Casa Pia vs Nacional Prediction 30 August 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Casa Pia and Nacional de Madeira promises to be a true test for both sides. Casa Pia, currently sitting 10th in the standings, aim to solidify their mid-table position, while their opponents from Madeira are fighting for survival in 16th place. Both teams have shown lackluster form in recent matches, leaving no clear favorite in this encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 16 March 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Nacional de Madeir):
- ball possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Casa Pia and Nacional de Madeir:
- played 9 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 4, draws - 1;
- number of goals - 11 against 14;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.78, in the 2nd half - 2;
- average total goals in the match - 2.78.
Head-to-head statistics Casa Pia - Nacional

Casa Pia Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Porto, away team - Casa Pia). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4:0.
Here's the game statistics (Casa Pia vs Porto):
- ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 0 vs 7.
Casa Pia have been inconsistent, alternating between wins and losses. Currently sitting in 10th place in the standings, they find themselves in a relatively comfortable position. However, with only three points to their name, they are perilously close to the relegation zone. In their last outing, João Pereira's side moved closer to that danger after suffering a 4-0 defeat to Porto, failing to register a single shot on target.
Match Results: Casa Pia

Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Nacional de Madeir, away - Sporting Lisbon). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:4.
Here are the match stats (Nacional de Madeir vs Sporting Lisbon):
- ball possession: 27% vs 73%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 13;
- fouls: 18 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
Nacional de Madeira are in the relegation zone and desperately need points to improve their standing. The team has been struggling with low scoring, though they did manage to find the back of the net against Sporting in the last round. A quick goal from Leo Santos gave the lads hope of securing some points, but Pablo Ruan dashed those hopes with a red card in the 37th minute. Playing with a man down, Tiago Margarido's side couldn't withstand the champions' onslaught, conceding four goals in the second half.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 1.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Nacional de Madeir
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- wins: 1 vs 0;
- win percentage: 33% vs 0%;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in 18 of last 20 away games.
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in 16 of last 18 away games (Primeira Liga).
- Nacional de Madeir have not won in last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.22, the guests - 1.56;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.78;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Nacional de Madeir
- average total in the tournament: 2.67 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 0.67 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.33;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.33 vs 0.33;
- Casa Pia: average total at home in the tournament - 0;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 0.75) vs 0.8 (away - 0.75).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Casa Pia games (Primeira Liga).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 8 Nacional de Madeir games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 15.11 (8.22 - for home team and 6.89 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 16.67 (9.17 - for home team and 7.5 - for away team).
Casa Pia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.33; at home field - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.8; at home field - 3.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.67, away - 6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.9; away - 6.5.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 4 (2 for home team and 2 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5 (2.83 for home team and 2.17 for away team).
Casa Pia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.33; at home - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; at home - 2.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.3; away - 3.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 9;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Casa Pia vs Nacional de Madeir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 0 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Casa Pia at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 2 (50%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given the defensive frailties of both teams, an open game is likely on the cards. Considering that Casa Pia and Rio Nacional both trend towards over 1.5 goals, this is the bet we're going with, as the match outcome seems too unpredictable. Their head-to-head encounters often turn out to be quite high-scoring.