Motherwell vs St Mirren Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
🔊 Motherwell head into this Premiership matchday 12 fixture against St. Mirren sitting well below them in the table, yet the bookmakers still rate their chances of winning at roughly twice those of the visitors. Particularly notable is Motherwell's winless run across almost all of their recent matches - a factor that could prove key to how this game plays out.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last head-to-head meeting on 30 August 2026 in the Premiership ended 3-3. St. Mirren led at home 3-2 at half-time, but Motherwell equalised. The sides were almost level on shots - 23-22 in favour of St. Mirren.
Across 54 official meetings, Motherwell have the upper hand: 21 wins to St. Mirren's 14, with 19 draws.
Head-to-head statistics Motherwell - St Mirren
Motherwell without a win for almost two months
In their last Premiership match on 28 October 2026, Motherwell drew 2-2 away at St. Johnstone. Despite having less possession, Motherwell had more shots on target - 9 to 3 - and won eight corners to St. Johnstone's two.
Motherwell are going through a difficult spell, having gone seven matches without a win, losing six of them. That run has dropped them to tenth place, though the bookmakers still consider them favourites for this match. They are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game, but their defence has been struggling badly - conceding an average of 2.3 goals per match over their last ten games.
Match Results: Motherwell
St. Mirren are already out of the woods
At home against Hibernian 28 October 2026 St. Mirren's last Premiership match ended 1-1. The visitors had more possession and created more dangerous attacks - 49 to 28 - but St. Mirren had the better of the shots on target, 3-1.
St. Mirren have had an inconsistent season, but compared to their opponents they have shown more stable results. Not long ago the club were in the same situation as their opponents, having lost five matches in a row. But the second half of October brought an improvement, with St. Mirren picking up four points from a possible six and moving closer to the top six. Their attacking output is modest - just one goal scored per game on average - while their defence concedes slightly less than Motherwell's, at 2.4 goals per game.
Match Results: St. Mirren
Prediction for the 1st half
Motherwell have conceded in the first half in 9 of their last 10 matches. That trend is directly relevant to the bet, though it does not single out home fixtures. We're backing St. Mirren to Score in the First Half at 2.1.
Match Result Prediction
Motherwell have won just one of their last 11 matches, going without a win in 10 of them. At home they have only one win from five matches. St. Mirren have actually won more even away from home. With that in mind, the pick is St. Mirren not to lose at odds of 1.95.
Corners Prediction
St. Mirren have taken at least five corners in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings. That is the main argument for the selected line. The bet is based primarily on the head-to-head record: St. Mirren Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at odds of 2.08.
High-Risk Bet
Motherwell have failed to score in three consecutive home matches; their home scoring average is 0.6 goals per game this season and 0.75 over their recent home matches. St. Mirren average 0.8 goals per game away from home this season and 0.6 over their recent away matches. Given the added uncertainty from head-to-head trends, we are going with Both Teams to Score - No at 2.32 as a higher-risk option.
Safer Bet
In 9 of Motherwell's last 10 matches, at least two goals have been scored. Over the season, the team concede an average of 1.82 goals per match, and across their recent run of matches that figure rises to 2.3. These numbers support Total Goals - Over 1.5 at odds of 1.14.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are: 1-1 (10.84%), 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The highest probability among them belongs to 1-1, with a gap of 1.23 percentage points between the first and second options.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
I'll say it again: the bookmakers have a lot of faith in Motherwell, who haven't won in nearly two months. There's another important factor: the teams have scored no more than two goals in 13 of their last 15 head-to-head meetings. At home this season, Motherwell are averaging 0.6 goals per match - a very modest return. My pick is Motherwell Team Total - Under 2 Goals.
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Betting Tips: Motherwell - St. Mirren
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