Vasco Da Gama vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction 31 May 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Vasco da Gama sit 16th in the table and urgently need points to steer clear of the relegation zone. Atlético Mineiro, meanwhile, are more comfortable in 12th place, which gives them a bit of breathing room in the standings. Both sides have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, but there’s a clear contrast: the hosts have found it tough to deliver up front, while the visitors have managed to pick up more positive results. Another talking point is Vasco da Gama’s high-scoring record at home.

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 07 December 2025 and ended in a resounding 5-0 victory. Here’s a comparative breakdown of the key stats from that fixture (Atlético Mineiro were the home team):

    • possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corners: 7 vs 1;
    • fouls committed: 13 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 0.

    📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Vasco da Gama and Atlético Mineiro:

    • 35 matches played;
    • Home side have claimed 14 wins, away side 13 victories, with 8 draws;
    • Goals scored: 49 for the hosts, 47 for the visitors;
    • Average goals in the first half: 1.37; second half: 1.37;
    • Average total goals per match: 2.74.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    39%
    14 Wins
    22%
    8 Draws
    39%
    14 Wins
    Total games
    36
    Total Goals Avg
    2.69
    Both teams scored
    61%
    1.36
    Total average
    1.33
    1.58
    Yellow cards
    1.11
    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    07.12.25
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1
    1.41
    0.01
    7
    1
    13
    4
    0
    0
    5
    0
    2
    0
    3
    0
    1.41
    0.01
    7
    1
    13
    4
    0
    0
    10.08.25
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.82
    1.22
    6
    10
    10
    9
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.82
    1.22
    6
    10
    10
    9
    3
    1
    04.12.24
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.36
    0.72
    3
    6
    16
    13
    4
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1.36
    0.72
    3
    6
    16
    13
    4
    2
    19.10.24
    Copa Brasil
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    1
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    Vasco da Gama Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on in the Copa Sudamericana, with Vasco da Gama hosting Barracas Central. The home side cruised to a 3-0 victory.

    Here’s a breakdown of the key match stats (Vasco da Gama vs Barracas Central):

    • Possession: 74% vs 26%;
    • Corners: 7 vs 1;
    • Fouls committed: 11 vs 8;
    • Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • Shots on target: 10 vs 1.

    ⚫ Vasco da Gama have managed just one win in their last five outings, suffering three defeats and picking up a single draw. Over a ten-match span, they’ve recorded four wins, four losses, and two draws. The team averages 1.5 goals per game across those ten fixtures, but their backline remains a clear vulnerability-conceding 1.6 goals per match in the same stretch (with a season average even higher at 1.65). Despite a strong trend of high-scoring home games-over 2.5 total goals have been scored in 10 of their last 11 matches in Rio-the defense continues to struggle, even against mid-table opposition: Vasco da Gama concede in virtually every game.

    Match Results: Vasco da Gama

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    L
    27.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Barracas Central
    Barracas Central
    1
    3.21
    0.64
    7
    1
    11
    8
    2
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    3.21
    0.64
    7
    1
    11
    8
    2
    4
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    1.88
    2.59
    6
    6
    13
    14
    1
    3
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1.88
    2.59
    6
    6
    13
    14
    1
    3
    L
    20.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    2
    2.46
    0.46
    13
    3
    3
    5
    2
    4
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    2.46
    0.46
    13
    3
    3
    5
    2
    4
    L
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Internacional
    Internacional
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1
    1.29
    0.53
    3
    4
    17
    11
    2
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    1.29
    0.53
    3
    4
    17
    11
    2
    2
    L
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    Atletico Mineiro Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Sudamericana, facing Atlético Mineiro away from home. The contest ended 1-0.

    Here’s how the key stats broke down (Atlético Mineiro vs Puerto Cabello):

    • Possession: 68% vs 32%;
    • Corners: 7 vs 1;
    • Fouls: 4 vs 12;
    • Yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • Shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    ⚪ Atlético Mineiro come into this fixture on the back of three wins in their last five outings. Over their previous ten matches, they have recorded four victories, four defeats, and two draws. While their attacking output is slightly modest-averaging around 1.3 goals per game both across the season and recent matches-their defensive unit has proven more reliable, conceding just 1.3 to 1.35 goals on average. This balance between a steady attack and a solid backline makes Atlético Mineiro a competitive side, even when playing away from home.

    Match Results: Atletico Mineiro

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    W
    27.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Puerto Cabello
    Puerto Cabello
    -
    -
    7
    1
    4
    12
    2
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    4
    12
    2
    4
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    0.71
    1.47
    3
    0
    15
    14
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.71
    1.47
    3
    0
    15
    14
    1
    2
    L
    21.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Cienciano
    Cienciano
    -
    -
    8
    1
    8
    10
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    8
    10
    4
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    2.2
    1.42
    5
    6
    6
    14
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.2
    1.42
    5
    6
    6
    14
    0
    1
    W
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head record:

    • Matches played - 35;
    • Home side wins - 14, away wins - 13, draws - 8.

