Athletic vs Real Sociedad Prediction

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The main thing

    🔊 Can the Basques live up to their favorite status in the upcoming clash? The final highlight of Sunday's La Liga schedule is Athletic Bilbao's encounter with Real Sociedad at San Mamés. At this stage of the season, it appears the Royals have overcome their main challenges, while Ernesto Valverde's side remains mired in a deep crisis. Nonetheless, the home advantage has been pivotal for bookmakers, giving a slight edge to the Basques.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Let's lock in the stats from the last 10 head-to-head encounters: Athletic Club have claimed victory 5 times, there have been 2 draws, and Real Sociedad have come out on top 3 times. Considering the average scoring rate over the same period, the "Lions" lead with 1.4 goals per match compared to 1.1 for their rivals. Earlier this season, a goal-fest unfolded during their clash at the "Reale Arena," with the hosts securing a 3-2 win. Whether the "White and Blues" can replicate this success in Bilbao remains to be seen soon. 

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    32%
    13 Wins
    27%
    11 Draws
    41%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    41
    Total Goals Avg
    2.46
    Both teams scored
    49%
    1.22
    Total average
    1.24
    2.78
    Yellow cards
    2.32
    Last matches
    04.03.26
    Copa del Rey
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    2.16
    0.38
    11
    8
    14
    16
    2
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.16
    0.38
    11
    8
    14
    16
    2
    5
    11.02.26
    Copa del Rey
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    0.99
    1.98
    4
    4
    12
    18
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.99
    1.98
    4
    4
    12
    18
    1
    2
    01.02.26
    La Liga
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    1
    1.23
    1.01
    6
    3
    14
    14
    4
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.23
    1.01
    6
    3
    14
    14
    4
    2
    01.11.25
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.63
    1.14
    6
    2
    20
    8
    2
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.63
    1.14
    6
    2
    20
    8
    2
    3
    04.05.25
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    0.84
    0.19
    7
    3
    18
    13
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.84
    0.19
    7
    3
    18
    13
    1
    2
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    Athletic Bilbao Team Overview

    🔴 The "Red and Whites" continue to disappoint their fans, having failed to secure a victory in their last five La Liga matches. Ernesto Valverde's squad currently sits in 14th place in the standings, with 24 points from 21 games. Offensive efficiency remains a key issue for the club from Bilbao, as Athletic average just 0.95 goals per game this season. The poor form of the Basque leaders, coupled with the head coach's excessive rigidity, prevents them from turning the tide and securing a spot in the top half of the table.

    ⚪ Midweek, Athletic suffered another European defeat, which prevented them from advancing to the playoffs, falling to Sporting (2-3). Once again, the Basques struggled against an organized defense, managing only 0.57 goals according to xG metrics. Currently, Ernesto Valverde is trying various methods to simplify his team's play and make it more counter-attacking, aiming to give the players more freedom with the ball. In their last La Liga outing, Athletic were outplayed by Sevilla (1-2). This setback has significantly complicated the club's position in La Liga.

    Match Results: Athletic Bilbao

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    L
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    3.77
    0.17
    5
    0
    14
    11
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    3.77
    0.17
    5
    0
    14
    11
    2
    2
    D
    13.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    0.89
    0.95
    8
    9
    9
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    0.89
    0.95
    8
    9
    9
    14
    0
    0
    L
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    Valencia
    Valencia
    1.33
    1.26
    13
    5
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.33
    1.26
    13
    5
    9
    7
    2
    3
    L
    02.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    0.53
    0.94
    4
    6
    8
    13
    4
    3
    2
    4
    1
    0
    1
    4
    0.53
    0.94
    4
    6
    8
    13
    4
    3
    W
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    Real Sociedad Team Overview

    ⚪ The arrival of Pellegrino Matarazzo at Real Sociedad marks a pivotal moment. The American coach has yet to suffer a defeat while leading the San Sebastián side. Currently, the club sits in 8th place in the standings, trailing the top six by five points. Real Sociedad's average statistical performance shows 1.38 goals scored per game, with the same number conceded. However, the "Royals" continue to face significant challenges in away matches, securing only 10 points from 10 games (12th in the league).

    🔵 In the last round of La Liga, Real Sociedad defeated Celta Vigo (3-1) at the Reale Arena. Pellegrino Matarazzo's squad once again excelled in transitional phases, punishing their opponents for overextending. The American coach is not a proponent of possession-based football with slow ball movement-his teams typically have lower possession percentages. However, with speedy wingers and a well-balanced lineup, Real Sociedad is quite effective in transitions. The most prolific player for the "Royals" is Mikel Oyarzabal, with 8 goals and 3 assists in 18 regular-season games. Whether Real Sociedad's unbeaten run will continue will be revealed this coming Sunday.

