New-York City vs Toronto FC Prediction 31 July 2026
🔊 The contrast in form between New York City and Toronto is hard to miss. NYCFC are sitting comfortably near the top of the table, while Toronto are well below them, still fighting to get into the playoff spots. The hosts don't have much to play for at this stage of the season, but the results have been steady enough to keep things calm. Toronto, though, have been struggling to pick up points - and it shows both in the standings and in their recent results.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 July 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - New-York City):
- ball possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 10 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams New-York City and Toronto:
- played 30 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 10, draws - 7;
- number of goals - 50 against 48;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.43, in the 2nd half - 1.83;
- average total goals in the match - 3.27.
Head-to-head statistics New-York City - Toronto FC
New-York City Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the MLS tournament (home team - New-York City, away team - Chicago Fire). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:1.
Here's the game statistics (New-York City vs Chicago Fire):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
- fouls: 8 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
New York City come into this match without any real pressure on them, but they've been consistent enough throughout the season. Over their last ten games: five wins, four losses, one draw, averaging 1.4 goals per match. The last five have been a bit of a mixed bag - two straight wins after a rough patch. Defensively, they've been solid, conceding an average of one goal per game over that ten-match stretch, which compares well to their opponent. At home, NYC tend to be more assured and get more out of their attack than they do on the road.
Match Results: New-York City
Toronto Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the MLS tournament (home team - DC United, away - Toronto). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Toronto vs DC United):
- ball possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 7 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 7 vs 8.
Toronto come into this match with plenty of motivation to close the gap on the playoff spots. The results, though, have been rough: no wins in the last ten games, six defeats and four draws. They're averaging 1.1 goals scored per match and conceding 2.0 - the defensive problems are hard to ignore. The last five games brought three more losses and still no win. Toronto do tend to be involved in open, back-and-forth matches - both teams scored in 13 of their previous 15 games, which says something about the leaky defence but also about the attacking threat still being there despite the difficult run.
Match Results: Toronto
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 30;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 5; for visitors away - 4; number of draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 1.43;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.8, while the visitors net 0.63.
First-Half Stats: New-York City (home) vs Toronto (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 8;
- wins: 5 (55.56%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 4 (50%);
- draws: 3 (33.33%) vs 4 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 2 vs 1.5;
- Average goals conceded: 0.56 vs 1.13.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 1;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.7).
- New-York City scored in the 1st half in last 5 home games against Toronto.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.67, the guests - 1.6;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.27;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 10.
Statistics: New-York City vs Toronto
- average total in the tournament: 3.12 vs 3.18;
- average total goals scored: 1.76 vs 1.35;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.76 vs 1.06;
- New-York City: average total at home in the tournament - 2.44;
- Toronto: average total away in the tournament - 0.75;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 2) vs 1.1 (away - 0.6).
- New-York City have scored over 1.5 goals in last 5 home games against Toronto.
Prediction on corners
New-York City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.29; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.4; at home field - 3.33.
Toronto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.71, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; away - 4.8.
- New-York City have taken under 5.5 corners in last 7 games.
- New-York City have taken under 5.5 corners in last 6 games (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 10 times.
Statistics: New-York City vs Toronto
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 13;
- number of BTTS matches for New-York City at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Toronto away - 4 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for New-York City at home - 1 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Toronto away - 3 (60%).
- Toronto have scored and conceded in 13 of last 15 games.
- Toronto have scored and conceded in 12 of last 14 games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (23/253, 9.1%);
- New-York City at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Toronto away most often play: 0:0 , 2:1 (2/8, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.4% (odds 3.4)
1:1 - 10.31% (odds 6.5)
2:0 - 9.25% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor's Pick
The match shapes up around Toronto's defensive instability and New York City's consistent scoring, especially at home. Even without much to play for in the table, the hosts keep finding goals and can take advantage of a leaky backline. Toronto need the points badly - they're chasing the playoff spots - but a poor run of form and recurring defensive problems make it hard to string results together. The key trend here is both teams scoring in Toronto's matches, backed up by the form of both sides and the average goals in recent games. Our pick: Both Teams To Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: New-York City - Toronto
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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