Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Semifinal
Sebastian Baez
ARG
ATP - 31
2
:
1
Ended
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ARG
ATP - 69

Baez vs Ugo Carabelli Prediction 1 March 2025

    ARG
    Sebastian Baez
    ARG
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    6
    3
    6
    2
    1
    6
    2
    1

    Will Sebastián Báez defeat Hugo Carabelli in the Santiago championship semifinals for the third time in a month? We will look into this and other important questions in our prediction. Both tennis players are showing excellent tennis on their home continent. So, the match promises to be very eventful.

    Head-to-Head

    In terms of head-to-head encounters, Baez holds a significant advantage (4-0). Thus, the bookmaker odds logically reflect the current standings.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    88%
    7 Wins
    13%
    1 Win
    13.02.26
    Argentina Buenos Aires
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    0
    2
    6
    7
    2
    6
    20.05.25
    ATP Hamburg
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    2
    4
    6
    01.03.25
    Chile, Santiago
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    2
    1
    6
    1
    3
    6
    6
    2
    22.02.25
    RIO (ATP)
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    6
    1
    11.02.25
    Argentina Buenos Aires
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    Empty
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    Sebastian Baez Player Overview

    Báez does not plan to slow down after his recent triumph in Rio de Janeiro, which is admirable in itself. Sebastián's playing style is quite energy-intensive. However, he demonstrates all his best qualities despite the approaching fatigue. The Argentine still moves around the court with magnificent speed, forcing competitors to capitulate under serious pressure. The athlete has finished seven games in a row in his favor, giving away three sets to his competitors.

    Match Results: Sebastian Baez

    07.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Alex Molcan
    Alex Molcan
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    2
    W
    06.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
    2
    0
    6
    2
    77
    62
    W
    05.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Maxim Mrva
    Maxim Mrva
    2
    0
    6
    4
    7
    5
    W
    03.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Tristan Boyer
    Tristan Boyer
    2
    0
    6
    2
    6
    4
    W
    02.06.26
    Czech Republic Prostejov, ATP Challenger Men Singles
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Sascha Wayenburg
    Sascha Wayenburg
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    3
    W
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    Camilo Ugo Carabelli Player Overview

    Carabelli also has excellent endurance, which allows him to stay afloat in long-distance races. A couple of weeks ago, Hugo conquered the challenger in Rosario. But with the right approach, he is capable of achieving an even more significant feat. Today, the representative from Argentina left Federico Coria with little chance, experiencing some issues with his serve (four breaks and less than half of the points won on the second attempt). Earlier, the athlete had a tough fight and managed to overcome Nicolas Jarry and Thiago Monteiro, not playing his best in return games (3 converted break points out of 11).

    Match Results: Camilo Ugo Carabelli

    27.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Andrey Rublev
    Andrey Rublev
    1
    3
    1
    6
    6
    1
    3
    6
    65
    77
    L
    25.05.26
    Roland-Garros
    Emilio Nava
    Emilio Nava
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    0
    3
    610
    712
    3
    6
    3
    6
    W
    21.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    2
    1
    6
    4
    610
    712
    6
    2
    L
    20.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Frances Tiafoe
    Frances Tiafoe
    2
    0
    77
    63
    77
    64
    W
    18.05.26
    ATP Hamburg
    Kamil Majchrzak
    Kamil Majchrzak
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    1
    2
    6
    1
    2
    6
    3
    6
    W
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    Editorial Prediction

    This match, in our assessment, should completely be dictated by Baez's pace. Since the aforementioned head-to-head confrontations, Carabelli has not transformed to the point of being unrecognizable, and we believe that he will once again not withstand the significant pressure from the skilled opponent. A victory for Sebastian with a handicap of -3.5 is the logical choice for this match.
    Our choice
    Sebastian Baez Handicap (-3.5) at odds of -111*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (1 March 2025, 03:20)

    Betting Tips: Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli

    Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won the 2nd set
    ugo-carabelli-camiloin 6 of last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Camilo Ugo Carabelli Win
    Bovada
    +150
    Sebastian Baez has won the 1st set
    baez-sebastianin 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Sebastian Baez Win
    Bovada
    -204
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won
    ugo-carabelli-camiloin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli Win
    Bovada
    +200
    Sebastian Baez has won
    baez-sebastianugo-carabelli-camiloin last 5 matches against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
    baez-sebastianin last 7 matches.
    baez-sebastianin last 5 matches (ATP Santiago).
    Sebastian Baez Win
    Bovada
    -250
    View more facts