Midtjylland vs Besiktas Prediction 30 July 2026
🔊 On Thursday, July 30, Midtjylland take on Besiktas in the second leg of their Europa League qualifying tie, needing to overturn a 1-0 deficit from the first match in Istanbul. It wasn't a good night for the Danes. But this is the same Midtjylland that finished third in the Europa League league phase just six months ago. Can they show that wasn't a one-off?
Head-to-Head
📊 These two have only met once in their entire history - and that was last week. Beşiktaş won it 1-0.
Head-to-head statistics Midtjylland - Besiktas
Midtjylland Team Overview
The Danes haven't looked anything like the side from last season. In their opening match, Midtjylland were barely a threat - five shots, almost nothing created. Not the team anyone expected after what they did in the competition last time around.
There's an explanation for the poor showing, though. By the 15th minute they were down to ten men after Etim's red card. The attack had to be reshaped, the defence reinforced. The quality dropped, and the whole point became keeping the score down. They couldn't even manage that. Still, losing by one goal with a man short for most of the match - that's not the worst outcome.
Match Results: Midtjylland
Besiktas Istanbul Team Overview
There are valid criticisms of the Turks after the first leg. Beşiktaş created a huge number of chances while playing with a man advantage - but couldn't convert them. With an xG of 3.04, they scored just one goal through Orkun Kökçü, despite firing 28 shots at goal. The scoreline ended up modest, even though statistically the Turkish club completely outplayed their opponents.
So the question is fair - is a one-goal lead enough to see this tie through comfortably? The Danes are experienced European campaigners, while Beşiktaş are still a work in progress. Vincenzo Italiano is only just building his squad. The team has potential, an exciting attack, real star quality up front - but, like many Turkish clubs, they're wasteful. At least they were in the first leg. And that could come back to bite them: in the second match, the opposition are unlikely to hand them six clear-cut chances again.
Match Results: Besiktas Istanbul
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
The referee has been confirmed - it's Englishman John Brooks, who averages 4 yellow cards per game over his career. This is the second leg, and Besiktas already hold the advantage from the first match, so the hosts will need to chase the game. There were no yellow cards shown in the first leg. We expect this one to be a bit more physical, but not excessively so - Brooks isn't the strictest of referees. The bet to consider: total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Look at how the first match played out. Besiktas put up a strong xG - even with the man advantage, that still points to genuine attacking quality. As for Midtjylland, they've both scored and conceded in each of their last five home matches. Given that, Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.55* makes sense.
🚩 Corner Prediction
For all their pressure in the first leg, Besiktas only managed five corners. Midtjylland even got two of their own. Despite the Turkish side dominating most other stats, they didn't really win the corner battle. Now Midtjylland are at home, they'll push hard to turn things around and should be more active going forward - which means more corners their way. The bet: Midtjylland to win corners with a -2.5 handicap at 1.62*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
It's hard to imagine Midtjylland going out this early. The Danes had a strong Europa League campaign last season, only losing to a side that reached the semi-finals, and there's been no dramatic drop in quality since then. Besiktas got their advantage almost entirely through the man advantage and home crowd in the first leg. Midtjylland can turn this around at their own ground with a full squad. We're backing a 2:1 win - take Midtjylland to win.
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Betting Tips: Midtjylland - Besiktas Istanbul
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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