Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Prediction 30 May 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 Cerezo Osaka and FC Tokyo are set to clash in a two-legged battle for third place in the J1 League standings. The opening fixture will take place in Osaka, but bookmakers are backing the visitors from the Eastern Conference as favourites. FC Tokyo finished the regular season with more points than the Western Conference leaders, which explains the current odds.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tokyo):

    • ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
    • fouls: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Cerezo Osaka and Tokyo:

    • played 43 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 15, draws - 15;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 50 against 60;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.56.

    Head-to-head statistics Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo

    31%
    14 Wins
    36%
    16 Draws
    33%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    45
    Total Goals Avg
    2.62
    Both teams scored
    53%
    1.22
    Total average
    1.4
    0.82
    Yellow cards
    1.04
    Last matches
    06.06.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    -
    -
    11
    1
    14
    10
    1
    2
    1
    3
    0
    3
    1
    0
    -
    -
    11
    1
    14
    10
    1
    2
    30.05.26
    J1 League
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    -
    -
    5
    4
    12
    13
    1
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    12
    13
    1
    2
    06.08.25
    Emperor Cup
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    -
    -
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    14.06.25
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    2.18
    1.64
    4
    7
    17
    10
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2.18
    1.64
    4
    7
    17
    10
    0
    0
    20.04.25
    J1 League
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1.46
    1.32
    7
    3
    5
    21
    0
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.46
    1.32
    7
    3
    5
    21
    0
    4
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    Cerezo Osaka Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Fagiano Okayama, away team - Cerezo Osaka). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.

    Here's the game statistics (Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama):

    • ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 8;
    • fouls: 7 vs 17;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 8.

    Cerezo Osaka have won four of their last five matches, with their only setback in that stretch coming in a penalty shootout. The team have been clinical in front of goal, averaging 1.9 goals per game over their previous ten outings. However, their defence has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match during the same period and just over one goal per game across the season.

    Match Results: Cerezo Osaka

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    Vissel Kobe
    Vissel Kobe
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    1.69
    0.72
    4
    9
    13
    11
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.69
    0.72
    4
    9
    13
    11
    2
    1
    L
    26.08.26
    Emperor Cup
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Gifu
    Gifu
    -
    -
    1
    5
    6
    7
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    6
    7
    1
    1
    W
    22.08.26
    J1 League
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Shimizu S Pulse
    Shimizu S Pulse
    0.84
    1.73
    7
    6
    10
    13
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.84
    1.73
    7
    6
    10
    13
    2
    2
    W
    15.08.26
    J1 League
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Avispa Fukuoka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    1.44
    0.56
    4
    2
    11
    11
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1.44
    0.56
    4
    2
    11
    11
    1
    0
    L
    08.08.26
    J1 League
    Cerezo Osaka
    Cerezo Osaka
    Fagiano Okayama
    Fagiano Okayama
    0.6
    0.8
    5
    8
    14
    10
    1
    0
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0.6
    0.8
    5
    8
    14
    10
    1
    0
    W
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    Tokyo Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Kashima Antlers, away - Tokyo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.

    Here are the match stats (Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers):

    • ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
    • fouls: 15 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 1.

    Tokyo are enjoying a strong campaign, racking up seven wins and just three defeats in their last ten matches-a testament to their impressive consistency. Offensively, they average 1.8 goals per game over this stretch, while their defensive solidity is underlined by conceding just 0.9 goals per match. Since the start of the season, Tokyo have suffered only one away defeat in regulation time, falling 0-1 to Kashima-the undisputed top side of the regular season.

    Match Results: Tokyo

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    J1 League
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    V-Varen Nagasaki
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    0.28
    1.27
    7
    3
    6
    11
    2
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0.28
    1.27
    7
    3
    6
    11
    2
    1
    W
    26.08.26
    Emperor Cup
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    Nagano Parceiro
    Nagano Parceiro
    -
    -
    8
    3
    6
    10
    0
    2
    6
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    8
    3
    6
    10
    0
    2
    W
    21.08.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    Chiba
    Chiba
    2.94
    0.49
    5
    1
    11
    5
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.94
    0.49
    5
    1
    11
    5
    1
    0
    W
    15.08.26
    J1 League
    Vissel Kobe
    Vissel Kobe
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1.99
    1.93
    7
    4
    8
    10
    0
    0
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.99
    1.93
    7
    4
    8
    10
    0
    0
    D
    08.08.26
    J1 League
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    1.12
    2.36
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    1
    1
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    1.12
    2.36
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    1
    L
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Cerezo Osaka (Home) vs Tokyo (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • Number of wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 5 (55.56%);
    • Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
    • Number of draws: 6 (66.67%) vs 4 (44.44%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 0.78;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.44 vs 0.11.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 6 vs 5;
    • Number of losses: 0 vs 1;
    • Number of draws: 4 vs 4;
    • Average first half total: 1.3 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.3).
    Trends
    • Cerezo Osaka scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games (J1 League).
    • Cerezo Osaka scored in the 1st half in last 6 home games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Cerezo Osaka to score goal (odds: 2.1)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • home team wins - 13, away team wins - 15, draws - 15.

    Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo

    • matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
    • wins: 11 vs 13;
    • win percentage: 61% vs 72%;
    • losses: 7 vs 5;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 7 vs 7;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.
    👉Prediction: Tokyo will not lose (odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.16, the guests - 1.4;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
    • both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 12.

    Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo

    • average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.44;
    • average total goals scored: 1.44 vs 1.56;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.78 vs 0.78;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.78;
    • Cerezo Osaka: average total at home in the tournament -  1.78;
    • Tokyo: average total away in the tournament - 1.56;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 3.25) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
    Trends
    • Tokyo have scored under 1.5 goals in 15 of last 17 away games against Cerezo Osaka.
    👉Prediction: Tokyo Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.65)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 43;
    • both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 12 times.

    Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 9;
    • number of BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka at home - 6 (67%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Tokyo away - 5 (56%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
    • BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka at home - 3 (75%);
    • BTTS matches for Tokyo away - 2 (40%).
    Trends
    • Cerezo Osaka have scored and conceded in last 5 games (J1 League).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.67)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (31/180, 17.2%);
    • Cerezo Osaka at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%);
    • Tokyo away most often play: 0:0 , 1:2 , 1:3 (2/9, 22.2%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.88% (odds 6.5)
    0:1 - 8.6% (odds 9)
    1:2 - 8.38% (odds 9)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1) (odds: 6.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The recent match stats clearly suggest a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net: each side has been consistently effective in attack, yet often struggles to keep a clean sheet. Cerezo Osaka are on a five-game streak where both teams have scored, perfectly aligning with the main trend for this fixture and reflecting the overall attacking form shown by both clubs throughout the season. In our view, the best bet here is both teams to score (yes).

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 28/05/2026, 23:34

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    Betting Tips: Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo

    Cerezo Osaka have drawn in the 2nd half:
    cerezo-osaka-1fc-tokyo-1in 6 of last 7 home games against Tokyo (J1 League).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +150
    Cerezo Osaka have not lost:
    cerezo-osaka-1fc-tokyo-1in 15 of last 17 home games against Tokyo.
    cerezo-osaka-1in last 6 games (J1 League).
    Cerezo Osaka will not lose
    -250
    Cerezo Osaka have not won:
    cerezo-osaka-1fc-tokyo-1in 13 of last 14 games against Tokyo (J1 League).
    cerezo-osaka-1fc-tokyo-1in 8 of last 9 home games against Tokyo.
    cerezo-osaka-1fc-tokyo-1in last 7 games against Tokyo.
    Tokyo have not lost:
    fc-tokyo-1in 15 of last 16 away games (J1 League).
    fc-tokyo-1in 9 of last 10 away games.
    Tokyo will not lose
    -278
    Tokyo have scored under 1.5 goals:
    cerezo-osaka-1fc-tokyo-1in 15 of last 17 away games against Cerezo Osaka.
    Tokyo Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -175
    View more facts

    Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Table position

    East
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Kashima Antlers
    Kashima Antlers
    18134129-945
    2.
    Tokyo
    Tokyo
    1896328-1637
    3.
    Machida Zelvia
    Machida Zelvia
    1888223-1937
    4.
    Kawasaki Frontale
    Kawasaki Frontale
    1874723-2728
    5.
    Tokyo Verdy
    Tokyo Verdy
    1874719-2528
    6.
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    Urawa Red Diamonds
    1874725-1825

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 23
    Conceded - 14
    +9
    +5
    19 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    23
    Scored
    19
    14
    Conceded
    14
    3.7
    Match goals average
    3.3
    2.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    39'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    49'
    View all stats