    Stats: Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro

    • Matches in the competition: 17 vs 17;
    • Wins: 5 vs 6;
    • Win percentage: 29% vs 35%;
    • Losses: 7 vs 8;
    • Draws: 5 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • Wins: 4 vs 5;
    • Losses: 4 vs 3;
    • Draws: 2 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Vasco da Gama have avoided defeat at home in 7 of their last 8 head-to-heads against Atlético Mineiro.
    • Atlético Mineiro have failed to win away in 7 of their last 8 away games.
    👉Prediction: Vasco da Gama will not lose (odds: 1.29)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head (average total goals):

    • Home side - 1.4, away side - 1.34;
    • Head-to-head average - 2.74;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 22 times; at the home ground - 11 times.

    Average goals stats: Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro

    • In this competition: 2.94 vs 2.59;
    • Goals scored per match: 1.29 vs 1.24;
    • First half: 0.35 vs 0.65;
    • Second half: 0.94 vs 0.59;
    • Vasco da Gama at home in the competition - 1.33;
    • Atlético Mineiro away in the competition - 0.89;
    • Last 10 matches: 1.5 (home - 1.8) vs 1.3 (away - 1.2).
    Trends
    • Vasco da Gama have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 head-to-heads with Atlético Mineiro.
    👉Prediction: Vasco da Gama Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.62)

    Corner Kicks Prediction

    Vasco da Gama: Stats

    • This season: average corners per match - 5.47; at home - 6.11;
    • Last 10 matches: average corners - 5.3; at home - 5.4.

    Atlético Mineiro: Stats

    • This season: average corners per match - 4.94, away - 5.11;
    • Last 10 matches: average corners - 4.3; away - 1.8.
    Trends
    • Atlético Mineiro have registered over 3.5 corners in 12 of the last 13 head-to-head meetings between these sides.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Atletico Mineiro Total Over (3,5) (odds: 1.52)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head record:

    • Matches played - 35;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 22 times;
    • At the home ground - on 11 occasions.

    Stats: Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro

    • Matches played in the competition: 17 vs 17;
    • Season matches with both teams scoring (BTTS): 13 vs 7;
    • Vasco da Gama BTTS at home - 6 (67%);
    • Atlético Mineiro BTTS away - 2 (22%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • BTTS games: 5 vs 5;
    • Vasco da Gama BTTS at home - 1 (20%);
    • Atlético Mineiro BTTS away - 3 (60%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.83)

    Editorial Prediction

    The most striking trend here is the over 2.5 goals market: that outcome has landed in 10 of Vasco’s last 11 home fixtures. The hosts often compensate for their defensive issues with an aggressive attacking approach, which means chances are created at both ends of the pitch. Both sides are prone to defensive lapses, and Vasco almost always find the net at home, even when results go against them. All signs point to an open, end-to-end contest loaded with goal-scoring opportunities in both boxes - the best bet looks to be: over 2.5 total goals.
    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2,5) at odds of +112*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 May 2026, 11:18)

    Betting Tips: Vasco da Gama - Atletico Mineiro

    Vasco da Gama have not lost:
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Atletico Mineiro.
    Atletico Mineiro have not won:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 7 of last 8 away games.
    Vasco da Gama will not lose
    Everygame
    -435
    Vasco da Gama have scored:
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 17 home games against Atletico Mineiro.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 16 home games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1in 10 of last 11 home games.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Atletico Mineiro have conceded:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 11 of last 12 away games (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 8 games (Serie A).
    Vasco da Gama will score goal
    Everygame
    -500
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 16 of last 17 Vasco da Gama home games against Atletico Mineiro.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 15 of last 16 Vasco da Gama home games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 11 of last 12 Vasco da Gama games against Atletico Mineiro.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 9 of last 10 Vasco da Gama games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1in 12 of last 14 Vasco da Gama games (Serie A).
    in 9 of last 10 Anderson Daronco games (in the Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 12 of last 13 Vasco da Gama home games against Atletico Mineiro.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 11 of last 12 Vasco da Gama home games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 7 of last 8 Vasco da Gama games against Atletico Mineiro.
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1in 9 of last 10 Vasco da Gama home games (Serie A).
    vasco-da-gama-rj-1in 8 of last 9 Vasco da Gama home games.
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Vasco Da Gama - Atl. Mineiro Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1874723-2025
    9.
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1873822-2324
    10.
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    1866618-1924
    16.
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1856720-2321
    17.
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1855822-2920
    18.
    Remo Belem
    Remo Belem
    1846821-2918

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 16
    -1
    +5
    14 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    14
    16
    Conceded
    9
    3.1
    Match goals average
    2.3
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    66'
    View all stats