Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction

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The main thing

    🔈 Can the "islanders" pose a threat to Real Madrid? The final match of Saturday's La Liga action features last season's runners-up taking on Mallorca. Jagoba Arrasate's squad has a knack for troubling top clubs, and facing them is never a walk in the park. However, bookmakers remain skeptical about the "vermilion" team's chances at the Santiago Bernabéu, predicting a confident victory for the home side. Let's take a look at the pre-match odds: Real Madrid win - 1.2, Mallorca win - 14.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over the last 10 head-to-head encounters in the nation's capital, Real Madrid have consistently defeated Mallorca. The last away victory for the "islanders" dates back to the distant 2008/09 season (3-1). However, last season Jagoba Arrasate's side gave the "Galacticos" a run for their money with a 1-1 draw at the "Iberostar" and a 2-1 result at the "Santiago Bernabeu." It's quite possible that the upcoming match will keep us on the edge of our seats until the final whistle.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    69%
    9 Wins
    8%
    1 Draw
    23%
    3 Wins
    Total games
    13
    Total Goals Avg
    2.69
    Both teams scored
    46%
    2
    Total average
    0.69
    6.85
    Corner
    3.31
    1.92
    Yellow cards
    2.23
    11.46
    Fouls
    14.54
    Last matches
    04.04.26
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    0.92
    1.41
    6
    4
    16
    13
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.92
    1.41
    6
    4
    16
    13
    3
    2
    30.08.25
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    1.73
    0.68
    4
    5
    12
    7
    2
    0
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.73
    0.68
    4
    5
    12
    7
    2
    0
    14.05.25
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    3.46
    0.48
    26
    0
    6
    15
    0
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    3.46
    0.48
    26
    0
    6
    15
    0
    3
    09.01.25
    SSC
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    3.1
    0.64
    6
    1
    12
    14
    2
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    3.1
    0.64
    6
    1
    12
    14
    2
    0
    18.08.24
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1
    -
    -
    8
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    7
    11
    7
    1
    0
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    Real Madrid Team Overview

    ⚪ Xabi Alonso continues to gradually implement his tactical ideas, having already conducted two preparatory matches against mid-table La Liga sides. In the first round, they narrowly defeated Osasuna (1-0), while last week the "Galacticos" left no chance for Real Oviedo (3-0). Real Madrid, alongside Villarreal, remain the only teams in the league yet to concede this season.

    📌 In the previous round, it was easy to notice how high Real Madrid maintained their defensive line. Center-backs Dean Huijsen and Antonio Rüdiger were practically stationed at the halfway line. Overloading the midfield is one of Xabi Alonso's favorite maneuvers. Only Aurélien Tchouaméni linked defense with attack, while the remaining five players effectively combined on the opponent's half. It's intriguing to see how the Spanish specialist will continue to utilize Trent Alexander-Arnold, especially since it became evident after the recent match that Dani Carvajal is the ideal candidate for Alonso's tactical model at right-back.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    L
    03.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Mallorca Team Overview

    🔴 Mallorca have had a mixed start to the new season. The Islanders first suffered a heavy blow from Barcelona (0-3) at the Iberostar Stadium. However, in their second match, they managed to secure their first points by drawing with Celta Vigo (1-1). The draw against the Celts was made possible by a late goal from Mateu Morey in the 88th minute. It's evident that Mallorca are not yet in peak condition and are struggling in all phases of play.

    ⚫ Jagoba Arrasate's tactical approach is based on maintaining compactness in the midfield and reinforcing the defensive line during defensive phases. However, the departure of central defender Jose Capete and goalkeeper Dominik Greif has forced the Islanders to adapt and find balance. Most likely, Mallorca will aim to employ numerous vertical passes in their upcoming clash with Real Madrid and seek opportunities during transitional phases.

    Match Results: Mallorca

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    3.27
    0.3
    5
    5
    10
    8
    2
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    3.27
    0.3
    5
    5
    10
    8
    2
    1
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Levante UD
    Levante UD
    1
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    1
    2.42
    0.41
    4
    6
    11
    15
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    2.42
    0.41
    4
    6
    11
    15
    2
    0
    L
    13.05.26
    La Liga
    Getafe
    Getafe
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    1.5
    0.42
    3
    3
    17
    18
    3
    4
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.5
    0.42
    3
    3
    17
    18
    3
    4
    L
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    2.11
    1.21
    5
    4
    17
    13
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    2.11
    1.21
    5
    4
    17
    13
    2
    0
    D
    01.05.26
    La Liga
    Girona
    Girona
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    1.11
    1
    5
    2
    8
    25
    4
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.11
    1
    5
    2
    8
    25
    4
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Real Madrid

    📰 Real Madrid fans can breathe a sigh of relief-the saga surrounding Rodrygo's departure has come to an end. Recently, the Brazilian met with Xabi Alonso and the club's management, expressing his desire to stay with the team and continue fighting for a spot in the starting lineup. Reports suggest that Rodrygo and Vinícius will compete for the role of the main winger on the left flank.

