GAK vs Sturm Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 30 August 2025

    🔊 The Austrian derby between Liebherr Grazer AK and Sturm Graz is set to take place this Saturday at the Merkur Arena in Graz. Liebherr Grazer AK have secured just 3 points from their first four matches and are still searching for their first win of the new season. Sturm, on the other hand, have enjoyed a more successful start, sitting in 5th place with 6 points, and they hold a historical advantage in head-to-head encounters, having won the last four derbies. The match promises to be intense, with Sturm appearing as the favorites, while the hosts will look to capitalize on their home crowd support.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official clash between the teams took place on 09 March 2025 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a breakdown of the key statistics from that encounter (home team - GAK):

    • possession: 30% vs 70%;
    • corners: 3 vs 6;
    • fouls: 16 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 5.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between GAK and Sturm:

    • 4 matches played;
    • home team wins - 0, away team wins - 4, draws - 0;
    • goals scored - 5 against 11;
    • average total in the first half - 1.25, in the second half - 2.75;
    • average total goals per match - 4.

    Head-to-head statistics GAK - Sturm

    0%
    0 Wins
    0%
    0 Draws
    100%
    6 Wins
    Total games
    6
    Avg. total goals
    3.67
    Both teams scored
    67%
    1
    Average total
    2.67
    3.33
    Corners
    6.17
    3
    Yellow cards
    2.33
    Last matches
    07.12.25
    Bundesliga
    Sturm Graz
    Sturm Graz
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    1.94
    0.88
    8
    5
    17
    12
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.94
    0.88
    8
    5
    17
    12
    2
    2
    30.08.25
    Bundesliga
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    1
    Sturm Graz
    Sturm Graz
    0.95
    1.96
    5
    4
    7
    10
    1
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0.95
    1.96
    5
    4
    7
    10
    1
    4
    09.03.25
    Bundesliga
    Grazer AK
    Grazer AK
    2
    SK Sturm Graz
    SK Sturm Graz
    0.54
    1.34
    3
    6
    16
    8
    5
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0.54
    1.34
    3
    6
    16
    8
    5
    2
    19.10.24
    Bundesliga
    Sturm Graz
    Sturm Graz
    Liebherr
    Liebherr
    -
    -
    3
    2
    10
    10
    3
    6
    5
    2
    2
    0
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    2
    10
    10
    3
    6
    02.11.23
    OFB Cup
    Liebherr
    Liebherr
    Sturm Graz
    Sturm Graz
    -
    -
    3
    12
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    3
    12
    -
    -
    3
    2
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    Liebherr Grazer AK Team Overview

    The last official match took place on in the Bundesliga, featuring Altach as the home side against GAK. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (GAK vs Altach):

    • possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 2;
    • fouls: 17 vs 21;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    🔴 Graz are struggling with inconsistent form at the start of the Austrian Bundesliga season. The Reds have picked up just 3 points from their first four matches, recording three draws and one loss. During these games, the team scored 4 goals but conceded 9, highlighting issues with their defensive performance. The team's top scorer after four rounds is Ramiz Harakate, who has contributed 2 points (1 goal, 1 assist). As they head into the upcoming derby against Sturm, Graz will aim to improve their form, but defensive woes and modest scoring pose a significant challenge.

    Match Results: Liebherr Grazer AK

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    Bundesliga
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    RB Salzburg
    RB Salzburg
    1.27
    0.9
    4
    6
    14
    11
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.27
    0.9
    4
    6
    14
    11
    1
    2
    D
    30.09.26
    Club Friendlies
    Kalsdorf
    Kalsdorf
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    -
    -
    1
    7
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    -
    -
    1
    7
    -
    -
    2
    0
    W
    19.09.26
    Bundesliga
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    Austria Wien
    Austria Wien
    0.91
    1.08
    2
    4
    12
    9
    5
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0.91
    1.08
    2
    4
    12
    9
    5
    3
    D
    12.09.26
    Bundesliga
    Altach
    Altach
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    1.26
    0.44
    6
    2
    5
    21
    1
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1.26
    0.44
    6
    2
    5
    21
    1
    1
    W
    06.09.26
    OFB Cup
    Kitzbuhel
    Kitzbuhel
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    Liebherr Grazer AK
    -
    -
    1
    10
    13
    8
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    10
    13
    8
    2
    0
    W
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    Sturm Graz Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the UEFA Champions League, with Sturm Graz as the hosts and Bodø/Glimt as the visitors. The match concluded with a scoreline of 2-1.

    Here are the match statistics (Sturm Graz vs Bodø/Glimt):

    • possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corners: 3 vs 8;
    • fouls: 12 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 5.

    ⚪ Sturm Graz are showing promising form in the Austrian Bundesliga. The team currently sits 5th with 6 points after three matches, boasting two wins and one loss. They've scored 6 goals while conceding 3, indicating a balanced style of play. Their top scorer, Otar Kiteishvili, has netted four times. In the upcoming derby, Sturm will aim to extend their successful run and solidify their position in the upper part of the table, although their opponent on home turf is capable of posing significant challenges.

