Metz vs Rennes Prediction 28 November 2025
🔊 Can Rennes extend their winning streak in the French championship? In the 14th round of Ligue 1, the "Red and Blacks" will visit Metz, who have been performing well over the past month. Despite being on the road, Rennes are the bookmakers' favorites for this clash due to their impressive run of consecutive victories. We've prepared an analytical piece on this match, where you'll find a prediction on its outcome.
Head-to-Head
📊 In recent years, Rennes have been dominating this matchup, winning their last seven head-to-head encounters against Metz.
Head-to-head statistics Metz - Rennes
Metz Team Overview
🔴 Metz find themselves at the bottom of the league table, yet they've shown glimpses of promising play over the past month. It's no coincidence that Stéphane Le Mignan's squad strung together three consecutive victories, defeating Lens (2-0), Nantes (2-0), and Nice (2-1) in succession. They scored as many goals in these three matches as they had in all previous games combined.
⚪ The Crusaders couldn't extend their winning streak, falling to Brest (3-2) in their latest outing, despite having a genuine shot at victory. Against the Reds, Metz held 44% possession, managed three shots on target, and posted an expected goals (xG) figure of 1.07. While a win was still out of reach, their attacking line once again showed promise!
Match Results: Metz
Stade Rennes Team Overview
⚫ Rennes started the season with a string of draws, which kept them mid-table and unable to close in on the leading pack. However, November saw an incredible surge as Habib Beye's team secured three consecutive wins, catapulting them into the European qualification zone. It's worth noting that the "Red and Blacks" are now on a four-match unbeaten run.
🔴 Rennes faced a challenging schedule that didn't seem conducive to a winning streak. Their victories over Strasbourg (4-1), who are in the top four, and Monaco (4-1), a team eyeing the medals, stand out. The match against Paris (1-0) was also no easy feat, as the newcomers to the top division are fiercely competitive this season.
Match Results: Stade Rennes
Latest news
Metz
❌ Metz are currently dealing with several injuries, sidelining players who won't be able to contribute in their match against Rennes. The coaching staff can't count on the following players: Habib Diallo (hamstring injury), Joseph Mangondo (knee injury), Pape Cisse (concussion), and Uri Michel Mbula (hamstring injury).
Stade Rennes
🎙 Rennes head coach Habib Beye shared his thoughts on the upcoming match: “I am quite confident in the team's focus. The players aren't showing any euphoria about what we're experiencing. As I mentioned, the match will resemble the one we played against Paris, and we need to act consistently and stay focused. It's a tough match, especially after such a convincing home victory. The coaching staff and I are eager to maintain this positive momentum, this run of points and wins. Metz are in good form; they've secured three consecutive victories, they're scoring goals, and they play attractive football. We need to give it our all.”
❌ Midfielder Seko Fofana's participation against Metz is doubtful due to a lingering muscle injury. Until the end of October, he was a regular on the field, but then began rehabilitation and has been out of the starting lineup since.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The upcoming match will be officiated by Jérémy Stinat. On average, over a span of 100 games, he hands out 3.73 yellow cards per match, with 24 fouls committed. In Ligue 1 this season, Metz have averaged 1.8 yellow cards per game, while Rennes have averaged 1.9. Both teams have received relatively few warnings this season, so a bet on total yellow cards under 5.5 seems reasonable.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Metz have an average individual total of 1.1 goals per match in the league, while Rennes average 1.8. The goal-scoring rate in matches involving these teams is quite high: 3.4 for the hosts and 3.2 for the visitors. Considering these statistics, a bet on total goals over 2.5 appears insightful.
🚩 Corner Prediction
In thirteen Ligue 1 matches, Metz have averaged 4.1 corners per game, while Rennes have averaged 5.5 in the same period. Both teams frequently attack down the flanks, leading to corner opportunities. Therefore, a bet on total corners over 8.5 is worth considering.
Editor's Prediction
Metz have shown some bursts of activity, but it's hard to call their play consistent, and their second-to-last position in the standings speaks volumes. Rennes lingered in the middle of the table for a while, but now they've found incredible form, stringing together three consecutive victories. We believe the "Red and Blacks" will take this upcoming match with a score of 2-1. For our main bet on this encounter, we're backing a victory for the visitors.
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Betting Tips: Metz - Stade Rennes
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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