    🎤 Following their second victory of the season, Xabi Alonso reflected on the match: "It's a great feeling. I think it was a very good win. We had 60 minutes of complete control, strong pressure, and a very high tempo, both with and without the ball. In the last 20 minutes, perhaps we had to slow down a bit, but we remained strong and felt a high team spirit. We have 25 players in the squad, and I will try to get the most out of each one. Vinícius was important today, and I want everyone to contribute and be ready to play. That's our motto for the year. Gradually, we're seeing what's working well and what needs improvement. The vibes are good."

    ❌ In Real Madrid's injury list are Jude Bellingham (shoulder injury), Eduardo Camavinga (ankle injury), Endrick (hamstring injury), and Ferland Mendy (hamstring injury).

    Mallorca

    📰 Recently, the "Cinnabar Reds" pulled off an intriguing deal that stands a good chance of proving worthwhile in the long run. Mallorca's management has agreed on the transfer of 19-year-old winger Jan Virgili from Barcelona. According to some sources, the club from the namesake city will pay around €3 million to the "Blaugrana" and will owe 50% of any future resale of the player. Last season, the talented Spaniard played 27 matches across all competitions for Barcelona U19, scoring 8 goals.

    ❌ The main positive news is the absence of injured players in Mallorca's roster. The only doubt remains over Samu Costa's participation in the upcoming match.

    🟨 Yellow Card Prediction

    In head-to-head encounters, the "Islanders" tend to resort to rougher fouls more frequently: 2.4 compared to 1.8. Last season showed a similar trend: 2.3 against 1.6 in favor of Jagoba Arrasate's side. At the start of the current La Liga campaign, the "Cinnabar Reds" are averaging 3.5 yellow cards per game. In comparison, the "Whites" average just 1. We'll back a Mallorca victory in yellow cards.

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    Despite the difference in class, our team does not anticipate a goal fest in the upcoming clash. The "Whites" project is still a work in progress, as seen in their opening league match against Osasuna (1-0). Mallorca's organized defensive structure could impact the match's goal tally and even the final outcome. Notably, in 4 of Mallorca's last 5 matches, there were no more than 2 goals scored. Our pick is under 3.5 total goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    The "Whites" have a significant edge over the "Cinnabar Reds" in corners during head-to-head matchups: 7.4 compared to 3.5. Mallorca's low block defense is a key reason they allow opponents to create numerous threats from the flanks. Early this season, the "Islanders" are earning just 3 corners per game, while the "Galacticos" average around 8. A well-founded bet for this match is a Real Madrid victory in corners with a -4 handicap.

    Editorial Prediction

    Our editorial team foresees a scenario where Mallorca effectively defends, preventing their opponents from gaining a lead on the scoreboard. The history of their head-to-head meetings supports this notion. As previously mentioned, it's important to consider Xabi Alonso's still-developing project, which requires time to mature. Facing a tactically disciplined side like Mallorca could present challenges for them. A final score of 0-1 is plausible. The key bet is Mallorca to win with a +2.5 handicap.

    Our choice
    Mallorca Handicap (+2.5) at odds of -189*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 August 2025, 09:13)

    Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Mallorca

    Real Madrid have won
    real-madrid-1rcd-mallorcain last 6 home games against Mallorca.
    real-madrid-1rcd-mallorcain last 5 home games against Mallorca (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1in 9 of last 10 games (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1in 8 of last 9 home games (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1in 6 of last 7 games.
    Real Madrid Win
    Everygame
    -556
    Real Madrid have won the 2nd half
    real-madrid-1rcd-mallorcain last 6 home games against Mallorca.
    real-madrid-1in last 6 games (La Liga).
    2nd Half Real Madrid Win
    Everygame
    -250
    Real Madrid have not lost
    real-madrid-1rcd-mallorcain 9 of last 10 games against Mallorca.
    real-madrid-1rcd-mallorcain 8 of last 9 games against Mallorca (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1rcd-mallorcain last 6 home games against Mallorca.
    real-madrid-1in 11 of last 12 home games (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1in 10 of last 11 games.
    real-madrid-1in 9 of last 10 games (La Liga).
    Mallorca have not won
    rcd-mallorcain 10 of last 11 away games.
    rcd-mallorcain 9 of last 10 away games (La Liga).
    rcd-mallorcain 8 of last 9 games (La Liga).
    Real Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -2500
    Real Madrid have scored under 3.5 goals
    real-madrid-1rcd-mallorcain last 6 games against Mallorca.
    real-madrid-1in 36 of last 37 games.
    real-madrid-1in last 20 games (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1in 17 of last 18 home games.
    real-madrid-1in last 10 home games (La Liga).
    Real Madrid Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -278
    View more facts

    Real Madrid - Mallorca Table position

    LaLiga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    38311695-3694
    2.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    38275677-3586
    3.
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    382261072-4672
    17.
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    381191844-5042
    18.
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    381191847-5742
    19.
    Girona
    Girona
    389141539-5541

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 13
    +4
    +2
    14 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    14
    13
    Conceded
    12
    3
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats