AZ Alkmaar vs Nijmegen Prediction

    💫 The upcoming clash between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen promises an exciting battle for the top spots in the Dutch league standings. Both teams are in excellent form, delivering impressive performances. AZ Alkmaar, sitting in fifth place, aims to solidify their position with a streak of two consecutive wins. Meanwhile, NEC Nijmegen, currently in fourth place, displays even more confident play with eight victories in their last ten matches. Read the prediction for their showdown below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - NEC Nijmegen):

    • possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corners: 5 vs 4;
    • fouls: 14 vs 16;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen:

    • 17 matches played;
    • home victories - 7, away victories - 5, draws - 5;
    • goals scored - 31 for AZ Alkmaar, 22 for NEC Nijmegen;
    • average total goals in the first half - 1.53, in the second half - 1.59;
    • average total goals per match - 3.12.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    42%
    8 Wins
    26%
    5 Draws
    32%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    19
    Total Goals Avg
    3.32
    Both teams scored
    74%
    1.95
    Total average
    1.37
    1.68
    Yellow cards
    1.47
    Last matches
    19.04.26
    KNVB beker
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    -
    -
    2
    8
    13
    11
    4
    3
    5
    1
    1
    0
    4
    1
    -
    -
    2
    8
    13
    11
    4
    3
    31.01.26
    Eredivisie
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    0.97
    1.36
    3
    3
    15
    16
    1
    2
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0.97
    1.36
    3
    3
    15
    16
    1
    2
    28.09.25
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    1
    1.27
    0.33
    5
    4
    14
    16
    1
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.27
    0.33
    5
    4
    14
    16
    1
    4
    29.03.25
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    1.39
    0.98
    5
    7
    9
    9
    3
    3
    3
    3
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1.39
    0.98
    5
    7
    9
    9
    3
    3
    17.08.24
    Eredivisie
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    -
    -
    4
    6
    11
    10
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    11
    10
    2
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    AZ Alkmaar Team Overview

    The last official match took place in the Eredivisie, featuring Telstar as the home team against AZ Alkmaar. The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-1.

    Here are the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar):

    • possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
    • fouls: 16 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    AZ Alkmaar have been showcasing consistent form in the current Eredivisie season. With five wins and two losses in their last ten matches, they confidently hold fifth place in the standings. Their style of play is marked by a strong attacking presence and effective ball control, averaging 2.1 goals per match while conceding 1.1. However, their most recent head-to-head against NEC ended in a 2-1 defeat, providing the home side with extra motivation to deliver a better performance.

    Match Results: AZ Alkmaar

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    NAC Breda
    NAC Breda
    1.46
    2
    7
    6
    11
    6
    1
    1
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1.46
    2
    7
    6
    11
    6
    1
    1
    D
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    1.16
    0.89
    7
    3
    10
    9
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.16
    0.89
    7
    3
    10
    9
    1
    0
    D
    03.05.26
    Eredivisie
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    Twente
    Twente
    1.74
    0.81
    4
    3
    9
    14
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.74
    0.81
    4
    3
    9
    14
    0
    0
    D
    23.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Go Ahead Eagles
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    1.5
    1.52
    5
    10
    9
    13
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.5
    1.52
    5
    10
    9
    13
    2
    1
    D
    19.04.26
    KNVB beker
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    -
    -
    2
    8
    13
    11
    4
    3
    5
    1
    1
    0
    4
    1
    -
    -
    2
    8
    13
    11
    4
    3
    W
    Empty
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    NEC Nijmegen Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Eredivisie, with NEC Nijmegen as the home team and Zwolle as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.

    Here's the match statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs Zwolle):

    • possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 6;
    • fouls: 7 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 6.

    NEC Nijmegen's "Celts" are enjoying a remarkable spell, with their form nothing short of impressive: eight wins and two draws in their last ten matches speak volumes. They currently sit in fourth place, thanks to their aggressive style of play and high scoring rate-averaging 2.7 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.5 goals. The club has remained unbeaten in recent months, even against formidable opponents like PSV and Feyenoord.

    Match Results: NEC Nijmegen

    Last matches
    17.05.26
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    Go Ahead Eagles
    Go Ahead Eagles
    4.16
    0.54
    13
    4
    12
    8
    1
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    4.16
    0.54
    13
    4
    12
    8
    1
    2
    W
    10.05.26
    Eredivisie
    Groningen
    Groningen
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1.61
    1.28
    5
    6
    16
    12
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.61
    1.28
    5
    6
    16
    12
    2
    1
    L
    02.05.26
    Eredivisie
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    Telstar
    Telstar
    1.61
    1.08
    9
    0
    10
    11
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.61
    1.08
    9
    0
    10
    11
    3
    2
    D
    25.04.26
    Eredivisie
    Twente
    Twente
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    1.44
    1.55
    3
    9
    6
    16
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.44
    1.55
    3
    9
    6
    16
    1
    2
    D
    19.04.26
    KNVB beker
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    -
    -
    2
    8
    13
    11
    4
    3
    5
    1
    1
    0
    4
    1
    -
    -
    2
    8
    13
    11
    4
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 17;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 2;
    • Average first-half total: 1.53;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.88, while the visitors net 0.65.

