Hamburger vs Bayern Prediction 31 January 2026
🔊 Can the "Dinosaurs" show their teeth against the Munich giants? Hamburg are set to host Bayern at the Volksparkstadion, with the visitors coming off their first league defeat of the season. The hosts have been solid at home, going unbeaten in their last five matches. For Bayern, this will be their second away game in four days, but such a schedule rarely impacts their performance-after all, they're not called the Munich machine for nothing.
Head-to-Head
📊 A brace from Harry Kane, along with goals from Serge Gnabry, Alexander Pavlovic, and Luis Diaz, helped Bayern thrash Hamburg 5-0 in the first round at the Allianz Arena.
Head-to-head statistics Hamburger - Bayern
Hamburger Team Overview
🔵 After a goalless draw with Borussia Monchengladbach, the "Dinosaurs" once again shared the spoils in another scoreless encounter, this time in the Hamburg derby against fierce rivals St. Pauli (0-0). Hamburg, having drawn three of their last four matches, currently sit in 14th place, holding a three-point cushion above the relegation playoff zone.
🔴 Merlin Polzin's side have lost just two of their nine home matches at the Volksparkstadion this season since returning to the Bundesliga. This highlights the crucial role of their home form in their battle to stay up: out of their 18 points, 15 have been secured on home turf. Additionally, they have a rescheduled home fixture from Matchday 17 against Bayer Leverkusen, set to take place on March 4.
Match Results: Hamburger
Bayern Munich Team Overview
🔴 Bayern's incredible unbeaten run in the league, stretching over 18 matches, came to an unexpected end with a home defeat to Augsburg (1-2). What made it even more surprising was that the Munich side squandered a lead: Hiroki Ito opened the scoring after a corner from Michael Olise. Despite this setback, the reigning champions maintain their position at the top of the table, though their lead over Borussia Dortmund has narrowed to eight points.
⚪ On Wednesday, Bayern bounced back from their league disappointment with a victory over PSV in Eindhoven (2-1) during the final round of the Champions League group stage. This result secured Bayern's progression to the Round of 16 as group runners-up. Jamal Musiala netted his first goal since returning from injury, while Harry Kane scored the winning goal. Potential opponents in the knockout stage include Bayer, Borussia Dortmund, Atalanta, and Olympiacos.
Match Results: Bayern Munich
Latest news
Hamburger
🎙️ Merlin Polzin ahead of the match: "Our coaching staff has said that there's nothing better for us than playing against the top-tier players of Bayern Munich. Given the step up in class we've been striving for over the years, having such players at the Volksparkstadion was a clear goal and motivation for us. We eagerly anticipate this encounter."
🛑 Hamburg have suspended forward Jean-Luc Dompé from training and matches until further notice. Last Sunday, January 25th, the player was stopped by police for a check, and a breathalyzer test revealed the presence of alcohol in his blood.
❌ Yussuf Poulsen continues with individual training. Robert Glatzel, Damion Downs, and Fabio Balde missed Monday's training due to minor issues. Alexander Rößling-Lelesiit is out for a longer period. Silvan Hefti is no longer training with the team and is negotiating his future-reports suggest the 28-year-old defender is close to joining D.C. United.
Bayern Munich
🎙️ Vincent Kompany on the upcoming match: "Hamburg still holds a special place for me, as does the city itself. When this club is stable and consistent, it has the potential to become truly great. I expect a match against a team fighting for every point at this crucial stage of the season. We're eagerly anticipating this game."
❌ Konrad Laimer has resumed training with the ball for the first time since his injury. Josip Stanisic remains unavailable. Raphael Guerreiro has already missed two matches due to a calf strain.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by Harm Osmers. Over his last 10 matches, he has averaged four yellow cards per game. Hamburg have averaged 1.7 bookings over their last 18 matches, while Bayern have seen 1.8 over 19 games. We're backing over 3.5 yellow cards as this scenario played out in the teams' first head-to-head encounter this season.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Considering Hamburg's resolute performances at home and Bayern's current defensive issues, we're inclined to believe that the hosts will find the net. Polzin's side has scored in five of their last six matches at the Volksparkstadion. Meanwhile, Kompany's squad has conceded in five of their last six outings.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Hamburg have the lowest average corner count in the league at 3.7, despite having a game in hand. Bayern, on the other hand, boast the highest with 6.2. Therefore, we're opting for Bayern's individual total over 5.5 corners, a bet that has come through in seven of their last eight matches.
Editorial Prediction
Despite a significant difference in quality, Hamburg put up a fight against any opponent at home. This is their debut season in the Bundesliga after a seven-year absence, and they look competitive with a solid chance of staying in the top flight. Therefore, the "Dinosaurs" focus heavily on their home matches.
However, in Germany, no one matches Bayern's level, and slip-ups like the loss to Augsburg are rare to occur twice in a row. The Munich side need to reassert their dominance. We expect Hamburg to find the net, but predict a Bayern win with a -1.5 handicap - an outcome that has occurred in seven of Bayern's last eight away Bundesliga matches. A potential scoreline could be 3-1.
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Betting Tips: Hamburger - Bayern Munich
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in 6 of last 7 games against Bayern Munich.
in 6 of last 7 home games.in 14 of last 15 games against Bayern Munich.in 10 of last 11 games against Bayern Munich (Bundesliga).in 8 of last 9 home games against Bayern Munich.in 9 of last 10 away games (Bundesliga).in 6 of last 7 games.
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