Cerro Largo vs Danubio Prediction 30 March 2026
⚡️ In the upcoming round, Cerro Largo are set to face off against Danubio in what promises to be an intriguing clash. Both teams sit mid-table, yet they exhibit contrasting trends in their play. Cerro Largo are navigating a challenging period with alternating wins and losses, while Danubio display more consistent performances, particularly on the road. Read our prediction for this match below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 1-0. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Cerro Largo were the home side):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 2 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Cerro Largo and Danubio:
- 15 matches played;
- home wins - 8, away wins - 2, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 17 for Cerro Largo, 11 for Danubio;
- average total goals in the first half - 0.8, second half - 1.07;
- average total goals per match - 1.87.
Head-to-head statistics Cerro Largo - Danubio

Cerro Largo Team Overview
The team's last official match was part of the Primera tournament, with Nacional Montevideo hosting Cerro Largo. The match concluded with a 3-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Cerro Largo vs Nacional Montevideo):
- possession: 26% vs 74%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
Cerro Largo are currently positioned 12th and are struggling to accumulate points, having suffered three defeats and secured two wins in their last five matches. On average, the team scores 0.71 goals per game, which is insufficient for a confident push towards higher standings. However, they have the potential to show resilience at home, as demonstrated by their recent 1-0 victory over Danubio.
Match Results: Cerro Largo

Danubio Team Overview
The visiting team recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, facing off against Danubio as the hosts and Defensor Sporting as the visitors. The match ended in a goalless draw, 0-0.
Here are the match statistics (Danubio vs Defensor Sporting):
- Possession: 58% vs 42%;
- Corners: 6 vs 3;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Danubio are currently sitting in 7th place in the league standings and have been in solid form, with one win and three draws in their last five matches. The team is known for their disciplined defensive play, conceding just 1.14 goals per game while averaging 1.43 goals in attack. This makes them a formidable opponent, even on the road.
Match Results: Danubio
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 2, draws - 5.
Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Danubio
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 2 vs 3;
- win percentage: 29% vs 43%;
- losses: 5 vs 1;
- draws: 0 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 0 vs 3.
- Cerro Largo have not lost in 9 of last 10 games against Danubio.
- Cerro Largo have not lost in 8 of last 9 games against Danubio (Primera Division).
- Cerro Largo have not lost in last 7 home games against Danubio (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.13, the guests - 0.73;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.87;
- both teams scored: overall - 5; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Danubio
- average total in the tournament: 2.14 vs 2.57;
- average total goals scored: 0.71 vs 1.43;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.29 vs 0.57;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.43 vs 0.86;
- Cerro Largo: average total at home in the tournament - 0.5;
- Danubio: average total away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.33) vs 1.3 (away - 0.6).
- Danubio have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games against Cerro Largo (Primera Division).
- Danubio have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 15;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Danubio
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Cerro Largo at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Danubio away - 1 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Cerro Largo at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Danubio away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (13/57, 22.8%);
- Cerro Largo at home most often finish matches: 0:1 , 1:2 (1/2, 50%);
- Danubio away most often play: 0:1 , 1:1 , 4:0 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.25% (odds 6)
0:1 - 11.85% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 10.56% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trend of under 2.5 goals in matches involving these teams and the solid defenses on both sides, a cautious game with a focus on defense is likely. It's also worth noting their head-to-head statistics, where low-scoring games are common - only one of their last ten encounters ended with over 2.5 goals.