Modena vs Mantova Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
📢 Modena sit second in Serie B, four points behind the league leaders. The hosts have made a strong start to the season and are particularly hard to beat at home. Mantova are also in good form and sit fourth in the table. The visitors rarely lose and are looking to hold their place in the leading group. With both sides having started the season well, this match will be a serious test of their promotion ambitions.
Head-to-Head
Modena beat Mantova in their last Serie B meeting on 21 March 2026, winning 2-1. Mantova had 63% possession and launched 60 dangerous attacks to Modena's 24, but Modena had the better of the shots on target, 4-2.
Across 12 official meetings, Modena have won five, Mantova one, with six draws. At Modena's ground the home side's advantage is more pronounced: four wins and two draws without defeat.
Head-to-head statistics Modena - Mantova
Six wins from nine rounds and a cautious home record
In their last Serie B match on 27 October 2026, Modena beat Vicenza away from home 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, they had more shots across the match - 10 to 6 - though they were behind on dangerous attacks: 33 to 41.
Modena have made a confident start to the season and sit second in the table with 19 points, remaining in contention at the top. In nine rounds they have won six times and lost just twice, showing a consistent ability to pick up positive results. Their attack has been reasonably effective, averaging 1.9 goals per game, while the defence has also looked solid, conceding 1.2 goals per game across their last ten matches. Particularly notable is that Modena tend to avoid overly open football at home - 23 of their previous 24 home matches have gone under 3.5 goals, which points to a preference for controlling the game.
Match Results: Modena
Five wins from nine matches and consistent results
Mantova's most recent Serie B home match 27 October 2026 ended in a 0-2 defeat to Cremonese. They had 66% possession and outshot their opponents 20 to 6, but none of their nine shots on target found the net, with the visiting goalkeeper making eight saves.
Mantova have also made a strong start to the season and sit fourth in the table with 17 points, just two behind Modena. Over nine rounds they have won five and lost only two, which speaks to their competitiveness. In seven of their last eight Serie B matches they have avoided defeat, showing a fairly consistent level of performance. Their attack is averaging 1.6 goals per game, while their defence is conceding 1.5 per match over a ten-game span.
Match Results: Mantova
Total Goals Prediction
In 23 of Modena's last 24 home matches in Serie B, there have been fewer than 3.5 goals. Modena average 2 goals per game at home this season, while Mantova average 1.75 goals per game away from home - scoring rates that do carry some risk for the bet. The extended home run still makes Total Goals - Under 3.5 the selection, priced at 1.46*.
Safer Bet
Modena have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches. Their average home goals tally this season is 2, and the same figure applies to their recent home matches. We're backing Modena Team Total - Over 0.5 at 1.11*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.45%), with 1-1 having the highest probability.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Modena are considered favourites, but Mantova are in good form and capable of putting up a serious fight. The hosts tend to be cautious, particularly at home, where they regularly play low-scoring matches. The visitors also rarely lose and are unlikely to take unnecessary risks against one of the league's leading sides. The editor's main prediction is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Modena - Mantova
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