Sturm vs GAK Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 18 October 2026
🔊 Sturm Graz go into this match against GAK on the back of inconsistent results in their last five games, though they remain in the Champions League places and are looking to hold that position. GAK are also pushing for the same zone but currently sit two points behind. Both sides are at the mid-season stage of the Bundesliga and have reason to keep pace in the race for the top positions. The contrast between the hosts' more reliable attack and the visitors' defensive problems could have a bearing on how the game unfolds.
Head-to-Head
Sturm Graz beat GAK 2-1 in their Bundesliga meeting on 07 December 2025. Although GAK had the greater share of possession at 54%, Sturm Graz had twice as many shots (16 to 8) and significantly outperformed their opponents in dangerous attacks (61 to 25).
📊 Sturm Graz have won all six official meetings with GAK, including four away from home. The aggregate score across those matches is 16-6.
Head-to-head statistics Sturm - GAK
Sturm Graz Team Overview
In their last Europa League match on 15 October 2026, Sturm Graz lost 0-3 away to Bournemouth. The shot count favoured Bournemouth 23-6, with shots on target 7-1.
Sturm Graz have won two of their last five matches, drawn one and lost two. In the ten matches before that, they recorded four wins and four defeats. They are averaging 1.1 goals scored per match and 1.3 conceded, which points to an open style of play without either end of the pitch dominating the other. The club currently sit fourth and remain in contention for European football thanks to a steady points return and a moderately aggressive approach going forward.
Match Results: Sturm Graz
Liebherr Grazer AK Team Overview
GAK drew 0-0 with Red Bull Salzburg at home in their last Bundesliga match on 10 October 2026. With 36% possession, GAK had 21 shots to their opponents' 12, but none of their four shots on target found the net.
GAK have been in less convincing form: just two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last eight matches, with their last five including one win and three consecutive draws. Over ten matches, they are averaging 1.2 goals scored against a fairly high 1.6 conceded per game, which reflects clear defensive reliability issues despite occasional attacking success.
Match Results: Liebherr Grazer AK
Total Goals Prediction
In 16 of Sturm Graz's last 17 home matches, the total goals have stayed under 3.5, pointing to consistently low scoring at this ground. Their home statistics back that up, with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. GAK average just 0.5 goals per away match this season and concede 3.25, which broadly supports a low-scoring outcome. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.40*.
Corner Kick Prediction
Total Corners - Over 8.5 has been recorded in 11 consecutive matches involving Sturm Graz. Such a consistent run points to high corner activity in the team's games. Bookmakers are offering odds of 1.52 on this market. We're backing Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.52*.
Risky Bet
GAK have been very poor defensively away from home, conceding an average of 3.25 goals per match on the road this season and losing all three of their away fixtures. Sturm Graz are unbeaten at home and average 1.33 goals scored against 0.67 conceded. However, their home attack is not always particularly prolific, which creates some uncertainty around the negative handicap. Sturm Graz Handicap -1 at 2.38* is an interesting risky option if the hosts make their advantage count.
Reliable Bet
Sturm Graz have scored at home in 15 of their last 16 matches, which points to a consistent trend. Their home scoring rate this season also stands at 1.33 goals per game. Sturm Graz to Score at 1.11* looks as safe as it gets.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are: 1-1 (11.84%), 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.17%). Of these, 1-1 has the highest probability, though the differences between them are small, suggesting a competitive match with a moderate number of goals.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both teams are motivated by the battle for the upper reaches of the table, but the statistics highlight a notable corner trend: Sturm Graz have had over 8.5 corners in eleven consecutive matches, which directly shapes the dynamic of the upcoming fixture. The hosts prefer to play aggressively in attack regardless of the opposition; the visitors concede a lot of chances at their end due to poor defensive work across the season. Taking into account this consistent trend from the hosts in terms of corners across all competitions, and the current nature of their home performances, the main prediction is Total Corners - Over 8.5.
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Betting Tips: Sturm Graz - Liebherr Grazer AK
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