Leeds vs Arsenal Prediction 31 January 2026
🔊 Will Arsenal break their winless streak in the Premier League? Mikel Arteta's side needs to wake up, as their lead over rivals is rapidly diminishing. In the 24th round, they face a trip to relegation-battling Leeds. However, the "Peacocks" play impressively at Elland Road, so the "Gunners" shouldn't expect an easy ride. Let's delve into the details.
Head-to-Head
📊 Arsenal have now beaten Leeds in seven consecutive matches. The Peacocks haven't picked up any points against them since 2020! In the first round of the current Premier League season, it was a complete rout with a 5-0 scoreline, featuring braces from Jurriën Timber and Viktor Gyökeres.
Head-to-head statistics Leeds - Arsenal
Leeds United Team Overview
Leeds continue to rack up points week after week-it's become routine. They look significantly more confident and assertive at home than away, but they don't falter on the road either, having suffered just one defeat in their last six league matches. That loss came when Newcastle pulled off a fantastic comeback in the final minutes (3-4).
In the previous round, the "Peacocks" visited Everton and were every bit as good as the "Toffees," creating more dangerous opportunities (3-1), so it was only fair they took a point home (1-1). Defender James Justin has found his scoring touch, netting his second goal in three matches. His earlier goal helped them advance past Derby County (3-1) in the third round of the FA Cup.
Match Results: Leeds United
Arsenal Team Overview
The previous round was a disaster for Arsenal, marking their first home defeat to Manchester United (2-3) in the Premier League since 2017. Mikel Arteta's side had a strong start and scored first, but they looked far less convincing after the break. Of course, conceding three goals from three shots on target could be seen as bad luck, but anyone who watched the match would agree that United's victory was no fluke.
While the Gunners have now gone three Premier League matches without a win, they have been flawless in the Champions League, winning all eight group stage matches and becoming the first team in history to achieve this feat. With no playoffs, their schedule will lighten up, which is a huge plus. However, their 3-2 win over Kairat in the final round didn't offer many positives. The Londoners once again conceded every shot on target and missed numerous chances of their own (xG 4.25). On the bright side, Arteta rested his key players, and Kai Havertz, back on the field, delivered a goal and an assist.
Match Results: Arsenal
Latest news
Leeds United
🎙 Daniel Farke on the match against Everton: "I think it's fair to say the game was a tale of two halves. Overall, the result isn't bad. It's always tough here, and we were missing key players. We might have been a bit unlucky not to score more in the first half, even though we had our chances."
❌ Jaka Bijol, Gabriel Gudmundsson, and Daniel James were sidelined before the last round. The head coach reported positive progress in James's recovery, so the Welsh winger has a chance to feature against Arsenal. However, Lucas Nmecha is not as fortunate. The German felt discomfort in his hamstring during the warm-up before the Everton match, which he ended up missing.
Arsenal
🎙 Mikel Arteta after the victory over Kairat: “I am very proud of the players and the run we've shown at this stage of the tournament. Winning eight consecutive matches in the Champions League is incredibly difficult, and you can see what's happening with other teams. We have to acknowledge that. We started today's match, with many changes, very well. Everyone had the right attitude. We demanded that. I'm disappointed with the two goals we conceded and our finishing because we should have scored much more. But it's a good way to conclude the first part of the tournament.”
❌ In Arsenal's injury list is only young Max Dauman. William Saliba and Jurriën Timber had some health issues, but both defenders are expected to be fit.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
Both teams tend to keep it clean when it comes to cards, and neither can be labeled as overly aggressive. However, Leeds average 1.73 bookings per home game, while Arsenal pick up around 1.91 on the road. Crucially, the referee for this match is Stuart Attwell, one of the toughest officials in the Premier League this season, averaging 4.7 yellow cards per game. In 17 of his last 19 Premier League matches, Attwell has shown more than 2.5 yellow cards. We expect the referee to maintain his usual standard.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
The once-reliable Arsenal defense, which was tipped to challenge Chelsea's longstanding record at the start of the season, seems a distant memory. The Gunners have been conceding frequently, while Leeds remain consistent in attack and enjoy trading goals. The bet on both teams to score (yes) has hit in 12 of Leeds' last 14 matches. That's our choice here.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Despite Arsenal's penchant for scoring from set-pieces, we're backing under 10.5 total corners. The trends clearly support this wager. This bet has come through in the last seven head-to-head encounters between these sides, as well as in seven of Leeds' last eight home games.
Editorial Prediction
As we mentioned in the match preview, three consecutive games without a win is already too much for a title contender. We don't see a fourth happening. Regardless of the form Daniel Farke's side is in, we're backing an Arsenal victory. Our reasoning is quite compelling: Leeds have historically been a favorable matchup for the Gunners, Mikel Arteta has no injury concerns, and he has given his key players the necessary rest. We anticipate the Londoners will concede but ultimately score more, securing a 2-1 win.
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Betting Tips: Leeds United - Arsenal
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