Sligo Rovers FC vs Derry City Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 30 October 2026
💥 Sligo Rovers and Derry City meet in the final round of the League of Ireland season. The hosts are bottom of the table and have already been relegated from the top flight. Derry City sit fifth but also failed to achieve their main objectives for the season. The two sides come into this match in very different form: Sligo have not won in a long time, while the visitors have improved noticeably. For the hosts, this match is a farewell to the top division, while Derry will be looking to end the season on a positive note.
Head-to-Head
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Sligo Rovers and Derry City:
- 64 matches played;
- home wins - 23, away wins - 23, draws - 18;
- goals - 67 vs 66;
- average first-half total - 0.94, second-half - 1.14;
- average total goals per match - 2.08.
Head-to-head statistics Sligo Rovers FC - Derry City
Sligo Rovers Team Overview
Sligo Rovers are having a dreadful season and have already been relegated from the Premier Division. They have gone 17 league matches without a win, which is the main reason they find themselves bottom of the table. After 35 rounds, the hosts have collected just 24 points, with five wins and nine draws. Their defensive record has been particularly poor, with 64 goals conceded. At home, Sligo have won only three of their 17 matches, so it is hard to count on any home advantage.
Match Results: Sligo Rovers
Derry City Team Overview
Derry City go into the final round in fifth place. They have won 4 of their previous 6 matches, noticeably improving their results towards the end of the season. However, that run has not been enough to bring them close to their main objectives, including a European place. Away from home they have been considerably less convincing, winning just two of their 17 away matches. Eight of those away games have ended in draws, which points to difficulties in converting their play into victories.
Match Results: Derry City
Match Result Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 64;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 23, draws - 18.
Statistics: Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
- matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
- wins: 5 vs 11;
- win percentage: 14% vs 31%;
- losses: 21 vs 10;
- draws: 9 vs 14.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 6;
- losses: 7 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Sligo Rovers won with a +1.5 handicap in 26 of last 27 home games against Derry City (Premier Division).
- Sligo Rovers won with a +1.5 handicap in last 17 home games against Derry City.
Total Goals Prediction
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.05, the guests - 1.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.08;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
- average total in the tournament: 2.57 vs 2.66;
- average total goals scored: 0.74 vs 1.37;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.4 vs 0.51;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.34 vs 0.86;
- Sligo Rovers: average total at home in the tournament - 0.94;
- Derry City: average total away in the tournament - 1.06;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.7 (home - 1.2) vs 1.9 (away - 1.6).
- Derry City have scored under 2.5 goals in last 5 games against Sligo Rovers.
- Derry City have scored under 2.5 goals in 23 of last 24 away games.
- Derry City have scored under 2.5 goals in 19 of last 20 away games (Premier Division).
- Derry City have scored under 2.5 goals in last 7 games.
- Derry City have scored under 2.5 goals in last 6 games (Premier Division).
Corners Prediction
Sligo Rovers: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.86; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 4.4.
Derry City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.71, away - 5.35;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.6; away - 6.2.
- Derry City have taken under 6.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games (Premier Division).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 64;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 35 vs 35;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for Sligo Rovers at home - 9 (53%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derry City away - 11 (65%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Sligo Rovers at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Derry City away - 2 (40%).
Correct Score Prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (23/175, 13.1%);
- Sligo Rovers at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:3 , 2:0 , 2:2 (2/17, 11.8%);
- Derry City away most often play: 1:1 , 2:1 , 2:2 (3/17, 17.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 11.13% (odds 7.2)
1:1 - 10.49% (odds 7.4)
1:2 - 10.23% (odds 7.4)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
This match is unlikely to produce many goals, given the hosts' problems in attack and the visitors' cautious style. Sligo Rovers have scored just 26 goals in 35 league rounds, and in three of their last five matches the team failed to score. Derry City are also rarely involved in high-scoring games: in 13 of their 17 away matches, fewer than four goals were scored. The head-to-head record adds further weight to this view - in 9 of the last 10 meetings between the sides, the total has stayed under three goals. Taking into account Sligo's weak attack and these consistent statistical trends, we recommend Total Goals - Under 3.5. A scoreline of 0-1 is possible.
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Betting Tips: Sligo Rovers - Derry City
in 7 of last 8 games.in 6 of last 7 games (Premier Division).
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