Derby vs Charlton Prediction 30 September 2025
🔊 The clash between Derby County and Charlton promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both teams and their positions in the standings. Derby County are going through a rough patch but have the home advantage, which might give them an extra boost. Meanwhile, Charlton have been displaying more confident performances in recent matches and are vying for a spot in the upper part of the table. A tactical battle is anticipated, with both sides likely to emphasize defense, especially considering the Rams' low-scoring home games.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 February 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derby ):
- ball possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Derby and Charlton:
- played 7 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 3, draws - 0;
- number of goals - 7 against 7;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.71, in the 2nd half - 1.29;
- average total goals in the match - 2.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Charlton
Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Wrexham, away team - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Wrexham):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 5.
Derby County are currently sitting in 21st place in the league, fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. The team is facing challenges, having secured just one win in their last seven matches, alongside three draws and three losses. The Rams score around 1.29 goals per game but concede more frequently, averaging 1.86 goals against. Their style leans towards cautious play with a focus on defense, particularly at home-where the total has gone under 2.5 goals in seven of their last eight home fixtures.
Match Results: Derby
Charlton Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Charlton, away - Blackburn Rovers). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (Charlton vs Blackburn Rovers):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Charlton sit in 7th place in the standings, a testament to their consistency: three wins, two draws, and two losses over seven rounds. The team's strength lies in their solid defense, conceding just 0.71 goals per match. Their attack also shows decent efficiency, averaging 1.2 goals per game. In their last couple of matches, the Addicks secured victories with an aggregate score of 4-0.
Match Results: Charlton
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 3, draws - 0.
Statistics: Derby vs Charlton
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- wins: 1 vs 3;
- win percentage: 14% vs 43%;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 2.
- Derby have not won in 9 of last 10 games.
- Derby have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Championship).
- Derby have not won in last 6 home games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2;
- both teams scored: overall - 2; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Derby vs Charlton
- average total in the tournament: 3.14 vs 1.71;
- average total goals scored: 1.29 vs 1;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.29 vs 0.29;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.71;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.33;
- Charlton: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 0.8).
- Derby have scored in 8 of last 9 games.
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.14; at home field - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; at home field - 4.5.
Charlton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.43, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.1; away - 3.
- Under 10.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Derby games (Championship).
- Under 10.5 corners in 19 of last 20 Charlton games.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 10 Charlton away games.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Charlton games (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.42 (2.71 for home team and 2.71 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5 (1.5 for home team and 3.5 for away team).
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.43; at home - 2.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home - 2.5.
Charlton: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.14, away - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2; away - 2.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 7;
- both teams scored all-time - 2 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Charlton
- number of matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 2;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 2 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Charlton away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Charlton away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given Derby County's current form and their home performance trends, a tight game with limited chances for both sides is anticipated. The under 2.5 goals total consistently occurs in the Rams' home fixtures, while Charlton's defense has been solid in recent matches. Considering all factors-the hosts' attacking struggles against the visitors' strong defense-an under 2.5 goals bet appears to be the most reasonable choice.
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Betting Tips: Derby - Charlton
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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