Leverkusen vs Dortmund Prediction 29 November 2025
🔊 The Saturday slot of the 12th Bundesliga round concludes with an evening clash in Leverkusen, where Bayer host Borussia Dortmund. Can the "Pharmacists" extend their lead over the "Black and Yellows"? It won't be easy, especially considering that in their last four head-to-head meetings at the BayArena, Leverkusen have not beaten Dortmund. Both clubs come into this match in good form, so let's dive into the analysis and prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 Last season, the teams traded away victories. In the first leg at Signal Iduna Park, Bayer triumphed 3-2, while Borussia exacted revenge in the second leg with a 4-2 win. In their last 36 head-to-head encounters, Dortmund hold the advantage with 18 wins compared to Leverkusen's 8, and 10 matches have ended in a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Leverkusen - Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen Team Overview
🔴 In the last round, the "Pharmacists" traveled to Wolfsburg to extend the home winless streak of the "Wolves". By halftime, Bayer had already netted three goals, courtesy of Tillman, Tapsoba, and Hofmann. In the second half, the players likely shifted their focus to their upcoming match in Manchester-more on that below-and conceded a goal (3-1). This seventh league victory lifted Bayer from fifth to third place. Now, the "Pharmacists" are chasing Leipzig with 25 points and striving not to let Bayern get too far ahead, which is particularly challenging this season as they have 31 points. However, the team's main objective, as we see it, is to firmly establish themselves in the Champions League zone.
⚫ Since Kasper Hjulmand took charge of Leverkusen from the third round, only Bayern have amassed more points, won more matches, and scored more goals. However, against Dortmund, Bayer struggle more than with any other opponent since the summer of 2022: during this period, Leverkusen have lost to Borussia three times. Moreover, they have failed to beat Dortmund at the "BayArena" since 2021-four matches resulting in one draw and three defeats.
🏆 Bayer extended their winning streak by unexpectedly defeating Manchester City in the Champions League on Tuesday (2-0). Alejandro Grimaldo and Patrik Schick secured a crucial victory for Hjulmand's side, bolstering their position in the race to at least reach the Round of 16. This marked their fourth consecutive win.
Match Results: Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund Team Overview
🟡 In the last two rounds, the "Bees" have squandered their leads in the dying moments of matches. In the 10th round, they failed to hold onto a victory away against Hamburg, conceding in stoppage time (1-1). Last weekend at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund also conceded a third goal from Stuttgart in added time, despite leading throughout the match (3-3). Borussia have fallen nine points behind Bayern and currently sit in fourth place. After two consecutive draws, the team risks going three matches without a win under Niko Kovac's management-a situation not seen since February when the Croatian took charge. However, their overall form remains strong: Dortmund have lost just one of their last 19 Bundesliga matches (13 wins, 5 draws), which was against Bayern in the 7th round (1-2).
🏆 On Tuesday, Borussia got back to winning ways by thrashing Villarreal in the Champions League (4-0). Karim Adeyemi and Daniel Svensson joined Serhou Guirassy, who netted a brace, securing the team an automatic berth in at least the Round of 16.
Match Results: Borussia Dortmund
Latest news
Bayer Leverkusen
🎙 Kasper Hjulmand on the upcoming opponent: "They're a top team, as they demonstrated this week in their Champions League match against Villarreal. They're very organized and play with high intensity. We want to deliver another strong performance, play our game, take the next step, and keep progressing."
❌ Janis Blaswich, Ezequiel Fernandez, Exequiel Palacios, Lucas Vazquez, and Axel Tuanzebe will miss the match. Arthur's participation remains uncertain.
Borussia Dortmund
🎙 Niko Kovac on the match against Bayer: "Leverkusen have bounced back from their initial struggles. Their recent games have been highly successful. They've only lost to PSG and Bayern. They've won all the others. This speaks to the quality of the team and their coach."
❌ Niklas Süle will miss the game. Maximilian Beyer's participation remains uncertain.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match will be Tobias Welz. In his last 10 matches, he has averaged 3.8 yellow cards per game. Leverkusen have received 22 cautions over 11 rounds (averaging two per game), while Dortmund have been shown 17 (1.5 per game). We are opting for under 4.5 total yellow cards, which has occurred in five of Bayer's home games and in 13 of Dortmund's last 14 matches.
⚽ Goal Prediction
Both teams play vibrant and high-scoring football, making the choice clear - bet on both teams to score (yes). This has happened in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters at the BayArena.
🚩 Corner Prediction
After 11 rounds, the "Bees" are among the leaders in average corners with 5.6 per game (fourth place), while the "Pharmacists" are near the bottom with 4.2. Therefore, we suggest Bayer's individual total under 4.5 corners, a scenario that has played out in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches.
Editorial Prediction
We anticipate a high-scoring game, similar to the two encounters last season, and thus predict a total of over 2.5 goals. Both teams are potent in attack but tend to make defensive errors. Bayer appear to be the favorites due to their home advantage. A victory over City in Manchester is significant, even if the opposition fielded a weakened side. Borussia thrashed Villarreal, who were down a player, but had not won in their previous three matches. We consider that this match might also end without a Dortmund win - predicting a thrilling 2-2 draw.
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Betting Tips: Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund
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