    First-Half Stats: AZ Alkmaar (home) vs NEC Nijmegen (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
    • wins: 6 (66.67%) vs 2 (20%);
    • losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 4 (40%);
    • draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 4 (40%);
    • Average goals scored: 2.33 vs 1.8;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.78 vs 1.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 4 vs 3;
    • losses: 2 vs 2;
    • draws: 4 vs 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.8 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.8).
    Trends
    • NEC Nijmegen scored and conceded in the 1st half in 5 of last 6 games.
    • NEC Nijmegen scored and conceded in the 1st half in last 4 games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half, Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 2.03)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • home team wins - 7, away team wins - 5, draws - 5.

    Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen

    • matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 19;
    • wins: 9 vs 10;
    • win percentage: 45% vs 53%;
    • losses: 6 vs 4;
    • draws: 5 vs 5.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 8;
    • losses: 2 vs 0;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.
    Trends
    • NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games against AZ Alkmaar.
    • NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 28 of last 29 games.
    • NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 25 of last 26 games (Eredivisie).
    • NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 away games.
    • NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 away games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: NEC Nijmegen Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.42)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.82, the guests - 1.29;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.12;
    • both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 6.

    Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen

    • average total in the tournament: 3.35 vs 4.32;
    • average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 2.58;
    • average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.89;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 1.68;
    • AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament -  2.22;
    • NEC Nijmegen: average total away in the tournament - 2.4;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2) vs 2.7 (away - 3).
    Trends
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 AZ Alkmaar games against NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie).
    • Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 AZ Alkmaar home games against NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3.5)(odds: 1.74)

    Prediction on corners

    AZ Alkmaar: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6; at home field - 6.56;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; at home field - 6.8.

    NEC Nijmegen: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.47, away - 5.1;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; away - 6.33.
    Trends
    • Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 AZ Alkmaar home games (Eredivisie).
    • Under 10.5 corners in last 5 AZ Alkmaar games.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (10.5)(odds: 1.57)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 6 times.

    Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 19;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 15;
    • number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 8 (89%);
    • number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 9 (90%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 9;
    • BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 6 (100%).
    Trends
    • AZ Alkmaar have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 home games (Eredivisie).
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 14 of last 15 away games.
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 away games (Eredivisie).
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 9 games.
    • NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 7 games (Eredivisie).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.44)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (22/178, 12.4%);
    • AZ Alkmaar at home most often finish matches: 2:2 , 4:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
    • NEC Nijmegen away most often play: 2:2 , 3:2 (2/10, 20%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    2:1 - 8.81% (odds 7)
    1:1 - 8.29% (odds 7.5)
    2:2 - 7.07% (odds 10)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:1)(odds: 7)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen approach their head-to-head clash with a clear emphasis on organized defense, aiming to minimize the risk of dropping crucial points. The visitors from Nijmegen are renowned for their ability to effectively close down open spaces and establish solid defensive setups against the league's favorites. AZ, despite their attacking prowess, have recently opted for a balanced tempo, focusing significantly on the reliability of their own backline. Therefore, betting on under 3.5 goals seems reasonable. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (3.5) at odds of -135*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (29 January 2026, 04:56)

    Betting Tips: AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen

    NEC Nijmegen have won
    nec-nijmegen-1in 5 of last 6 away games.
    NEC Nijmegen Win
    +265
    AZ Alkmaar have not lost
    az-alkmaarin 21 of last 22 home games.
    az-alkmaarin 13 of last 14 home games (Eredivisie).
    AZ Alkmaar will not lose
    -370
    NEC Nijmegen have not lost
    nec-nijmegen-1in 15 of last 16 games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in 12 of last 13 games (Eredivisie).
    nec-nijmegen-1in 9 of last 10 away games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in 6 of last 7 away games (Eredivisie).
    NEC Nijmegen will not lose
    -110
    AZ Alkmaar have conceded
    az-alkmaarin 11 of last 12 home games (Eredivisie).
    NEC Nijmegen have scored
    nec-nijmegen-1in 26 of last 27 games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in 23 of last 24 games (Eredivisie).
    nec-nijmegen-1in 15 of last 16 away games.
    nec-nijmegen-1in 12 of last 13 away games (Eredivisie).
    NEC Nijmegen will score goal
    -357
    View more facts

    AZ Alkmaar - Nijmegen Table position

    Eredivisie 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    2.
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    Feyenoord Rotterdam
    34198770-4465
    3.
    NEC Nijmegen
    NEC Nijmegen
    341611777-5359
    4.
    Twente
    Twente
    341513659-4058
    6.
    Utrecht
    Utrecht
    341581155-4253
    7.
    AZ Alkmaar
    AZ Alkmaar
    3414101058-5152
    8.
    Heerenveen
    Heerenveen
    341491157-5351

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    5 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 4
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 15
    +3
    +2
    17 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    5
    Draws
    4
    2
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    17
    15
    Conceded
    15
    3.3
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    5
    Both teams scored
    8
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats