Toluca vs San Luis Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 13 April 2026
⚡️ The clash between Toluca and San Luis promises to be tactically intriguing. Toluca are among the league leaders thanks to their consistent performances and excellent home form. Meanwhile, San Luis are striving to improve their results. How will this duel end? Find out in the prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 1-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (San Luis were the home side):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 6.
📊Statistical preview of the official meetings between Toluca and San Luis:
- 12 matches played;
- home team victories - 9, away team wins - 2, draws - 1;
- goals scored - 24 to 10;
- average first-half total - 1.67, second-half - 1.17;
- average total goals per match - 2.83.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - San Luis
Toluca Team Overview
The team's latest official match took place in the CONCACAF Champions League, with Toluca hosting Los Angeles Galaxy. The match concluded with a 4-2 victory.
Here's the game statistics (Toluca vs Los Angeles Galaxy):
- possession: 72% vs 28%;
- corners: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Toluca sit third in the league, bolstered by their solid defense and attacking prowess. They've secured victory in 21 out of 36 matches, showcasing a high standard of play throughout the season. In their last five outings, they've claimed two wins, drawn twice, and suffered just one defeat. The team's average scoring rate stands at 1.92 goals per match, highlighting their strong offensive capabilities.
Match Results: Toluca
San Luis Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the Liga MX, featuring Monterrey as the home team and San Luis as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-1 victory for Monterrey.
The game statistics were as follows (San Luis vs Monterrey):
- possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corners: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 8 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 7.
San Luis are currently 14th in the standings and are eager to climb higher. Their recent form has been less than stellar, with three losses in their last five matches, but the team remains determined, constantly seeking opportunities in attack. Despite defensive issues, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game, they frequently manage to find the back of the net, scoring in most of their matches.
Match Results: San Luis
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 12;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1.67;
- Today's home team scores on average 1.17, while the visitors net 0.5.
First-Half Stats: Toluca (home) vs San Luis (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 15;
- wins: 11 (61.11%) vs 4 (26.67%);
- losses: 3 (16.67%) vs 6 (40%);
- draws: 4 (22.22%) vs 5 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.78 vs 1.27;
- Average goals conceded: 0.56 vs 0.73.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 0 vs 4;
- draws: 6 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.7).
- Toluca scored in the 1st half in last 6 games against San Luis (Liga MX).
- San Luis conceded in the 1st half in last 5 away games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 2, draws - 1.
- Toluca have won in last 6 games against San Luis (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2, the guests - 0.83;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.83;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: Toluca vs San Luis
- average total in the tournament: 2.81 vs 3.2;
- average total goals scored: 1.92 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.86 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.06 vs 1;
- Toluca: average total at home in the tournament - 2.39;
- San Luis: average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.3 (home - 2.8) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
- San Luis have scored in 18 of last 20 games (Liga MX).
- San Luis have scored in 16 of last 17 away games (Liga MX).
- San Luis have scored in 14 of last 15 away games.
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10.58 (4.83 - for home team and 5.75 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 8.83 (4.5 - for home team and 4.33 - for away team).
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.61; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; at home field - 5.2.
San Luis: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33, away - 4.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; away - 3.25.
- San Luis have taken over 3.5 corners in last 5 away games against Toluca (Liga MX).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (31/289, 10.7%);
- Toluca at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (5/18, 27.8%);
- San Luis away most often play: 0:1 , 0:2 , 2:1 , 3:2 (2/15, 13.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 10.08% (odds 8.5)
2:0 - 9.77% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 8.46% (odds 9)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The hosts are in excellent form, especially compared to their opponents. Toluca have shown consistency this season, both offensively and defensively. Therefore, they shouldn't face any issues against one of the Mexican league's underdogs. We're backing a Toluca victory! A 2-1 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Toluca - San Luis
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