Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Semifinal
Jannik Sinner
ITA
ATP - 1
2
:
0
Ended
Arthur Fils
FRA
ATP - 25

Sinner vs Fils Prediction 1 May 2026

    ITA
    Jannik Sinner
    FRA
    Arthur Fils
    6
    6
    2
    2
    4
    0

    🔊 In the semifinals of the Madrid Masters, Jannik Sinner and Arthur Fils, who have both made a strong impression in this tournament, will face off. In the ATP rankings, they currently sit at 1st and 25th respectively, which is why bookmakers have labeled the Italian as the favorite. Let's delve into whether Jannik can truly showcase his dominance and extend his impressive winning streak. Our match prediction can be found in this article.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Yannick Sinner and Arthur Fils have faced each other just once, with the Italian tennis player emerging victorious in that encounter.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    01.05.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    23.02.23
    France Marseille
    Fils, Arthur
    Fils, Arthur
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    -
    -
    11.02.23
    Montpellier (ATP)
    Fils, Arthur
    Fils, Arthur
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    0
    2
    5
    7
    2
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Jannik Sinner Player Overview

    🎾 Sinner skipped Madrid last year, which means he's set to bank a significant number of points this time around, further distancing himself from Alcaraz in the rankings. Moreover, Jannik is riding an incredible 21-match winning streak, and he's clearly not planning to halt it as he chases Novak Djokovic's record.

    🔔 As for the Madrid tournament, Sinner faced a three-setter only in the opening round against Benjamin Bonzi, but he has since wrapped up all his matches in straight sets. In the quarterfinals, the Italian comfortably defeated the solid clay-courter Rafael Jodar (6-2, 7-6), even securing a tiebreak without dropping a point. Jannik's first serve percentage was at 65% in that match, and he fired 6 aces-impressive stats for a two-set clay court encounter.

    Match Results: Jannik Sinner

    28.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    2
    5
    7
    1
    6
    1
    6
    L
    26.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Clement Tabur
    Clement Tabur
    3
    0
    6
    1
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    17.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Casper Ruud
    Casper Ruud
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    15.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Daniil Medvedev
    Daniil Medvedev
    2
    1
    6
    2
    5
    7
    6
    4
    W
    14.05.26
    ROM
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Arthur Fils Player Overview

    🎾 Fils is currently in impressive form, and his recent triumph at the clay tournament in Barcelona is a testament to that. While he may still lack experience against top-tier players, the 21-year-old Frenchman handles mid-level opponents with confidence. This season on clay, he boasts a flawless record of 9 wins out of 9 matches.

    🔔 In Madrid, Fils kicked off his campaign with a three-set match against Ignacio Buse and hasn't dropped a set since. In the quarterfinals, Arthur convincingly defeated Czech player Jiri Lehecka (6-3, 6-4), wrapping up the match in just over an hour. During that encounter, Fils won 86% of his points on first serve, despite hitting only 2 aces.

    Match Results: Arthur Fils

    09.05.26
    ROM
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Andrea Pellegrino
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    0
    0
    4
    0
    L
    01.05.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Jannik Sinner
    Jannik Sinner
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    L
    29.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    Jiri Lehecka
    Jiri Lehecka
    2
    0
    6
    3
    6
    4
    W
    28.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Tomas Martin Etcheverry
    Tomas Martin Etcheverry
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    0
    2
    3
    6
    4
    6
    W
    26.04.26
    Spain, Madrid
    Arthur Fils
    Arthur Fils
    Emilio Nava
    Emilio Nava
    2
    0
    77
    62
    6
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    👀 Expected Match Scenario

    We anticipate a calm start from both tennis players, with moderate resistance on each other's serves. Towards the end of the sets, we expect a surge of activity on returns from Jannik, a tactic he often uses to great effect.

    The main question is what Fils will come up with, knowing Sinner's approach. We believe Arthur will try to engage in counterplay, adjusting to the Italian's shots, though it's uncertain if he can maintain that pace.

    Editorial Prediction

    Fils brings plenty of energy, power, and enthusiasm to the court, but he lacks the experience against top-tier players at this stage of a tournament. Sinner skillfully adjusts his tactics even when his game isn't at its best, and Arthur won't overpower him since Sinner can respond with even greater force, making it tough to handle those returns. We anticipate the upcoming match will be swift, concluding in two sets, as both players have done in their last three matches, resulting in a low total games count. Our bet is on total games under 22.5.

    Our choice
    Total Under (22.5) at odds of -169*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (30 April 2026, 07:18)

    Betting Tips: Jannik Sinner - Arthur Fils

    Jannik Sinner has won the 1st set
    sinner-jannikin 20 of last 21 matches.
    1st Set Jannik Sinner Win
    Bovada
    -400
    Arthur Fils has won
    fils-arthur-1in last 9 matches.
    Arthur Fils Win
    MyBookie
    +1150
    Jannik Sinner has won
    sinner-jannikin 41 of last 42 matches.
    Jannik Sinner Win
    Bovada
    -714
    Arthur Fils has won the 2nd set
    fils-arthur-1in last 9 matches.
    fils-arthur-1in last 4 matches (ATP Madrid).
    2nd Set Arthur Fils Win
    +280
    View more facts