    Match Results: Sturm Graz

    Last matches
    10.10.26
    Bundesliga
    Austria Wien
    Austria Wien
    Sturm Graz
    Sturm Graz
    1.89
    2.42
    5
    9
    5
    17
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.89
    2.42
    5
    9
    5
    17
    1
    2
    W
    02.10.26
    Club Friendlies
    Sturm Graz
    Sturm Graz
    FAC Wien
    FAC Wien
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    20.09.26
    Bundesliga
    RB Salzburg
    RB Salzburg
    Sturm Graz
    Sturm Graz
    1
    1.24
    0.58
    3
    8
    11
    14
    0
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    1.24
    0.58
    3
    8
    11
    14
    0
    1
    L
    16.09.26
    UEL
    Sturm Graz
    Sturm Graz
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    0.8
    1.81
    5
    4
    12
    6
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.8
    1.81
    5
    4
    12
    6
    2
    0
    D
    13.09.26
    Bundesliga
    Sturm Graz
    Sturm Graz
    LASK
    LASK
    2.14
    2.34
    3
    6
    12
    7
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    2.14
    2.34
    3
    6
    12
    7
    3
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 4;
    • Home wins - 0, Away wins - 4, Draws - 0.

    Statistics: GAK vs Sturm Graz

    • Matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
    • Wins: 0 vs 2;
    • Win percentage: 0% vs 67%;
    • Losses: 1 vs 1;
    • Draws: 3 vs 0.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 1 vs 6;
    • Losses: 2 vs 3;
    • Draws: 7 vs 1.
    Trends
    • GAK wins with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of their last 10 matches.
    • GAK wins with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of their last 9 matches (Bundesliga).
    👉Prediction: Liebherr Grazer AK Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.49)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • The home team averages - 1.25 goals, the away team - 2.75;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head - 4;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 3 times; at the home field - 2 times.

    Statistics: GAK vs Sturm Graz

    • Average total in the tournament: 3.25 vs 3;
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 2;
    • Average total in the first half: 0.5 vs 1.67;
    • Average total in the second half: 0.5 vs 0.33;
    • GAK: average home total in the tournament - 1.5;
    • Sturm Graz: average away total in the tournament - 2.5;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.25) vs 1.9 (away - 1.83).
    Trends
    • GAK scores in 8 of their last 9 matches (Bundesliga).
    👉Prediction: Liebherr Grazer AK will score goal(odds: 1.47)

    Corners Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total corners in head-to-head matches - 8.75 (2.5 for the home team and 6.25 for the away team);
    • Average total corners at the home field - 10 (2.67 for the home team and 7.33 for the away team).

    GAK: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2; at home - 3;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.9; at home - 4.

    Sturm Graz: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.67, away - 4;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.7; away - 5.
    Trends
    • GAK delivers more than 3.5 corners at home in 6 of their last 7 matches (Bundesliga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Liebherr Grazer AK Total Over (3,5)(odds: 1.63)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 7 (3.5 for the home team and 3.5 for the away team);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home field - 4.34 (2.67 for the home team and 1.67 for the away team).

    GAK: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 1.5; at home - 1;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.1; at home - 1.

    Sturm Graz: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 1.67, away - 1.5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.4; away - 1.33.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (3,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 4;
    • Both teams scored overall - 3 times;
    • At the home field - 2 times.

    Statistics: GAK vs Sturm Graz

    • Total matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
    • Total matches with both teams scoring (BTTS) this season: GAK - 3, Sturm Graz - 2;
    • GAK's BTTS at home - 2 (100%);
    • Sturm Graz's BTTS away - 1 (50%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Total BTTS matches: GAK - 7, Sturm Graz - 6;
    • GAK's BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
    • Sturm Graz's BTTS away - 2 (33%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes)(odds: 1.63)

    Editor's Prediction

    The Austrian derby promises to be as intense as ever. The hosts are struggling with inconsistent form, while Sturm approach the game with more confidence, showcasing strong attacking play. The head-to-head record also favors the visitors, as Sturm have won the last four derbies. However, the reigning champions haven't impressed at the start of this season, so our bet is on GAK to win with a +1.5 handicap, which has succeeded in 9 out of the last 10 home matches for the hosts.

    Liebherr Grazer AK Handicap (+1,5)
    Odds-208
    Published: 28/08/2025, 18:24

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    Betting Tips: Liebherr Grazer AK - Sturm Graz

    Liebherr Grazer AK have not lost:
    liebherr-gakin 8 of last 9 games (Bundesliga).
    Liebherr Grazer AK will not lose
    +127
    Liebherr Grazer AK have not won:
    liebherr-gakin 11 of last 12 games.
    liebherr-gakin 10 of last 11 games (Bundesliga).
    Sturm Graz will not lose
    -714
    Liebherr Grazer AK have conceded:
    liebherr-gakin 10 of last 11 games.
    liebherr-gakin 9 of last 10 games (Bundesliga).
    Sturm Graz have scored:
    sk-sturm-grazin 16 of last 17 games (Bundesliga).
    sk-sturm-grazin 10 of last 11 away games.
    sk-sturm-grazin 9 of last 10 games.
    Sturm Graz will score goal
    -1000
    Liebherr Grazer AK have scored under 1.5 goals:
    liebherr-gakin 15 of last 17 games (Bundesliga).
    liebherr-gakin 10 of last 11 home games (Bundesliga).
    liebherr-gakin 6 of last 7 games.
    Liebherr Grazer AK Total goals Under (1,5)
    -333
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 16
    -4
    +3
    13 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    2
    3
    Losses
    3
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    13
    16
    Conceded
    10
    2.8
    Average total per match
    2.3
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    3
    Both teams scored
    4
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats