clash with the 24th-ranked player. Bookmakers are favoring the Italian to come out on top in this encounter. But will it actually happen? Let's delve deeper into this matchup and make a prediction for the upcoming match.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Jannik Sinner and Alexander Bublik have faced off 6 times, with the Italian leading the head-to-head 4-2. Their most recent encounter was on clay in Halle, Germany, where the Kazakhstani emerged victorious with a 2-1 win (3-6, 6-3, 6-4).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    75%
    6 Wins
    25%
    2 Wins
    24.10.25
    Vienna
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    01.09.25
    USO
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    3
    0
    6
    1
    6
    1
    6
    1
    19.06.25
    Germany Halle
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    1
    2
    6
    3
    3
    6
    4
    6
    04.06.25
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    3
    0
    6
    1
    7
    5
    6
    0
    23.06.23
    Germany Halle
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    1
    0
    7
    5
    2
    0
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    Jannik Sinner Player Overview

    🎾 Sinner is the reigning US Open champion, but as he has often stated, he's not defending the title-he's aiming to claim it once more. His performance has been notably confident, though fans are concerned about his recent withdrawal from the Cincinnati tour, where Sinner didn't feel well in the final and chose to exit the competition early.

    🔔 In this year's US Open, the Italian has dropped just one set, which occurred in the previous round against Denis Shapovalov-a 3-1 victory (5-7, 6-4, 6-3, 6-3). In that match, Sinner achieved a first serve accuracy of 58% and won 84% of points on his first serve. Despite not serving with overwhelming power, he registered only 2 aces and committed 5 double faults.

    Match Results: Jannik Sinner

    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    2
    5
    7
    1
    6
    1
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Clement Tabur
    Clement Tabur
    3
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
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    Alexander Bublik Player Overview

    🎾 In the last two editions of the US Open, Bublik exited in the first round. This season, there's hope for a return to the Top 20, fueled by a deep run at the US Open. However, Alexander's hard court record isn't particularly impressive, with just 8 wins and 7 losses.

    🔔 In the tournament's opening two rounds, Bublik didn't drop a single set, defeating Marin Cilic (6-4, 6-1, 6-4) and Tristan Schoolkate (6-3, 6-3, 6-3) in succession. In the Round of 32, Alexander clinched a hard-fought victory against Tommy Paul in a grueling five-set match. The Kazakhstani player fired 22 aces but also committed 12 double faults during that encounter.

    Match Results: Alexander Bublik

    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    Jan-Lennard Struff
    1
    3
    5
    7
    78
    66
    4
    6
    5
    7
    L
    22.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    1
    6
    1
    4
    6
    77
    65
    L
    21.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Arthur Rinderknech
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    1
    2
    7
    5
    4
    6
    2
    6
    W
    20.05.26
    Switzerland Geneva
    Edas Butvilas
    Edas Butvilas
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    0
    2
    4
    6
    3
    6
    W
    10.05.26
    ROM
    Learner Tien
    Learner Tien
    Alexander Bublik
    Alexander Bublik
    2
    1
    4
    6
    6
    3
    7
    5
    L
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    Editor's Prediction

    Bublik's performance this season has been inconsistent-he has shown flashes of brilliance in certain stretches and matches, but overall, the picture isn't great, especially on hard courts. Sinner, on the other hand, thrives on hard surfaces, boasting 15 wins this season alone. His ability to dominate matches stems from a high first serve point percentage. With his experience, the Italian should advance comfortably. Our bet is on Sinner with a -6.5 handicap.

    Our choice
    Jannik Sinner Handicap (-6.5) at odds of -133*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (1 September 2025, 06:06)

    Betting Tips: Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik

    Jannik Sinner has won (bo5 series)
    sinner-jannikin 30 of last 31 matches.
    Jannik Sinner has won
    sinner-jannikin last 10 matches (ATP US Open).
    Jannik Sinner Win
    Everygame
    -1250
    Jannik Sinner has won the 2nd set (bo5 series)
    sinner-jannikin 19 of last 20 matches.
    Jannik Sinner has won the 2nd set
    sinner-jannikin 10 of last 11 matches (ATP US Open).
    2nd Set Jannik Sinner Win
    -400
    Jannik Sinner has won the 1st set
    sinner-jannikin 8 of last 9 matches (ATP US Open).
    1st Set Jannik Sinner Win
    Bovada
    -417
    Alexander Bublik has won the 3rd set (bo5 series)
    bublik-alexanderin 8 of last 9 matches.
    Alexander Bublik has won the 3rd set
    bublik-alexanderin last 4 matches (ATP US Open).
    3rd Set Alexander Bublik Win
    +272
    View more facts