Surface:
Red clay
Round:
Semifinal
Sebastian Baez
ARG
ATP - 31
2
:
1
Ended
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ARG
ATP - 69

Baez vs Ugo Carabelli Prediction 1 March 2025

    ARG
    Sebastian Baez
    ARG
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    6
    3
    6
    2
    1
    6
    2
    1

    Will Sebastián Báez defeat Hugo Carabelli in the Santiago championship semifinals for the third time in a month? We will look into this and other important questions in our prediction. Both tennis players are showing excellent tennis on their home continent. So, the match promises to be very eventful.

    Head-to-Head

    In terms of head-to-head encounters, Baez holds a significant advantage (4-0). Thus, the bookmaker odds logically reflect the current standings.

    Head-to-head statistics Baez - Ugo Carabelli

    88%
    7 Wins
    13%
    1 Win
    13.02.26
    Argentina Buenos Aires
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    0
    2
    6
    7
    2
    6
    20.05.25
    ATP Hamburg
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    1
    2
    3
    6
    6
    2
    4
    6
    01.03.25
    Chile, Santiago
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    2
    1
    6
    1
    3
    6
    6
    2
    22.02.25
    RIO (ATP)
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    2
    1
    3
    6
    6
    1
    6
    1
    11.02.25
    Argentina Buenos Aires
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    Empty
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    Sebastian Baez Player Overview

    Báez does not plan to slow down after his recent triumph in Rio de Janeiro, which is admirable in itself. Sebastián's playing style is quite energy-intensive. However, he demonstrates all his best qualities despite the approaching fatigue. The Argentine still moves around the court with magnificent speed, forcing competitors to capitulate under serious pressure. The athlete has finished seven games in a row in his favor, giving away three sets to his competitors.

    Match Results: Sebastian Baez

    26.08.26
    WIN
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    1
    0
    6
    2
    4
    0
    L
    25.08.26
    WIN
    Hugo Grenier
    Hugo Grenier
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    0
    2
    5
    7
    62
    77
    W
    24.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Hubert Hurkacz
    1
    2
    6
    4
    0
    6
    3
    6
    L
    23.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Lloyd Harris
    Lloyd Harris
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    4
    W
    22.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Sebastian Baez
    Sebastian Baez
    Chak Lam Coleman Wong
    Chak Lam Coleman Wong
    2
    0
    6
    4
    6
    0
    W
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    Camilo Ugo Carabelli Player Overview

    Carabelli also has excellent endurance, which allows him to stay afloat in long-distance races. A couple of weeks ago, Hugo conquered the challenger in Rosario. But with the right approach, he is capable of achieving an even more significant feat. Today, the representative from Argentina left Federico Coria with little chance, experiencing some issues with his serve (four breaks and less than half of the points won on the second attempt). Earlier, the athlete had a tough fight and managed to overcome Nicolas Jarry and Thiago Monteiro, not playing his best in return games (3 converted break points out of 11).

    Match Results: Camilo Ugo Carabelli

    21.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Moez Echargui
    Moez Echargui
    0
    1
    2
    6
    0
    5
    L
    19.08.26
    Challenger Cancun
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Nicolas Mejia
    Nicolas Mejia
    2
    0
    7
    5
    6
    4
    W
    13.08.26
    USA Cincinnati
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Miomir Kecmanovic
    Miomir Kecmanovic
    0
    2
    3
    6
    3
    6
    L
    04.08.26
    Canada Montreal
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Cameron Norrie
    Cameron Norrie
    0
    2
    6
    7
    4
    6
    L
    20.07.26
    Portugal Estoril
    Titouan Droguet
    Titouan Droguet
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    2
    1
    6
    0
    3
    6
    6
    4
    L
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    Editorial Prediction

    This match, in our assessment, should completely be dictated by Baez's pace. Since the aforementioned head-to-head confrontations, Carabelli has not transformed to the point of being unrecognizable, and we believe that he will once again not withstand the significant pressure from the skilled opponent. A victory for Sebastian with a handicap of -3.5 is the logical choice for this match.
    Sebastian Baez Handicap (-3,5)
    Published: 01/03/2025, 03:20

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    Betting Tips: Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli

    Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won the 2nd set:
    ugo-carabelli-camiloin 6 of last 7 matches.
    2nd Set Camilo Ugo Carabelli Win
    Bovada
    +150
    Sebastian Baez has won the 1st set:
    baez-sebastianin 6 of last 7 matches.
    1st Set Sebastian Baez Win
    Bovada
    -204
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won:
    ugo-carabelli-camiloin 6 of last 7 matches.
    Camilo Ugo Carabelli Win
    Bovada
    +200
    Sebastian Baez has won:
    baez-sebastianugo-carabelli-camiloin last 5 matches against Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
    baez-sebastianin last 7 matches.
    baez-sebastianin last 5 matches (ATP Santiago).
    Sebastian Baez Win
    Bovada
    -250
    View more facts