AZ Alkmaar vs Nijmegen Prediction
💫 The upcoming clash between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen promises an exciting battle for the top spots in the Dutch league standings. Both teams are in excellent form, delivering impressive performances. AZ Alkmaar, sitting in fifth place, aims to solidify their position with a streak of two consecutive wins. Meanwhile, NEC Nijmegen, currently in fourth place, displays even more confident play with eight victories in their last ten matches. Read the prediction for their showdown below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home team - NEC Nijmegen):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen:
- 17 matches played;
- home victories - 7, away victories - 5, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 31 for AZ Alkmaar, 22 for NEC Nijmegen;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.53, in the second half - 1.59;
- average total goals per match - 3.12.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

AZ Alkmaar Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Eredivisie, featuring Telstar as the home team against AZ Alkmaar. The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here are the game statistics (AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar):
- possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
AZ Alkmaar have been showcasing consistent form in the current Eredivisie season. With five wins and two losses in their last ten matches, they confidently hold fifth place in the standings. Their style of play is marked by a strong attacking presence and effective ball control, averaging 2.1 goals per match while conceding 1.1. However, their most recent head-to-head against NEC ended in a 2-1 defeat, providing the home side with extra motivation to deliver a better performance.
Match Results: AZ Alkmaar

NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Eredivisie, with NEC Nijmegen as the home team and Zwolle as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (NEC Nijmegen vs Zwolle):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 6;
- fouls: 7 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 6.
NEC Nijmegen's "Celts" are enjoying a remarkable spell, with their form nothing short of impressive: eight wins and two draws in their last ten matches speak volumes. They currently sit in fourth place, thanks to their aggressive style of play and high scoring rate-averaging 2.7 goals per game while conceding an average of 1.5 goals. The club has remained unbeaten in recent months, even against formidable opponents like PSV and Feyenoord.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 17;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 3; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.53;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.88, while the visitors net 0.65.
First-Half Stats: AZ Alkmaar (home) vs NEC Nijmegen (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
- wins: 6 (66.67%) vs 2 (20%);
- losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 4 (40%);
- draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 4 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 2.33 vs 1.8;
- Average goals conceded: 0.78 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.5 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.8 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.8).
- NEC Nijmegen scored and conceded in the 1st half in 5 of last 6 games.
- NEC Nijmegen scored and conceded in the 1st half in last 4 games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 7, away team wins - 5, draws - 5.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 19;
- wins: 9 vs 10;
- win percentage: 45% vs 53%;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 5.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 8;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 7 of last 8 away games against AZ Alkmaar.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 28 of last 29 games.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 25 of last 26 games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 away games.
- NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 away games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.82, the guests - 1.29;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.12;
- both teams scored: overall - 12; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen
- average total in the tournament: 3.35 vs 4.32;
- average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 2.58;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.89;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.75 vs 1.68;
- AZ Alkmaar: average total at home in the tournament - 2.22;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total away in the tournament - 2.4;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 2) vs 2.7 (away - 3).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 AZ Alkmaar games against NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 AZ Alkmaar home games against NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
AZ Alkmaar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6; at home field - 6.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; at home field - 6.8.
NEC Nijmegen: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.47, away - 5.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; away - 6.33.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 AZ Alkmaar home games (Eredivisie).
- Under 10.5 corners in last 5 AZ Alkmaar games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 12 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 15;
- number of BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 8 (89%);
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 9 (90%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for AZ Alkmaar at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 6 (100%).
- AZ Alkmaar have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 home games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 14 of last 15 away games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 away games (Eredivisie).
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 9 games.
- NEC Nijmegen have scored and conceded in last 7 games (Eredivisie).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (22/178, 12.4%);
- AZ Alkmaar at home most often finish matches: 2:2 , 4:1 (2/9, 22.2%);
- NEC Nijmegen away most often play: 2:2 , 3:2 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 8.81% (odds 7)
1:1 - 8.29% (odds 7.5)
2:2 - 7.07% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen approach their head-to-head clash with a clear emphasis on organized defense, aiming to minimize the risk of dropping crucial points. The visitors from Nijmegen are renowned for their ability to effectively close down open spaces and establish solid defensive setups against the league's favorites. AZ, despite their attacking prowess, have recently opted for a balanced tempo, focusing significantly on the reliability of their own backline. Therefore, betting on under 3.5 goals seems reasonable. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.