    Match Results: Real Sociedad

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    1.78
    1.14
    3
    5
    11
    17
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.78
    1.14
    3
    5
    11
    17
    1
    3
    D
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Valencia
    Valencia
    1
    0.66
    1.12
    3
    2
    13
    11
    4
    0
    3
    4
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0.66
    1.12
    3
    2
    13
    11
    4
    0
    L
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Girona
    Girona
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    2.7
    0.48
    6
    3
    13
    19
    2
    7
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2.7
    0.48
    6
    3
    13
    19
    2
    7
    D
    09.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    Real Betis
    Real Betis
    1
    2.34
    1.31
    5
    3
    12
    9
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    2.34
    1.31
    5
    3
    12
    9
    2
    2
    D
    04.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    1.98
    0.21
    3
    3
    19
    11
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.98
    0.21
    3
    3
    19
    11
    2
    1
    L
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    Latest news

    Athletic Bilbao

    🎤 Recently, Ernesto Valverde attended a press conference where he once again acknowledged the serious issues facing his team: "We're under significant pressure, and when our results in La Liga aren't great, that stress only intensifies. However, some progress in our play should help us overcome this and perform well tomorrow. Throughout the season, there are periods as crucial as this one, but yes, this is a decisive phase. It's far better to be excited than to be upset over a loss. We're focused on this match because of its importance. The Champions League is thrilling, as is the Cup, but La Liga is our commitment, and we're not doing well."

    ❌ In Athletic's injury list are Iñaki Williams (muscle injury), Marwan Sannadi (knee injury), Oihan Sancet (leg injury), Beñat Prados (knee injury), Unai Eguiluz (knee injury).

    Real Sociedad

    🎤 Ahead of the clash with Athletic, Igor Zubeldia spoke to journalists: "Both teams approach the match in different conditions. We've had a very good month, but in a derby, that doesn't matter. Athletic haven't had the best results, but in these matches, the playing field levels out. We've had more time to prepare, but we know what it's like to play every three days-the body eventually adapts. I don't think it will be a big advantage for us. Our goal is always to keep a clean sheet because that guarantees at least a point. Yes, we concede goals, but previously the team would crumble psychologically after conceding. Now, we show that we can score one more-and that's what we need to hold on to."

    ❌ Among the unavailable players for Real Sociedad in the upcoming match are Duje Ćaleta-Car (suspension), Takefusa Kubo (muscle injury), Unai Marrero (leg injury), and Iñaki Ruperes (knee injury).

    ⚽ Goal Prediction

    In Athletic's last six matches, there have been at least three goals scored. A similar trend is observed in four of Real Sociedad's previous five encounters. Both clubs struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Given these statistical metrics, a reasonable choice would be to bet on over 2 total goals.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Both teams emphasize quick transitions from defense to attack, utilizing their wing players effectively. Let's note the average number of corners each side has earned in the current La Liga season: Athletic averages 5.7 corners, while Real Sociedad averages 6.1. Our editorial team anticipates a high-intensity match with plenty of corners. Our pick is over 9.5 total corners.

    Editor's Prediction

    At this stage of the season, Athletic Club are struggling to impress, even in their home fixtures. Ernesto Valverde's squad faces significant organizational challenges that directly affect their results. Meanwhile, under the guidance of Pellegrino Matarazzo, the "Royals" have found their stride on the pitch. It's highly likely that the visitors will ride this wave of euphoria to success this coming Sunday. We anticipate a final score of 1-2, with the key bet being Real Sociedad will not lose. 

    Our choice
    Real Sociedad will not lose at odds of -182*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (31 January 2026, 12:22)

    Betting Tips: Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad

    Real Sociedad have not lost
    real-sociedad-2in 8 of last 9 away games.
    real-sociedad-2in last 7 games.
    Real Sociedad will not lose
    Everygame
    -164
    Athletic Bilbao have scored
    athletic-bilbao-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    Real Sociedad have conceded
    real-sociedad-2in 24 of last 25 games (La Liga).
    real-sociedad-2in 23 of last 25 away games.
    real-sociedad-2in last 19 away games (La Liga).
    real-sociedad-2in last 9 games.
    Athletic Bilbao will score goal
    MyBookie
    -167
    Athletic Bilbao have conceded
    athletic-bilbao-1in last 8 games.
    Real Sociedad have scored
    real-sociedad-2in 16 of last 17 games.
    real-sociedad-2in 12 of last 13 games (La Liga).
    real-sociedad-2in 10 of last 11 away games.
    real-sociedad-2in 7 of last 8 away games (La Liga).
    Real Sociedad will score goal
    Everygame
    -222
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    athletic-bilbao-1in 8 of last 9 Athletic Bilbao games (La Liga).
    real-sociedad-2in 16 of last 17 Real Sociedad games.
    real-sociedad-2in 12 of last 13 Real Sociedad games (La Liga).
    real-sociedad-2in 10 of last 11 Real Sociedad away games.
    real-sociedad-2in 7 of last 8 Real Sociedad away games (La Liga).
    in 13 of last 15 Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez games (in the La Liga).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Athletic - Real Sociedad Table position

    LaLiga 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Valencia
    Valencia
    3813101546-5549
    10.
    Real Sociedad
    Real Sociedad
    3811131459-6146
    11.
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    3812101643-5546
    12.
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    381361943-5845
    13.
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    381271946-6043

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    6 - Loses
    Wins - 2
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 18
    -5
    -1
    17 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    2
    1
    Draws
    5
    6
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    17
    18
    Conceded
    18
    3.1
    Match goals average
    3.5
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.8
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    55'
    View all stats