Timor-Leste vs Indonesia Prediction 31 July 2026
🔊 The East Timor vs Indonesia group stage match at the AFF Suzuki Cup holds little in the way of suspense. The one thing worth watching is just how sharp Indonesia's attack turns out to be. The bookmakers have no doubts about the outcome - a win for the visitors is priced at 1.03.
Head-to-Head
📊 At official level, these two sides have met just once - an ASEAN Championship match in 2018 that Indonesia won 3-1. In 2022, they played twice in friendlies. Both games went Indonesia's way, naturally - 4-1 and 3-0.
Head-to-head statistics Timor-Leste - Indonesia
Timor-Leste Team Overview
East Timor's last match in the tournament was against Singapore - they lost 0:2. Here are the stats from that game (East Timor vs Singapore):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
East Timor have shown some improvement during the tournament. After conceding seven against Vietnam, they held themselves together reasonably well against Singapore. Limited going forward, but they know how to stay compact against stronger sides. Over their last five official matches, they've been conceding 2.5 goals on average - and the trends back this up. Big defeats aren't common for them. In the eight games before the Vietnam disaster, they only lost by four or more goals once.
Match Results: Timor-Leste
Indonesia Team Overview
Indonesia's first ASEAN Cup match was against Cambodia - a 5:1 demolition. Here are the stats (Indonesia vs Cambodia):
- possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corners: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 13 vs 1.
Indonesia come into this one after a week off and in decent spirits - the win over Cambodia was expected, but not by that margin. It also gave their scoring numbers a real boost: across the five matches before the tournament opener, Indonesia were averaging 1.6 goals per game. That's up to 2.6 now. Still, don't expect them to start running through opponents one by one - the real test comes later, against Vietnam, and there's no reason to burn energy before that.
Match Results: Indonesia
Total Prediction
Average total stats: Timor-Leste vs Indonesia
- in the tournament: 4 vs 6;
- goals scored: 1.5 vs 5;
- 1st half: 0.5 vs 3;
- 2nd half: 1 vs 2;
- Timor-Leste: at home in the tournament - 0;
- Indonesia: away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches: 1 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 0.33).
- Indonesia have scored under 5.5 goals in 29 matches in a row.
- Indonesia have scored under 5.5 goals in 9 consecutive matches (ASEAN Championship).
Prediction on Outcome
Trends- Timor-Leste have covered the +4.5 handicap in 6 of their last 7 matches (ASEAN Championship).
⭐ Editor's Pick
Two trends stand out here: East Timor rarely concede heavily at regional tournament level, and Indonesia have consistently scored no more than five goals across a long stretch of matches. Total goals in East Timor's games almost always stay under five - their defensive discipline as the underdog tends to keep things tidy. Our pick is total goals under 5.5 - too many factors point to a relatively contained match without a blowout or a high-scoring run from the favourite. Predicted score: 3-0 to Indonesia.
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Betting Tips: Timor-Leste - Indonesia
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