Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction 30 December 2025
📡 Can Burnley celebrate the end of the year with their first win in nine matches? Scott Parker's side have a great chance to share the joy with their fans as they host Newcastle in the 19th round of the Premier League at Turf Moor. The Magpies are not in the best form, having won only one of their last four games. The Lancashire team are also far from their best, but it's worth noting that they have avoided defeat in their last two matches. Which club has a better chance to end the year on a high note? Let's assess this in our editorial's prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Burnley's last Premier League victory over Newcastle came more than six years ago during the 2019/20 campaign. Since then, they've faced off eight times, with the Lancashire side managing to snatch points only once through a draw. The Magpies emerged victorious in the other seven encounters. Interestingly, in five of those seven previous head-to-head clashes, both teams found the back of the net.
Head-to-head statistics Burnley - Newcastle
Burnley Team Overview
Burnley's 18th position in the league remains unchanged for seven consecutive rounds. However, Scott Parker's side has shown signs of life in their last two matches, managing to secure a point in each-a feat they hadn't achieved in their previous seven outings. Despite these efforts, they still find themselves six points adrift of the safe 16th spot.
In the 18th round of the Premier League, Burnley hosted Everton and arguably looked the stronger team. The hosts enjoyed more possession (55% to 45%) and posed a greater threat to the Toffees' goal (1.31 xG to 1.02 xG), with both sides registering a near-equal number of shots (16 to 15 in favor of the Lancashire side). However, neither team managed to break the deadlock, with the match ending in a goalless draw (0-0).
Match Results: Burnley
Newcastle United Team Overview
Eddie Howe's team has yet to climb above 10th place in the current Premier League campaign. In their last five matches, with just one win, the Magpies have been hovering between 11th and 13th place. Newcastle have now gone three games without a victory.
However, Newcastle's schedule hasn't been kind either. Their last three opponents have all been from the Premier League's top seven. The Magpies really struggled only against Sunderland away (0-1), where the hosts effectively shut down the game. Against Chelsea (2-2) and Manchester United (1-2), the black-and-whites didn't necessarily outshine their opponents in every aspect, but they certainly weren't weaker in attack, accumulating a total of 4.13 xG compared to their opponents' 1.97 xG.
Match Results: Newcastle United
Latest news
Burnley
🎙 Burnley's head coach assessed his team's performance against Everton. "Honestly, I think we were outstanding. We showed real enthusiasm and a readiness to play at a high level. Considering our seven defeats and how close we were to an unwelcome record of eight losses, the last two performances have shown that we're full of energy and determination, and I'm pleased with that," said Scott Parker.
❌ Burnley continue to face setbacks. Since the start of the season, Jordan Beyer and Zeki Amdouni have been sidelined due to injuries. Most recently, Maxime Estève joined them on the injury list, and in the last round, Josh Cullen was also ruled out. Additionally, Lyle Foster, Hannibal Mejbri, and Axel Tuanzebe have left for the Africa Cup of Nations.
Newcastle United
🎙 Newcastle's head coach took responsibility for the defeat against Manchester United. "We should have at least taken a point from this match, but we only have ourselves to blame. The first half was disappointing-we had the chance to take control, and by halftime, I wasn't pleased. In the second half, we looked better: we controlled the ball and created more chances, but we missed the crucial first goal-had we scored it, the victory would have been ours. I primarily hold myself accountable for the result, and then I look at the players. I don't consider today's performance a failure, but since we didn't win, criticism is justified," said Eddie Howe.
❌ Newcastle's form has been significantly affected by numerous injuries. The team currently has six players in the treatment room: Dan Burn, Emil Krafth, William Osula, Kieran Trippier, Tino Livramento, and Sven Botman. Before the previous round, first-choice goalkeeper Nick Pope was sidelined with a muscle injury. However, he was seen warming up on the sidelines during the match against Manchester United.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The referee appointed for this match is Robert Jones. In his last 20 Premier League matches, he has averaged 3.6 yellow cards per game. Burnley's matches are generally not known for their rough play, averaging just 2.2 cautions in their last five games. This statistic benefits Eddie Howe's side, considering their extensive injury list; they would prefer to avoid losing more players ahead of a packed winter schedule. Our prediction: total yellow cards under 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Burnley have shown resilience in recent head-to-head encounters with Newcastle, particularly at Turf Moor, where they've scored in each of their last seven meetings. Newcastle's defense has been porous this season, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 Premier League matches and in eight away games across all competitions. Given their injury woes, we expect this trend to continue on the road. Editor's choice: Burnley to score.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Fortunately for Eddie Howe, the team's attacking flanks remain unaffected by injuries. With their primary 4-3-3 formation, the Magpies excel both in positional and counter-attacking play, consistently posing a threat to opponents' goals, including through set pieces. Newcastle lead the Premier League in average corners earned per match (6.39 over 18 games). Moreover, in six consecutive league matches, they've secured at least six corners. We suggest focusing on this: Newcastle total corners over 5.5.
Editorial Prediction
Both teams have been struggling recently, with Burnley enduring a nine-match winless streak and Newcastle faltering lately as well. It's hard to determine which side is in deeper trouble at the moment, so let's look at their head-to-head history, where the Clarets haven't claimed victory in over six years. It's also foolish to ignore the difference in quality between the squads: even with a lengthy injury list, the Magpies have a more expensive and superior lineup.
Bookmakers also favor the visitors, giving them nearly triple the odds advantage. We suggest aligning with these odds and betting on a Newcastle win with a narrow scoreline of 2-1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Burnley - Newcastle United
in last 5 games against Newcastle United (Premier League)..svg)
in last 7 games against Newcastle United (Premier League).in last 5 games against Newcastle United.in 11 of last 12 away games (Premier League).in 7 of last 8 away games.
in last 9 games against Newcastle United.in last 8 games against Newcastle United (Premier League).in last 9 games (Premier League).in 8 of last 9 home games.in last 5 home games (Premier League).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
