Sporting Hortaleza vs Sevilla Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 29 October 2026
🔊 Sporting Hortaleza will face a top-flight club for the first time in their history. To host Sevilla FC, the Madrid side have had to relocate to the Estadio El Val in Alcalá de Henares, as their own ground does not meet the competition's requirements. The visitors are overwhelming favourites, though Luis García Plaza intends to make significant changes to his starting line-up. For the hosts, it is a rare chance to test themselves against professionals and give their supporters a genuine cup upset.
Clean Sheet
📊 Sporting Hortaleza and Sevilla FC have never previously met on the pitch.
Sporting Hortaleza: a historic Cup run
Sporting Hortaleza's most recent Copa del Rey match ended in a 3-3 away draw with Atlético Unión Güímar. The game was goalless at half-time, with all six goals coming after the break.
Sporting Hortaleza compete in the Madrid regional championship, where they have been inconsistent so far. In the Copa del Rey, though, the club have already achieved something of a minor feat by coming through the preliminary qualifying rounds. Across their two cup matches, the hosts have scored 4 goals and conceded 3, winning once and drawing once. Their main problem is a lack of experience against opponents at this level. Even the usual home advantage will be limited, as the match has been moved to a different venue.
Match Results: Sporting Hortaleza
Sevilla FC: goals without consistency
Sevilla FC's 2-0 home win over Osasuna in their last La Liga match came with a notable contrast: despite having 45% possession, the hosts managed 17 shots to 10 and seven on target to two.
Sevilla FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their ten La Liga matches. They have scored 16 goals and conceded 16, which means good results and poor ones have been coming in roughly equal measure. Away from home they have been more productive, averaging 1.8 goals scored per match, though their defensive record on the road raises more questions - 1.8 goals conceded per match as well. In the Copa del Rey, Luis García Plaza is expected to give playing time to squad players and academy graduates, which could affect the team's cohesion.
Match Results: Sevilla
Latest news
Sporting Hortaleza
❓ No information on injured or suspended players could be found.
Sevilla
❌ Marcao and Miguel Sierra are injured. Kike Salas, Lucien Agoumé, Gabriel Suazo and Lucas Stassin are not in the squad.
Match Result Prediction
Sevilla have not scored more than three goals in any of their last ten league matches. Even away from home, where their attack has been more productive, they are averaging 1.8 goals per game. Sporting Hortaleza are clearly outclassed, but have conceded only three times across their two cup matches. Squad rotation by the visitors could also limit their attacking output. The bet: Sporting Hortaleza - Handicap +4.5 at 1.90*.
Total Goals Prediction
Over ten La Liga rounds, Sevilla FC have scored 16 goals, never finding the net more than three times in a single match. In five away fixtures, they have scored nine goals. Sporting Hortaleza come from a regional league, so it will be considerably easier for the visitors to create chances than it is against top-flight clubs. Even so, a clear gap in quality does not guarantee five goals, particularly given changes to the squad. Our pick: Sevilla FC Team Total - Under 4.5 Goals at 1.95*.
Safer Bet
Sevilla FC's attack is not particularly prolific, though the team does create chances regularly. In ten league rounds, they have not scored more than three goals in a single match, and their average stands at 1.6 goals per game. Sporting Hortaleza are outclassed by the favourites, but even a significant advantage does not necessarily translate into a six-goal rout. Rotation is an additional factor that could affect attacking efficiency. Prediction: Sevilla FC Team Total - Under 5.5 Goals at 1.44*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are: 1-1 (10.21%), 1-0 (9.14%), and 0-1 (9.01%). The 1-1 result has the highest probability among them. The chances of other outcomes are also significant.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Sevilla FC are superior to Sporting Hortaleza in almost every department, but their current scoring form does not point towards a high-scoring affair. The hosts will likely focus on defending and try to keep it level for as long as possible. Sevilla FC are capable of winning through individual quality, even if the combination play among the fringe players falls short of ideal. They do not need to create a large number of chances for that outcome. Predicted score: 0-1. Main bet: Sevilla FC Team Total - Under 4.5 Goals.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Sporting Hortaleza - Sevilla
in last 50 games.in last 26 away games.in 11 of last 12 away games.in last 10 games.in 7 of last 8 away games.in 9 of last 10 games.in last 5 away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
