Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Prediction 30 May 2026
🔊 Cerezo Osaka and FC Tokyo are set to clash in a two-legged battle for third place in the J1 League standings. The opening fixture will take place in Osaka, but bookmakers are backing the visitors from the Eastern Conference as favourites. FC Tokyo finished the regular season with more points than the Western Conference leaders, which explains the current odds.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 06 August 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tokyo):
- ball possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 6;
- fouls: 0 vs 0;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Cerezo Osaka and Tokyo:
- played 43 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 13, for the away team - 15, draws - 15;
- number of goals (home/away) - 50 against 60;
- average total goals in the match - 2.56.
Head-to-head statistics Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo

Cerezo Osaka Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Fagiano Okayama, away team - Cerezo Osaka). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.
Here's the game statistics (Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 8;
- fouls: 7 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 8.
Cerezo Osaka have won four of their last five matches, with their only setback in that stretch coming in a penalty shootout. The team have been clinical in front of goal, averaging 1.9 goals per game over their previous ten outings. However, their defence has shown vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match during the same period and just over one goal per game across the season.
Match Results: Cerezo Osaka

Tokyo Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the J1 League tournament (home team - Kashima Antlers, away - Tokyo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here are the match stats (Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers):
- ball possession: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- fouls: 15 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Tokyo are enjoying a strong campaign, racking up seven wins and just three defeats in their last ten matches-a testament to their impressive consistency. Offensively, they average 1.8 goals per game over this stretch, while their defensive solidity is underlined by conceding just 0.9 goals per match. Since the start of the season, Tokyo have suffered only one away defeat in regulation time, falling 0-1 to Kashima-the undisputed top side of the regular season.
Match Results: Tokyo
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Cerezo Osaka (Home) vs Tokyo (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- Number of wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 5 (55.56%);
- Number of losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of draws: 6 (66.67%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 0.78;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.44 vs 0.11.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 6 vs 5;
- Number of losses: 0 vs 1;
- Number of draws: 4 vs 4;
- Average first half total: 1.3 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.3).
- Cerezo Osaka scored in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 games (J1 League).
- Cerezo Osaka scored in the 1st half in last 6 home games (J1 League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- home team wins - 13, away team wins - 15, draws - 15.
Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 11 vs 13;
- win percentage: 61% vs 72%;
- losses: 7 vs 5;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 7;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.16, the guests - 1.4;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.56;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo
- average total in the tournament: 2.5 vs 2.44;
- average total goals scored: 1.44 vs 1.56;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.78 vs 0.78;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 0.78;
- Cerezo Osaka: average total at home in the tournament - 1.78;
- Tokyo: average total away in the tournament - 1.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 3.25) vs 1.8 (away - 1.8).
- Tokyo have scored under 1.5 goals in 15 of last 17 away games against Cerezo Osaka.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 43;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 9;
- number of BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka at home - 6 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tokyo away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Cerezo Osaka at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Tokyo away - 2 (40%).
- Cerezo Osaka have scored and conceded in last 5 games (J1 League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (31/180, 17.2%);
- Cerezo Osaka at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Tokyo away most often play: 0:0 , 1:2 , 1:3 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.88% (odds 6.5)
0:1 - 8.6% (odds 9)
1:2 - 8.38% (odds 9)