San Luis vs Toluca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 30 August 2025
🔅 The Liga MX clash between San Luis and Toluca promises to be thrilling. Both teams have shown intriguing results in recent matches, making the upcoming game particularly captivating. San Luis have recently endured a losing streak, but at home, they are determined to bounce back in front of their fans. Meanwhile, Toluca sit higher in the standings and aim to solidify their place among the league leaders. What can we expect from their matchup? Read our prediction for insights.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place in April, ending with a score of 0-1. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (San Luis were the home side):
- possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 11 vs 7;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between San Luis and Toluca:
- 11 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 8, draws - 1;
- goals scored - 9 by San Luis, 21 by Toluca;
- average goals in the first half - 1.64, in the second half - 1.09;
- average total goals per match - 2.73.
Head-to-head statistics San Luis - Toluca

San Luis Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Liga MX tournament (home team - Querétaro, away team - San Luis). The match concluded with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (San Luis vs Querétaro):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
San Luis sit 10th in the Liga MX standings, but their recent performances have been less than stellar. Despite securing five wins in their last ten matches, the team has struggled to maintain consistency against tougher opponents. They average 1.5 goals per game while conceding a relatively high 1.67 goals per match.
Match Results: San Luis

Toluca Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors took place in the Liga MX tournament, featuring Cruz Azul as the home team and Toluca as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Cruz Azul):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 7;
- fouls: 14 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 7.
Toluca are comfortably positioned in sixth place in the league, showcasing strong form with three wins in their last five matches. They boast an impressive average of 2.17 goals per game while conceding less than 1.5 goals. This highlights the balance in both their attack and defense.
Match Results: Toluca
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 11;
- Home wins - 2, away wins - 8, draws - 1.
Statistics: San Luis vs Toluca
- Matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- Wins: 2 vs 3;
- Win percentage: 33% vs 50%;
- Losses: 4 vs 2;
- Draws: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 6;
- Losses: 5 vs 3;
- Draws: 0 vs 1.
- San Luis have lost the last 5 head-to-head matches against Toluca (Liga MX).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- The current home team scores on average - 0.82, the away team - 1.91;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.73;
- Both teams scored: overall - 6 times; at the home team's ground - 1 time.
Statistics: San Luis vs Toluca
- Average total in the tournament: 3.17 vs 3.67;
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 2.17;
- Average total in the first half: 0.33 vs 0.83;
- Average total in the second half: 1.17 vs 1.33;
- San Luis: average total at home in the tournament - 0.5;
- Toluca: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1) vs 1.9 (away - 2.25).
- San Luis have scored less than 1.5 goals in the last 7 head-to-head matches against Toluca (Liga MX).
- San Luis have scored less than 1.5 goals at home in the last 5 head-to-head matches against Toluca (Liga MX).
Corners Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total corners in head-to-head matches - 10.73 (6.18 for the home team and 4.55 for the away team);
- Average total corners at the home team's ground - 13 (8.4 for the home team and 4.6 for the away team).
San Luis: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 5.33; at home - 4;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; at home - 4.
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.83, away - 3.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; away - 3.25.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.18 (2.09 for the home team and 2.09 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 3.6 (2 for the home team and 1.6 for the away team).
San Luis: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.17; at home - 1.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.2; at home - 1.33.
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.5, away - 3.67;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.3; away - 3.75.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 11;
- Both teams scored overall - 6 times;
- At the home team's ground - once.
Statistics: San Luis vs Toluca
- Total matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 4;
- BTTS for San Luis at home - once (50%);
- BTTS for Toluca away - once (33%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS for San Luis at home - twice (67%);
- BTTS for Toluca away - twice (50%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on a comprehensive analysis of the current form of both teams and historical head-to-head data, it's reasonable to predict that Toluca will hold the advantage in the upcoming match. San Luis's weak attacking efficiency against opponents like Toluca, along with a trend of low-scoring home games (as evidenced by totals under 3), suggest this outcome. Considering Toluca's superior attacking potential and defensive stability, betting on under 3.5 total goals appears to be the most well-founded decision, given the high likelihood of a low-scoring affair.