Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction 31 August 2025
🔊 At the "Mineirão" in Belo Horizonte, an intriguing clash between Cruzeiro and São Paulo is set to unfold as part of the 22nd round of Serie A. The hosts have slipped to third place and are determined to solidify their position, while the "Tricolor" are in fine form and aim to secure their spot in the international tournament zone. In recent head-to-head encounters, São Paulo holds a slight advantage, but Cruzeiro's current home form commands respect: they have won most of their home matches and consistently display strong attacking play. For the visitors, a confident away performance is crucial-not just for the three points, but also for the psychological edge in the battle for top positions. The match promises to be both high-scoring and tense, where every mistake could be costly, and the fight for initiative will ignite from the first whistle.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 13 April 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (with São Paulo as the home side):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corners: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 21;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 6;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Cruzeiro and São Paulo:
- 36 matches played;
- home victories - 7, away victories - 23, draws - 6;
- goals scored - 27 versus 50;
- average goals in the 1st half - 0.69, in the 2nd half - 1.44;
- average total goals per match - 2.14.
Head-to-head statistics Cruzeiro - Sao Paulo

Cruzeiro Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on during the Copa do Brasil quarterfinals, with Atlético Mineiro hosting Cruzeiro. The match ended with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here is the game statistics (Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro):
- possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 22 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
🔵 In recent rounds, Cruzeiro have showcased consistent and confident performances. In the league, they defeated Internacional 2-1, with Matheus Pereira and Kaio Jorge securing the three points, allowing the "Celestial" to continue their pursuit of Palmeiras and Flamengo in the title race. Simultaneously, in the Copa do Brasil, Cruzeiro took a significant step towards the semifinals by beating Atletico Mineiro 2-0 away: Fabrício Bruno and Kaio Jorge provided a comfortable advantage ahead of the return leg at "Mineirão". These victories have restored confidence and fueled the players' motivation, making Cruzeiro serious favorites in the upcoming match against São Paulo.
Match Results: Cruzeiro

Sao Paulo Team Overview
The visitors last took to the field on in a Serie A clash, Round 21, with São Paulo hosting Atlético Mineiro. The match concluded with a 2-0 victory for the home side.
Here are the match statistics (São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 20 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 0.
⭐ In their last matchday, São Paulo delivered a commanding performance at Morumbi, defeating Atlético Mineiro 2-0. Midfielder Pablo Maia opened the scoring in the 23rd minute with a precise cross from Damian Bobadilla, and in the second half, Gonzalo Tapia doubled the hosts' lead, finishing off a pass from Cedric. This victory marked a significant step in their quest for a Copa Libertadores spot: the Tricolor are now unbeaten in eight consecutive Série A matches (6 wins, 2 draws), having amassed 32 points and climbed to 7th place, boosting their confidence ahead of the next round.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- First-half victories for the home team - 4; for the away team - 5; draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 0.69;
- Today's home side averages 0.17 goals, while the visitors average 0.53.
First-half Statistics: Cruzeiro (home) vs São Paulo (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 10;
- Wins: 6 (54.55%) vs 2 (20%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (10%);
- Draws: 5 (45.45%) vs 7 (70%);
- Average goals scored: 1.45 vs 0.9;
- Average goals conceded: 0.36 vs 0.4.
Last 10 Matches (overall):
- Wins: 5 vs 6;
- Losses: 0 vs 1;
- Draws: 5 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.2) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.1).
- Cruzeiro have scored in the first half in 8 of their last 9 matches (Brazil Serie A).
- Cruzeiro have scored in the first half at home in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- Home wins - 7, Away wins - 23, Draws - 6.
Statistics: Cruzeiro vs São Paulo
- Matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- Victories: 12 vs 8;
- Win percentage: 57% vs 38%;
- Losses: 4 vs 5;
- Draws: 5 vs 8.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 7;
- Losses: 2 vs 1;
- Draws: 3 vs 2.
- São Paulo have covered a +1.5 handicap in 19 of their last 20 away matches.
- São Paulo have covered a +1.5 handicap in 12 consecutive matches.
- São Paulo have covered a +1.5 handicap in 11 of their last 12 away matches (Brazil Serie A).
- São Paulo have covered a +1.5 handicap in 8 consecutive matches (Brazil Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 0.75, away team - 1.39;
- Average total goals in head-to-head - 2.14;
- Both teams scored: overall - 12 times; at the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Cruzeiro vs São Paulo
- Average tournament total: 2.33 vs 2.29;
- Average goals scored: 1.62 vs 1.24;
- First half average total: 1.05 vs 0.57;
- Second half average total: 0.57 vs 0.67;
- Cruzeiro: average home total in the tournament - 2;
- São Paulo: average away total in the tournament - 1.1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.6) vs 1.5 (away - 1).
- Total over 1.5 goals occurred in 8 of Cruzeiro's last 9 matches (Brazil Serie A).
- Total over 1.5 goals occurred in Cruzeiro's last 6 matches consecutively.
- Total over 1.5 goals occurred in 12 of São Paulo's last 13 matches (Brazil Serie A).
Corner Prediction
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 5.9; at home - 7.27;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 7.3; at home - 10.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.81, away - 4.2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; away - 5.6.
- São Paulo have delivered more than 3.5 corners in their last 8 matches (Brazil Serie A).
Card Prediction
Head-to-head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head - 3 (1.5 for the home team and 1.5 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 2.89 (1.18 for the home team and 1.71 for the away team).
Cruzeiro: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.48; at home - 2.64;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.5; at home - 2.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.95, away - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; away - 2.
- Total over 4.5 yellow cards occurred in Cruzeiro's last 7 matches consecutively.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 36;
- Both teams scored overall - 12 times;
- At the home team's ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Cruzeiro vs São Paulo
- Total matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): Cruzeiro - 9, São Paulo - 11;
- Cruzeiro BTTS at home - 7 (64%);
- São Paulo BTTS away - 6 (60%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Cruzeiro - 4, São Paulo - 5;
- Cruzeiro BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- São Paulo BTTS away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
In conclusion, the upcoming match promises to be intense, as both teams are in good form and achieving success. The head-to-head history shows an advantage for São Paulo: in their last five encounters, the visitors have won three times, Cruzeiro claimed victory once, and one match ended in a draw.
Nevertheless, Cruzeiro holds a slight edge in the upcoming clash, considering their ambitions and home advantage. An open and high-scoring game is expected, making the over 1.5 goals market a solid bet, given that the average total in matches between these teams is 2.14.
