Fagiano vs Tokyo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 31 October 2026
🔉 Fagiano Okayama come into this match in poor recent form, having won just once in their last five games with four defeats. Tokyo, meanwhile, are showing strong momentum - three wins from five - and carry confidence from their position in the title race. The key contrast is the difference in attacking output and league momentum between the two sides in J1 League.
Fagiano Okayama Win Only
Tokyo beat Fagiano Okayama 3-1 in a J1 League match 25 October 2025, despite the shots on target being level at 4-4 and the xG favouring the visitors - 1.43 to 1.12. The first half ended goalless, with all four goals coming in the second.
📊 In two official meetings, the teams have split home wins: Fagiano Okayama won 1-0 and Tokyo won 3-1. Both matches were goalless at half-time.
Head-to-head statistics Fagiano - Tokyo
Fagiano Okayama Team Overview
In their most recent J1 League match on 25 October 2026, Fagiano Okayama lost away to Kawasaki Frontale 1-2, despite having the better of the shots (20-6) and dangerous attacks (65-39). Of those 20 shots, only two were on target.
Fagiano Okayama have had an inconsistent season: across their last ten matches they have won five and lost five, with no draws at all. They are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, which points to a balance between attack and defence with no clear lean in either direction. Over the last five matches the picture has worsened - just one win and four defeats, a run that began with three consecutive losses, with the single victory only briefly interrupting the negative trend. The team's target is to close the gap to the Champions League zone, though motivation is low given they are seven points behind the nearest objective.
Match Results: Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Team Overview
Tokyo's most recent J1 League match 25 October 2026 ended in a 6-0 thrashing of Mito HollyHock. At home, Tokyo had 23 shots to their opponents' 11, with 11 of those on target.
Tokyo are holding onto second place through consistency: eight wins from their last ten matches speak to a high level of performance both at home and away. During that run they have been averaging 2.4 goals scored with minimal concessions (0.1 per game), and their overall season figures back that up - 2.25 goals scored per match alongside a very solid defensive record of 0.67 conceded. Their last five matches include three wins and one draw; the single defeat in that spell has not knocked them off course in the title race. Motivation remains moderate - the club are right on the heels of the league leader.
Match Results: Tokyo
Prediction for the 1st half
Tokyo have scored in the first half in five of their last six away matches. That is a direct basis for the bet, though the sample is limited to six games. Fagiano Okayama, meanwhile, have gone into half-time level in six of their last seven home matches - which does not rule out a Tokyo goal, but does add some uncertainty. We are going with Tokyo Team Total 1st Half - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.83*.
Match Result Prediction
Tokyo have won 6 of their last 7 matches. This season they have 8 wins from 12 games, and away from home they have 3 wins and 2 draws with no defeats. Fagiano Okayama have lost 6 of their 12 matches this season. Tokyo to win at 1.95* looks a reasonable choice.
Total Goals Prediction
Tokyo have scored in 13 of their last 14 matches, though that trend alone doesn't guarantee two goals here. This season the team average 2.4 goals per away match, and in their most recent away matches they have scored 2. Fagiano Okayama concede an average of 1.4 goals at home over their last 10 matches. On that basis, we're looking at Tokyo Team Total - Over 1.5 Goals at 1.97*.
Corners Prediction
Fagiano Okayama have delivered more than 3.5 corners in 12 of their last 14 matches. That run is directly relevant to the selected line, though no separate average corner figures are available. Given how frequently this has come in, we're going with Fagiano Okayama Team Corners - Over 3.5 at 1.41*.
Safer Bet
Tokyo have gone unbeaten in 20 of their last 21 away matches. In their current away record this season, they have three wins and two draws without a defeat. These results support a bet on Double Chance - X2 for Tokyo, priced at 1.29*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most likely scorelines are 0-1 (13.93%), 1-1 (11.17%) and 0-0 (10.63%). The highest probability among these belongs to 0-1. The probabilities for 1-1 and 0-0 are 11.17% and 10.63% respectively.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The gap between these two sides is evident across the board: Fagiano Okayama have lost four of their last five matches, while Tokyo are showing one of the best runs in the league with six wins from seven rounds according to the J1 League form table. The visitors combine a strong attack with minimal problems at the back, even against more dangerous opponents than their current hosts. Against that backdrop, we consider the most well-founded selection to be a straightforward Tokyo win.
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Betting Tips: Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo
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